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May 2017 Observations and Discussion

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#201
james1976

Posted 23 May 2017 - 12:27 PM

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Currently 57 and light showers. Another cool damp day!

#202
Yerf

Posted 23 May 2017 - 01:20 PM

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I thought this was an interesting info from LOT for the Chicago area this afternoon

Attached File  Tab1FileL.png   636.67KB   0 downloads



#203
gabel23

Posted 23 May 2017 - 06:41 PM

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I thought this was an interesting info from LOT for the Chicago area this afternoon

attachicon.gifTab1FileL.png

I seen that!! I thought maybe they were cold air wall clouds if there is such a thing? Or was the atmosphere that unstable today? 



#204
james1976

Posted 24 May 2017 - 03:56 AM

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We had funnel clouds here in IA too. Nothing touched down. I think it has something to do with the cool air. Nothing like the unstable airmass you get with tornadoes.

#205
Tom

Posted 24 May 2017 - 07:46 AM

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Longer term, the opening week (s) of June do not look very warm and the continued cooler/unsettled wx pattern will continue.  Thankfully, normal highs will be in the middle/upper 70's by then.  Overnight 00z EPS hinting at an amplified pattern over the CONUS.

 

DAl8_E6XgAENh4V.jpg

 

00z GEFS blossom quite a large NE PAC ridge, one I have not seen in a long time.  Sorta reminds me of the "Relentless Ridge" of 2013-14.

 

gfs-ens_mslpaNormMean_namer_11.png

 

 

 

 

Trends from the CFSv2 for the month of June...

 

summaryCFSv2.NaT2m.201706.gif

 

summaryCFSv2.NaPrec.201706.gif



#206
Tom

Posted 24 May 2017 - 07:48 AM

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I'd imagine the NE PAC waters will warm substantially over the coming couple weeks (IF) that ridge does materialize.

 

cdas-sflux_ssta_global_1.png



#207
james1976

Posted 24 May 2017 - 08:07 AM

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Anytime i hear '13-'14 i get a little excited lol.
Forecast is 70s this weekend with small chance of rain/storms.

#208
jaster220

Posted 24 May 2017 - 08:28 AM

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I have been worried about a cooler and possible unsettled pattern heading into Memorial Day weekend for the Lakes region.  Both EPS/GEFS are starting to illustrate a big trough by Day 9.

 

00z EPS...

 

ecmwf-ens_z500a_namer_10.png

 

ecmwf-ens_z500a_namer_11.png

 

 

Resulting 850's are largely below normal next week...

 

ecmwf-ens_T850a_namer_11.png

 

 

 

We'll see how things shake out but the farther north you go towards the Lakes it may be drier under a cool Canadian HP.  Great bon fire weather???

CPC is showing a huge area of below normal temps after a week of summer fun...Memorial Day weekend is not looking fun, esp if you look at the 12z Euro and what its showing for Day 9/10 as there is likely a re-amplifying trough swinging through.

 

 

 

 

610temp.new.gif

 

814temp.new.gif

I'm already planning my return after Memorial Day weekend. If not the weekend after, then sometime during the first week of June. The heat is gonna be turned up over here so it's time to go!

 

We loathe when a favorable d9-10 winter outlook goes up in smoke, but I'm elated at a positive turn-about this time of year! ;) :D

 

Marshall's MDW:

 


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#209
Tom

Posted 24 May 2017 - 11:49 AM

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An interesting long duration MCS may be in the cards from Fri am thru Fri pm running from N KS thru IA/MO border into the lower lakes.  Something to watch out for later in the week.

 

namconus_ref_frzn_ncus_40.png

 

namconus_ref_frzn_ncus_44.pngnamconus_ref_frzn_ncus_46.png



#210
james1976

Posted 24 May 2017 - 06:21 PM

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Bonfire weather officially underway here! 57 mostly cloudy and no wind. Very fall-like. Got the sticks burning.
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#211
Tom

Posted 25 May 2017 - 07:00 AM

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Looks like the JMA and CFSv2 are trending the same way for June...

 

JMA...

 

DAqrupkXsAA4mRo.jpg

 

 

 

CFSv2...

 

CFSv2.z700.20170525.201706.gif



#212
Hawkeye

Posted 25 May 2017 - 07:01 AM

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We have finally put the chilly weather behind us.  We have a lot of pleasant 70s on the way.  On the other hand, the nw flow pattern over the next 7-10 days should be snoozeville.  Over the last decade, June has been a big rain/storm month for my area, so hopefully something interesting will pop up after the upcoming benign period.


