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There are a dozen In and Out’s in the path of totality in 2045. We’ll be there assuming my skin doesn’t kill me by then.

I think along with warning kids in schools about drugs they should show posts like this and warn about using the internet

I was 8 when I took the forums over.

Oof. That puts it in perspective. Word of warning, once you hit 20 it FLIES BY.

Tbh I’m not sure what it is about this particular pattern that is tripping guidance up. This kind of instability isn’t unusual for the GFS/GEFS, but the EPS and GEPS also got thrown for a loop. I had suspected something was wrong with those crazy ridgy solutions only because it wouldn’t fit the models’ own MJO projection(s) (not even secondary EOFs). But I’m at a loss as to why there was/is such a disconnect in the first place. El Niño releases stored heat too. A lot of it. La Niña stores heat. She is the antagonist, hiding her true intent by cooling the atmosphere. That article is pure hype/spin. Such anomalies are not unheard of in the Antarctic (especially the WAS area). Only difference is time of year, in this case.

I could not help but LOL when he did that. Par for the course... We had an eclipse in Atlanta when I was in 5th or 6th grade and it was the exact opposite. We all went out side with strict instructions to not look at the sun, and all the teachers had pinhole cameras and pointed out how you could see the eclipse in shadows cast by leaves on the trees. I didn't really think too much of this one until I realized that this is the last eclipse I can reasonably expect to see in my lifetime. I'll be in my 70's then and while I sure as heck hope I'll still be walking the earth then, that's getting on up there. So with that, I had a little FOMO, but it sounds like it is going to be an absolute sh*tshow with traffic, no doubt all the rude "me first" jackwagens will be out in full force, so I'll just go about my day here at home.

Spring wildflowers at Lighthouse Park today.

Get bent, Pedro.

If we're still kicking we will probably head down to Weed to see the 2045 eclipse. My wife is inheriting a shack down there, so we can watch it from our hovel. By then I will be two days shy of my 61st birthday, my wife will be 56.

Good show too.

The Ozarks have some beautiful waterfalls. Kind of reminds me of Multnomah Falls and Silver Falls. I hope you can get to enjoy the area and take some pictures so we can see!

A bit depressing to see that by the 2044 eclipse that I’ll be in my late 30s.

Clouds aside tomorrow, it’s gorgeous today. 76, light winds, more sun than clouds. And it’s April - Bluebonnet time.

Welp I have full blown pink eye, complete with photophobia. Because, of f**king course. I have to be living in a simulation bc this is scripted too perfectly. Needless to say, no eclipse travel for me. I’ll have to enjoy my 90% view from here, with one functioning eye (barring a last second miracle).

Here are some pictures and vids over the past couple days. The first, is a sunset photo from last night… This is another video of last nights Country music show at the park in Fountain Hills… 1EE1754F-7B93-447B-A4E9-0356261D959D.mp4 We found an injured little bunny on 4/4 and would have hoped to see his momma come but she didn’t. I cared for it and the next morning I dropped it off at the Wildlfie conservation in Phoenix. The lady said they get many young animals this time of year. I was told the bunny would eventually be with a whole group of them once it fully recovers from its injury (hind leg). 82246939-5598-4E72-B08C-4C5C2F17A1DC.mp4 The last picture is from this morning as I witnessed this bald Eagle being attacked by two crows earlier. I suspect he stole their breakfast! Nevertheless, this Eagle showed them who’s boss around here.

Yes, by omission and lack of context. Such a high amplitude temperature jump may not have occurred at that particular station in its limited period of record, but that is a function of probability (station in right place at the right time). Standard deviations are HUGE in the Antarctic. And most extreme anomalies tend to occur where there are no stations to begin with. Yes, it’s an impressive anomaly. But it’s not indicative of anything beyond noise/random variability in weather.

3 days ago this looked like the beginning of an amplified+dynamic western ridge/eastern trough pattern. Or at least something more variable. Mother Nature: “Just kidding! Now, back to your regularly scheduled 2024 programming.”

At least I’ll have an opportunity to catch some of these, assuming I don’t go blind or bite the dust early. 2099 is probably off the table, though.

The annual mid August smokestorm will make for a cool effect. Assuming that there's any fuel left to burn by then.

