gosaints Posted March 8, 2019 Report Share Posted March 8, 2019 MPX slowly babystepping down the totals. Now 7-10”. We’ll see. Still going to cause issues unless we only get a few inches which seems unlikely.There totals were pretty agressive to start with Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 8, 2019 Report Share Posted March 8, 2019 12z Euro holds serve. Still looks like around 9” or so for the metro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted March 8, 2019 Report Share Posted March 8, 2019 I’m traveling to Milwaukee tomorrow afternoon, so I really hope the NAM is wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 8, 2019 Report Share Posted March 8, 2019 I’m traveling to Milwaukee tomorrow afternoon, so I really hope the NAM is wrong.My wife is driving back from Milw to MSP by herself. Needless to say I’m a tad bit concerned. Good luck and stay safe. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 8, 2019 Report Share Posted March 8, 2019 I will say one thing whatever falls out of the sky has the potential to come down extremely hard for 3-5 hours. SIm rads are impressive Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 8, 2019 Report Share Posted March 8, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 8, 2019 Report Share Posted March 8, 2019 NAM ticking south Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNTonka Posted March 8, 2019 Report Share Posted March 8, 2019 NWS is backing off snow totals for my area. Point only has 1-3 tomorrow and 3-5 tomorrow night. “Significant amount of sleet” is mentioned in the afternoon discussion. A 1-2 degree difference could mean a large amount of snow or a snowy/sleety/rainy mess. Looks like it’s going to be a nowcast. Either way, next week is going to be BAD with flooding. Even today, with sunshine and slightly above freezing temps caused some flooding on some of the side roads today. The sewer grates are completely buried. I might try to shovel some channels in my yard to try and direct the water away from my house in preparation for next Wednesday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 NWS is backing off snow totals for my area. Point only has 1-3 tomorrow and 3-5 tomorrow night. “Significant amount of sleet” is mentioned in the afternoon discussion. A 1-2 degree difference could mean a large amount of snow or a snowy/sleety/rainy mess. Looks like it’s going to be a nowcast. Either way, next week is going to be BAD with flooding. Even today, with sunshine and slightly above freezing temps caused some flooding on some of the side roads today. The sewer grates are completely buried. I might try to shovel some channels in my yard to try and direct the water away from my house in preparation for next Wednesday.Will be very interesting tomorrow for sure. 0z HRRR shows only the first hour as ice, then heavy snow. Total nowcast event. I like your idea of creating channels in the snow for next week. The beauty of a deep snowpack. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Will be very interesting tomorrow for sure. 0z HRRR shows only the first hour as ice, then heavy snow. Total nowcast event. I like your idea of creating channels in the snow for next week. The beauty of a deep snowpack.hrrr is 8:1 ratio paste up.there Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 hrrr is 8:1 ratio paste up.thereI’m fine with that. 63” of snow this winter and I haven’t been able to build a snowman for the kid. I’ll take some cement for a change. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 I’m fine with that. 63” of snow this winter and I haven’t been able to build a snowman for the kid. I’ll take some cement for a change.I like your spot... Love the west metro Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Check out the 12km nam vs the 3km if you want to see how delicate the thermals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 9, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 00z Euro... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Radar really starting to explode. This should be fun later today as the trowal forms. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Latest update from MPX:Precip will arrive between 19-20Z and the latestindications are it will be mainly snow. Still made mention of amix for the first couple hours, but this chance is diminishingsome. Heavy snow expected for the evening before rates graduallytaper off late. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 I'm hoping this thing can scrape Waterloo with 2" to set the record and then im fine with spring getting here. I'm not fine with the rain and flooding potential next week tho. That was one of the first things I thought of when the snowpack kept getting deeper. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Paste chances have increased here Hrrr trending that way at least Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Strong easterly winds currently keeping few points down. Will delay onset of precipitation but will also increase chances of wet bulbing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Fun morning of model watching. Gonna go with 3.5 inches of paste here. Some sleet some snow... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Overachieving on temps. Up to 36F here with precip on the doorstep. This could really be a huge bust. Will be a very interesting next few hours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Overachieving on temps. Up to 36F here with precip on the doorstep. This could really be a huge bust. Will be a very interesting next few hours.what's your dew point Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 what's your dew pointDew point is currently 25F. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Dew point is currently 25F.[/qu U should be good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Dew point is currently 25F.[/qu U should be good *should* wet bulb pretty quickly but these thermal games can be tricky. Definitely helps having a deep snowpack working in our favor though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 I wish it was warmer today. We're getting solid rain, but it's only 33º. Like with the blizzard, the low temp probably means we won't lose much snow. DVN recently mentioned that a few snowflakes have been mixed in way down in their area. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Getting a combo of rain and mushy flakes. 34.5°F. Edit: Sleet has now been added to the cocktail. Sun trying to peek thru as well. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Latest HRRR with a 10 spot south metro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Rain has changed to ping pong ping Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Ping ping ping to start. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Ended up with .90" of rain. Doesn't look like we'll get any snow on the backside. Wind advisory here for the rest of the day for gusts up to 35 mph Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 that extremely heavy pocket currently over New Ulm, MN looks insane. It’s gotta be absolutely ripping. Move east, please. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 that extremely heavy pocket currently over New Ulm, MN looks insane. It’s gotta be absolutely ripping. Move east, please.is it snow? I don't thing change over courts here til around 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 is it snow?I don't thing change over courts here til around 5It was showing as snow on the radar, but I didn’t check the obs out there. Whatever it is it’s falling fast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 It was showing as snow on the radar, but I didn’t check the obs out there. Whatever it is it’s falling fast.correlation coefficient shows lots of sleet That's all bright banding. The smoother greens are solid snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Sweet 18z NAM shows 7.2” tonight for Iowa City! Guaranteed to happen! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 3K NAM says 0.1”. I wonder which one will be closer to being right? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Back to rain... All this is doing is adding moisture to the snow pack.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNTonka Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Up to 38 degrees in the backyard. Light rain at the moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 9, 2019 Report Share Posted March 9, 2019 Up to 38 degrees in the backyard. Light rain at the moment.Weird. Frozen pellets hitting the window here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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