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season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#213
james1976

Posted 25 May 2017 - 07:36 AM

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We have finally put the chilly weather behind us. We have a lot of pleasant 70s on the way. On the other hand, the nw flow pattern over the next 7-10 days should be snoozeville. Over the last decade, June has been a big rain/storm month for my area, so hopefully something interesting will pop up after the upcoming benign period.

Im ok with it. We could use some dry weather. I have a lot of brush to burn after that severe storm last week. NW flow should keep temps more pleasant as well.
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#214
jaster220

Posted 25 May 2017 - 07:57 AM

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Anytime i hear '13-'14 i get a little excited lol.
Forecast is 70s this weekend with small chance of rain/storms.

 

From another board:

 

 

6" of rain here in Chambana over the last 7 days, with another 1" possible today. We are now under a flash flood advisory until 345. This stretch reminds me of April 2013.

 

(..for those already drawing comparisons)


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Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#215
OKwx2k4

Posted 26 May 2017 - 12:50 AM

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I'm hearing (and personally observing) a ridiculous number of comparisons to 2013 and also 1976. I'd say that they are probably pretty fair comparisons.
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#216
Tom

Posted 26 May 2017 - 06:38 AM

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I'm hearing (and personally observing) a ridiculous number of comparisons to 2013 and also 1976. I'd say that they are probably pretty fair comparisons.

Arctic temps are holding steady below normal as well which is nice to see...

 

meanT_2017.png



#217
jaster220

Posted 26 May 2017 - 08:09 AM

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Noticed this while looking up a golf course me and my sons are playing Monday. Snow patches remained on the (better) ski hill here in SWMI well after green-up and it even appears some crops are sprouted in the farm fields. Certainly the residences have lush green everything other than tree leafs. Would guess this was mid to late April. Surprising to find tbh with such a lame (non) winter around here.. :unsure:

 


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Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#218
Hawkeye

Posted 26 May 2017 - 06:51 PM

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I picked up a nice 0.76" from the morning MCS.  My May total is up to 4.22".


season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#219
Tom

Posted 28 May 2017 - 05:42 AM

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Hope everyone is enjoying their MDW!  I thought I'd post here on my B Day...turned 35 today and feel like I'm 25!  I thank you all for participating on this forum.

 

Mother Nature has delivered nice weather for many of us on this long weekend.  Hope you are enjoying the out doors!

 

In the meantime, we are about to flip the calendar over to met Summer in a few days and the CFSv2 has been trending much cooler (same as it did for May).  Here are the trends in temps/precip below...

 

summaryCFSv2.NaT2m.201706.gif

 

summaryCFSv2.NaPrec.201706.gif

 

 

 

I'll post the last 20 runs of the 500mb from the CFSv2 model.  Interestingly, it's showing a fairly large ridge off the west coast which has not been the LRC's pattern.

 

 

 



#220
james1976

Posted 28 May 2017 - 07:58 AM

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Cooler June would be nice.
Happy bday Tom! Thanks for always posting maps/models!
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#221
Hawkeye

Posted 28 May 2017 - 11:25 AM

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Happy b'day, Tom.

 

Today is the best weather day we've had in quite a while.  It really couldn't be any nicer.  The garden is getting full sun for once, which it badly needed.


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season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#222
james1976

Posted 28 May 2017 - 03:21 PM

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Happy b'day, Tom.

Today is the best weather day we've had in quite a while. It really couldn't be any nicer. The garden is getting full sun for once, which it badly needed.

Yeah 76 sunny and breezy. A friend came over. Grillin steaks and veggies.
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#223
OKwx2k4

Posted 28 May 2017 - 05:25 PM

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Happy birthday Tom! I've enjoyed getting to be a part of an awesome weather group here and I really appreciate you working to include me in discussion every chance that you can even though I'm slightly out of place compared to the rest of us. Anyway, just wanted to say thanks and wish many more happy birthdays to come.
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#224
Tom

Posted 29 May 2017 - 07:31 AM

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Happy Memorial Day!  We cannot forget the sacrifices our vets and armed forces scattered across the globe that defend our freedoms.  God Bless America!


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#225
james1976

Posted 29 May 2017 - 12:19 PM

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Frost advisories posted for SD & ND and its almost June.
Upper 60s breezy and mostly cloudy today. Showers moving into N IA from MN. Rather fall-like.

