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A bit of a personal post on my end. This was a few years in the making but had to postponed several times due to the passing of my mom during Covid and obviously the continuation of Covid until we are safe to travel. And also why I made this trip back to the home country for the first time in 20 years. This was taken at Central Highlands of Vietnam in Da Lat early morning. The fog and mists was just like home.

Thank you everyone for all the love and support. Everything helps.

Gorgeous morning in Glacier NP.

Nice day in Bend.

Got a new job at the Fred meyer distribution center today in the deli area…so I’ll be getting my fair share of cold in if this winter busts. Super excited to move onto a better job. It’s low elevation in the swamp though

00z GFS Wishcasting Day 10-16 GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly, Rainfall totals, Snowfall totals. HERE WE GO! The first real deal big league trough of the Fall season way out in la-la land! Models have begun to show the infamous wishcasting/eye candy type stuff in the Day 10-16 time frame and that will only become more common throughout the Fall and Winter months. I often wonder why any model extends out that far as the degree of accuracy is nearly non-existent. BUT dang it isn't it fun to look at! YEAH it is. This isn't to be taken seriously it's more of a "What IF?" post, plus it's boring right now. I think you figured that out though. C'MON!!!!

Canadian Geese are back and the first big dumping of snow on the mountains surrounding here last night! Ended up with 0.65" of rainfall yesterday. Fall!!

The support on this forum is incredible. It's been a struggle to learn how to support her through this so lastnight I stayed awake almost the entire night while she slept in my arms and I just held her and said nothing. There's no words that can explain what she's going through so I didn't say much.

Oh that looks pretty bad! Haven’t watered since the end of July here and it looks like this as of last night! We’ve of course had over 4” of rain since Aug 1st though. Irrigation is getting blown out tomorrow in fact.

Since we’re all on the subject, I just found out I have a second child on the way. About 9 weeks along or so. I have a beautiful 8 year old girl now and hope she loves this one. In other news, I received .05 of precip overnight. Looks to be it for awhile unless that storm in one week comes through for us.

Can't ask for much better than this. I went down to 46 this morning.

Is this a Sign of the Cross??? #ChristConsciousness Woah, this tripped me out this morning...DEC to Remember for Arizona???

Pretty good article on the PV and how we may see disruptions later this fall. Also my same thoughts on why we may see a weakened jet stream this year (which isn't necessarily a bad thing for the PNW if you like cold!). https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/polar-vortex-early-disruptive-event-winter-influence-united-states-europe-fa/

Nice improvement on the 0z EPS. This is the change from the 12z.

Nice evening. Was a nice early afternoon in Central Oregon too.

Currently 48F here and very rainy with 0.31" on the day so far. This storm system has been incredibly beneficial from NorCal up into Montana. Wish we could have spread the wealth into OR/WA as well!

You know times are getting desperate when not only have we reverted to 384hr maps but also precip amounts in millimeters!

I have said this elsewhere and now I will here. There is no balance. Nature doesn’t work that way. Sh*t just happens. If everything balanced out, in the next 18 months we would: have our coldest temp ever by 9 degrees, have our 3 coldest days ever consecutively, have our wettest fall ever by a large margin, have our coldest week ever, then have our coldest month ever, then have our coldest month for that month ever, have our second longest all-time streak of days with precipitation, have our wettest astronomical winter, and have our longest streak ever of days not reaching a particular temperature. Most of those are independent events that don’t overlap. I’m sure I am missing some less extreme and enduring heat and drought records or near records to balance out.

Heavy thunderstorms as of 11:30 AM, temp has dropped to 53 degrees. We've dropped over 45 degrees since last evening.

IMO, the summer climate has shifted so much in the PNW that summer time analogs are pretty much useless to predict winter weather.

My original plan was to enjoy a lovely day at the lake for my day off…That changed when I decided to put the Starlink up, took way longer than I had anticipated but still snuck over to the lake around 4pm for a few hours. Was lovely! Oh and I moved from 1997 internet to 2022 internet! Wow it’s fast!!

Have a good one all….will check back when I can but my internet hour is up. Sun is setting as well ….into the darkness I go

Lol! Bosnia Promised my younger brother I would do a pilgrimage here. Andrew may know some of the going ons over here….but it’s regarding visions of Mary in this village by a bunch of kids who are now older. We’re actually staying at one of the places the visionary help run and she will probably be serving us. New adventure for me….bring it on! Going to be fun and first time in Europe.

Working from the park office today.

Went out in the deck around 2:45am and snapped this pic of Jupiter…it’s pretty neat to see how big and bright it is in the sky…

My Dad is in the motherland of Poland visiting family and he’s going hiking in the southern Tatra’s mountains. There is a wonderful resort town called Zakopane that is a very popular ski town and summertime mountain climbing and hiking destination. The town is known for its old school wooden chalets. It’s a gorgeous part of the country as the beauty of the mountain ranges tower into the sky. The weather in Eastern Europe has been unusually chilly and there is already a lot of snow on the peaks as you can see in the picture below. I’ll post more pics as I receive them.