I'll be there, 70 years old!~ probably eat some shrooms

I have not seen/felt a 70F+ day since Oct 27th last year in Detroit area. I'm beyond ready, lol

Forecast for a high of 69F here tomorrow. Might finally make progress on Feb's 68F, lol. And March was significantly AN across the state. I know it's not unusual for winter to linger into April (just see @westMJim's post above) like back in '82, but it's getting old seeing freezing or below temps every morning. When I was younger, it never bothered me that the majority of months in The Mitt are "cold months". The ratio is perhaps split 6/6 in the far south, while 8/4 in favor of cold way up at the Mighty Mackinaw bridge.

A graduale warm up over the next week for most of the country. The next chance for widespread significant weather should be around the 19th as this part of the pattern produced in early March.

No big Deal...just your normal April Blizzard for parts of far western parts of NE...

Hoppin night on the forum!

That was me last Sunday, only worse. I got a hair clipping in my eye, and it got all kinds of swollen and pissed off. I got an abrasion on my cornea thanks to said hair clipping, and it is finally returning to normal, finished antibiotic eye drops this morning. The plus side, I had an eye patch and my wife "let" me talk like a pirate. The only problem was I was feeling pretty crappy (also had a cold) so I wasn't really in the mood to talk like a pirate.

This is nice.

To my eyes that looks shitty.

Yes. Standard deviations are very large in cold climates that are removed from substantial oceanic influence. The polar regions also house the tightest thermal/insolation gradients and strongest storms/planetary wave activity. Extreme variability is the rule, not the exception. And the most extreme places go unmeasured (by sfc stations, at least). The aforementioned article draws the absurd comparison between temperature variability in the Antarctic with variability in the UK. Then intentionally ignores the scientific context explaining the vast differences and why they cannot be compared. Just one of many gargantuan mistakes littering every paragraph.

Severe is only the mid range of drought conditions on that map. The drought monitor folks are as dramatic as Andrew.

Tornado warning just to my south.

Weird. My phone must leave me logged in all the time, because I’d been asleep a few hours when this was posted. Right now is the first time I’ve checked the forum today.

These are, without a doubt, the biggest snowflakes I have ever seen, and only one storm comes even close (a lake enhanced band when I lived in Ohio). It's accumulating so fast which is insane for a temp in the mid-30s.

Everything has gone Jesse’s way this year.

Cripes, you will be my age now and I'll be 82. Time passes quickly!

El Niño is proof that evil also exists. In the next life we will have abundant snowfall and cold.

Earthquake on the EC couple of days ago had me curious as to what could happen if the big one hits. Big cities need to have buildings to withhold, if a strong quake were to ever hit. Most of the current buildings and bridges were not build to take on strong tremors. Something to think about. NYC felt it. Nothing too terribly, thankfully.

Looking forward to the "Eclipse" tomorrow. So many people traveling for this event. If that happens to be you, be prepared for lots and lots of delays. Best spot looks to be Upstate NY.

Winning powerball ticket was sold in Oregon. Not me though, I never play.

That almost sounds like....group think....

Hey, who said it doesn't snow in So Cal in April??? It's gotta be that human factor, yay or nay?

I received .22 inches of rain with a line of showers overnight. Nice weather today with temps around 70.

Had my 3rd straight sub-50 high today with a high of 49.

The rest of April is going to be cold and wet. I can feel it in my bones. Couldn’t buy any sort of sustained -PNA in the winter, no problem for April however! Could be one of those years where we struggle to get above 70 until July 5th!

Been cold and wet, time for some sun and warmth!

Finally getting some rainfall here in Omaha… it’s been a very windy day here with several wildfires breaking out along the Missouri River near the airport… really getting tired of seeing this kind of stuff around here. https://x.com/dkoellerwx/status/1776736909361885611

This could be a while before they have the whole scope on what Tuesday did in the Tri-State area. https://www.wsaz.com/2024/04/06/nws-confirms-9th-tornado-tri-state/?fbclid=IwAR3q2NPvXnX3m4hBDy78xbGdEgRf2h8F97S-yez0he4VL1ua0lFIj6erj0s_aem_AYufZl_ot2UQkxBBv2Y5PZMQUwL4DO6MlAI84mi6JRbeFMbX4EYNB-FSRZsbI9sKZo6xSC6GaNak3rjqEUD4Sk75

Beautiful weather today but windy. Maybe pull in a thunderstorm tonight.