#226
jaster220

Posted 29 May 2017 - 01:06 PM

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Frost advisories posted for SD & ND and its almost June.
Upper 60s breezy and mostly cloudy today. Showers moving into N IA from MN. Rather fall-like.


Happy MD to all, and a special shout out Happy B-day for Tom! Perfect golf wx enjoyed today as well. @ james - speaking of cold MDW temps, when I lived up in Traverse City I had lows well into the 20s every night back in '92 & '97. Talk about bonfire wx!
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Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#227
Tom

Posted 29 May 2017 - 01:38 PM

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Thanks for the B day wishes!  Turning 35 and Feeling Alive...feels like I'm entering a new chapter in my life TBH.  A lot of great opportunities lie ahead and I'll be able to share some of them with you.  Enjoy the rest of the day!


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#228
Tom

Posted 29 May 2017 - 01:49 PM

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I looked back till 1958 and the coldest Arctic summer seems to be 2010 where it averaged nearly 32F for the heart to the melt season. See the map below...

meanT_2010.png

2013 looks like it would come into 2nd place...however, leading up to the Summer season this year was much colder than 2010.
meanT_2013.png



So far, the Arctic has been below normal since about the last few days of April and I don't see it changing.

meanT_2017.png


If the CFSv2 is right about this summer melt season, this may be one of the coldest summers in the Arctic in decades.
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#229
Tom

Posted 29 May 2017 - 08:27 PM

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Here is the 00z EPS monthly temp anomaly  for June.  Nearly a carbon copy of what the month of May was forecast from the same model.

 

DBCjykKUAAExMxK.jpg



#230
OKwx2k4

Posted 29 May 2017 - 09:10 PM

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Here is the 00z EPS monthly temp anomaly for June. Nearly a carbon copy of what the month of May was forecast from the same model.

DBCjykKUAAExMxK.jpg


I really like the way things are looking going forward into summer.

#231
james1976

Posted 30 May 2017 - 03:41 AM

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We may hit upper 70s (normal) later this week and then back to upper 60s this weekend. Lot of rain chances as well.

#232
Tom

Posted 30 May 2017 - 06:53 AM

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We are setting new decadal snow cover extent highs in Eurasia.  Summer trends???

 

multisensor_4km_ea_snow_extent_by_year_g

 

 

Overall, Northern Hemisphere is in 2nd place...

 

multisensor_4km_nh_snow_extent_by_year_g



#233
jaster220

Posted 30 May 2017 - 08:32 AM

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We are setting new decadal snow cover extent highs in Eurasia.  Summer trends???

 

multisensor_4km_ea_snow_extent_by_year_g

 

 

Overall, Northern Hemisphere is in 2nd place...

 

multisensor_4km_nh_snow_extent_by_year_g

 

:unsure: Had not heard of this volcano erupting so much. Per an AmWx poster:

 

 

Other than a wet Spring, despite one of the mildest Winters on record, we also may be feeling the effects of the Bogoslof volcano in Alaska that erupted 40+ times since December.


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#234
Tom

Posted 30 May 2017 - 09:07 AM

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:unsure: Had not heard of this volcano erupting so much. Per an AmWx poster:


I saw that report while watch the local news over here that it had recently erupted. As we continue towards the Solar Minimum, I would expect to see more volcanoes erupting and earthquakes.

#235
Tom

Posted 30 May 2017 - 07:32 PM

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Getting my first taste of pre-Monsoon season (which is rather early and typically starts mid June) while enjoying a delightful 93F outside by the pool/jacuzzi. Strong gusts are blowing down from the mountains which had some stronger thunderstorm activity a couple hours ago. These storms are now collapsing and falling apart. You can smell the dust which has been kicked up in the air.

Nice crescent moon 🌙 in the sky along with some stars. On clear nights, you can see satellites in space traversing the horizon. On a few occasions, I saw the ISS fly over which was rather neat to see bc it was so bright from the solar panels reflecting the light.

OMG! I just saw a solid shooting star just now! Holy awesomeness! It was meant to be as they say.
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#236
Tom

Posted 31 May 2017 - 05:37 AM

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In other news, who thinks Trump pulls out of the Paris Agreement???  



#237
jaster220

Posted 31 May 2017 - 10:17 AM

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I saw that report while watch the local news over here that it had recently erupted. As we continue towards the Solar Minimum, I would expect to see more volcanoes erupting and earthquakes.