Some fog nearby this morning

Just got the 3 season room done in time. Love this product. Sunspace! Got an infrared heater in the space...coffee on the deck and 37 degree!

Got down to 39 here last night, good for our coldest low since 5/22. Every day for at least the next week NWS FSD has highs in the upper 60s to right around 70. Love it!

seeing 2000-01 tossed around I lived in the New Hampshire White Mtns in 2000-01 winter (2000-2004) and had ~130" of snow IMBY that year. Most snow I've ever seen in a winter to date. I had just moved up there from SC and was dumbfounded at so much snow. it was on the ground from late October and patches remained through early June. would move back to NH in a heartbeat if the opportunity presented itself again.

The heat was quite impressive here in KC the last 3 days, in a time of year where the weather should turn wetter and cooler to help the recovery of the turf and landscape, it is doing the total opposite. Irrigation systems are working overtime...not keeping up. Just too much dry weather. Tonight's rains for KC, well, the 06z data really backed off on totals! Doesn't look like much relief here in KC other than a few days of cooler weather and then another heatwave looks likely starting around Tuesday next week, more 90's in store and maybe for a week or longer. It's official, we're in a mini drought in KC. The new LRC is known to set-up around Oct. 5th, at the current time, the GFS has the strongest cold front of the fall showing up and a storm potential, but, that's 384 hours out....... Let's hope for stormy LRC with lots of blocking!!!!!!! THINK COLD/SNOWY/EARLY WINTER Last year KC had a decent winter with regards to storms and snowfall totals, logging (7) accumulating snows, not bad at all. BUT, overall it was a very warm winter. We never held the snow on the ground longer than 4 days as we had massive warm-ups following each snow event. I want snow in DEC. and it never melting until mid-March. That's not too much to ask.

But mass action starts at the individual level. Same argument applies for voting. We as a country need to match our GHG emissions with our environmental values, not just because we have faith in other countries joining us, but because we exert *some* kind of influence on the atmosphere, be it big or small. Because we can. Because it is who we are, and who we ought to be.

Perfect weather day here, highs are expected to be in the mid 70s. It was a great morning to cook bacon and eggs outside, I could have this weather 365 days a year.

Wow! Nest timelapse of fire in the sky https://video.nest.com/clip/73f0dbf47148491b8b22c1020fe151a4.mp4 FullSizeRender.MOV

The 06z gets fall started

I like the latest trends out here as there is one last hoorah for the official Monsoon season. Some models are spitting out some decent moisture for the valley starting next Tue through the rest of the month. Come on baby...I'm hoping PHX can record some more precip to break past normal for the season. Meantime, Tropical Storm Ian has formed and I'm worried for my friends down in FL. This blocking GL's HP is going to do some dirty work. Not only are models increasingly showing colder temps around the GL's region for a longer period mid next week but that Big Block up Over The Top may stall out the storm over or near FL. So much to digest over the next few days. Should be fun tracking this potential major threat. LR signals showing up in the GEFS/EPS that the BSR rule may come into fruition during the 1st week of OCT....my early call of a storm system tracking into the N Rockies around the 3rd-5th is showing up. Should be an interesting start to the new LRC.

A brave Canadian!

Really sad news. @MR.SNOWMIZER is probably one of the nicest people on this forum.

And July/August 2022 aren't major outliers for this decade, while April/May were the first really cool/wet ones since 2011 I think. Even then it doesn't make it on the top 5 at PDX. Hottest July/August periods at PDX: 1. 2022 - 74.4 2. 2018 - 73.1 3. 2015 - 73.1 4. 2021 - 72.8 5. 2014 - 72.5 Coldest April/May periods at PDX 1. 1964 - 49.7 2. 1955 - 49.7 3. 2011 - 51.0 4. 1950 - 51.6 5. 1967 - 52.0

Arctic front through Newport now. 27 there. Still 73 here as we wait...

Currently sitting at 43F at almost 1pm. Snow levels are down to about 8k currently. Sunday we are back up to almost 80F! NWS posted this picture from Mt Rose looking down on Reno

12Z ECMWF is very wet by day 8 and 9... this would end the fire season in western WA for sure.

There's this thing we used to get called 'stratoform rain' which would really help on a day like today. Getting really antsy for the return of the fall rains now.

61 degrees with a northeast wind gusting to 25 MPH feels amazing. Rain to move in after lunch. Temps going nowhere, and will only be around 50 for a high on Thursday. Yesterday afternoon at our Junior High football games was some of the warmest weather I can ever remember for any football game I've ever coached or attended. It was 98 degrees with no wind at 6 PM with a dew in the mid 60's. Just brutal. Hopefully it will become a distant memory.