 

Care to elaborate on that? First I've heard/seen any correlation between those vastly different natural phenomena tbh.


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#238
Tom

Posted 31 May 2017 - 10:34 AM

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Care to elaborate on that? First I've heard/seen any correlation between those vastly different natural phenomena tbh.

I remember reading extensively on this topic when I had WxBell.  Joe D' Aleo has studied the correlation between Solar Cycles and volcano/earthquake frequencies.  They tend to increase as we enter solar minimums.  There are other climate scientists that have found this interesting correlation.  In fact, Dr. David Dilley from Global Weather Oscillations uses solar and lunar cycles to predict when there will be periods of heightened frequencies in earthquakes and volcano's.



#239
jaster220

Posted 31 May 2017 - 10:42 AM

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I remember reading extensively on this topic when I had WxBell.  Joe D' Aleo has studied the correlation between Solar Cycles and volcano/earthquake frequencies.  They tend to increase as we enter solar minimums.  There are other climate scientists that have found this interesting correlation.  In fact, Dr. David Dilley from Global Weather Oscillations uses solar and lunar cycles to predict when there will be periods of heightened frequencies in earthquakes and volcano's.

 

Hmm. Interesting stuff. How exactly low sunspots would cause more (deep) underground activity is baffling to me personally, but I'll take your word for that from those respected sources.


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#240
Tom

Posted 31 May 2017 - 03:11 PM

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Fired up a June Thread...

 

http://theweatherfor...and-discussion/



#241
St Paul Storm

Posted 01 June 2017 - 07:28 AM

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MSP broke the streak of 20 consecutive months with above average temps. May was the first below average month since August 2015. That's a good streak to end.
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#242
Tom

Posted 01 June 2017 - 07:33 AM

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MSP broke the streak of 20 consecutive months with above average temps. May was the first below average month since August 2015. That's a good streak to end.

Impressive...



#243
westMJim

Posted 01 June 2017 - 09:17 AM

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Grand Rapids ended May 2017 with a mean temperature of 57.6° (-1.1°) This was the coolest May since 2008 here in Grand Rapids. And of course it looks like June will start off below average as well.

SlimJim



#244
westMJim

Posted 01 June 2017 - 09:25 AM

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Hmm. Interesting stuff. How exactly low sunspots would cause more (deep) underground activity is baffling to me personally, but I'll take your word for that from those respected sources.

I am not sold on the idea but here is a site that give links to some more information if you want to look at it

https://pubs.giss.na...s/st07500u.html


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#245
Tom

Posted 02 June 2017 - 05:24 AM

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Overall, May ended up being a widespread cool/wet month for the heart of our sub forum:

 

30dTDeptNWSCR.png

 

30dPDeptNWSCR.png

 

 

 

30dTDeptUS.png

 

30dPDeptUS.png



#246
jaster220

Posted 02 June 2017 - 05:27 AM

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Grand Rapids ended May 2017 with a mean temperature of 57.6° (-1.1°) This was the coolest May since 2008 here in Grand Rapids. And of course it looks like June will start off below average as well.

SlimJim

 

Just from memory, I knew it'd been a long time. My daughter came home on the 2nd from an extended spring break overseas where it had been a really cold April, while we  were enjoying a record warm one across SWMI. She was looking forward to coming home to warmth and sunshine and I told her that May is almost always nice and warm, right?? So, ofc she gets back and it's WAY below normal first 10 days and coldest May in 9 yrs! :rolleyes: Murphy's Law in full effect  ;) 


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#247
OKwx2k4

Posted 02 June 2017 - 05:29 AM

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I'd alright with another -2 to -4 month this summer. Looks like maybe this month will be really nice too.

#248
NEJeremy

Posted 05 June 2017 - 07:12 AM

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Omaha had it's 21 consecutive month of above normal temperatures in May :o  :o



#249
gabel23

Posted 09 June 2017 - 11:22 AM

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Here is a summary for the month of May for the Hastings CWA. I ended up with a total of 6.25". It was a very wet month for most everybody.  



#250
clintbeed1993

Posted 09 June 2017 - 04:18 PM

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Here is a summary for the month of May for the Hastings CWA. I ended up with a total of 6.25". It was a very wet month for most everybody.  

 

Wet, yet not a Severe Weather Season to be had.  Meh, pass