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2.76 inches of rain showing for September my place although I haven’t been there much. In fact I’m still not there ! Hope you’re all doing well and looks like a parade of storms paid you all a visit! C-zone must be active as my nest cam is showing buildup to the north but blue skies overhead. I’m still in the SW exploring but unfortunately monsoons have been none existent where I’ve been. Just lots O Sun! Fossil Creek (spring) has the pretty water and cool cave. Camelback hike where you see the boulder field….it’s a scramble hike down here in Scottsdale and beautiful sunset last night here in Estrella Az.

It was a beautiful last day of September in the South Washington Cascades.

Gorgeous day on the river. I had the most fish, but my brother scored a nice one out on the Willamette.

A windy October afternoon in Coos Bay some 6 decades ago.

I'm sooo ready for some wet windy fall weather. Sure today is nice because it is crisp but I'm over the warm weather.

Nice Euro run. Its coming!

This pattern config anytime after Halloween...

The views from this morning’s 3 minute drive to work.

Of course I want snow but I have to have a wet pattern. Give me rain or snow just moisture please!

Hopefully @MR.SNOWMIZER shows up soon. That guy is an absolute class act. One of the kindest people I've ever known. Along with @SilverFallsAndrew & @Meatyorologist Thank y'all for believing in me and keeping me positive. Looking forward to the winter, even if it's Denver Broncos-status.

View from work in Kirkland

Mean looking.

Even though it just means mountain snow. Every run with this pattern should be posted.

I believe this was December of 1990 but cannot confirm. Definitely flat roof era at the lake house before the pitched roof was added in 1997. My Grandpa liked to make a snowman out of the snow shoveled from the roof. And here is the original lake house cabin that my grandparents built before it was added onto several times throughout the years.

I believe this was November of 1985…And me in the late 70’s lol!

Looks like the models are bringing back the low for Monday night into Tuesday. One thing I have learned from watching the models, fall patterns are very unpredictable. The models will show a low on one day then a couple of runs later it will take it away then bring it back a couple of runs later. It's like a yo yo. This is why the 3 to 5 day out is so critical now. Anything out 6 to 7 days is fantasy land and not set in stone. The low on Monday night and Tuesday is still a ways out so anything can happen with the models still. Have a good day

Now that’s deep! First sub 50 high?

The calm between the storms.

Last nights EPS

Lightning! IMG_9113.MOV

.62” on the day. Of course 20 seconds after shooting this quick clip of racing clouds while putting the generator away I hear a large crack followed by a large tree of some sort falling either on my property or my neighbors. So close to having it on tape. The sound anyway. Oh…And it’s still coming. IMG_8933.mov

It's pretty incredible what he has built. It's a ton of work to create all that content but he has a formula that works pretty well and if one PNW met was going to reach that level of success I'm glad it's someone who knows our region as well as Michael. Cliff is also clearly incredibly jealous

Well you crazy weather fanatics it's time to start the biggest month of the year!! (If you follow the LRC at least) . Been seeing a lot of winter forecasts being released and it sounds like at the very minimum will have a weak/moderate El Nino(hoping not a strong!). The things I'll be watching is the NAO and AO. if we can keep those neutral or negative that would do wonders. Analog years I have seen that have matched up with the long range forecasters, or at least the ones I follow, leads to a fast start to winter. October and November cold and possibly snowy for the upper midwest?? 02-03 and 09-10 are winters that I remember; 09-10 by far being one of the best in my memory (NAO and AO negative pretty much the whole winter). 57-58, 72-73, 77-78 was also fast starts to winters, at least around my area. Let the discussions and new cycle begin! https://www.facebook.com/JimFlowersForecaster/videos/294496906601118

34.5, widespread frost. 98 day growing season. Much less than the 130 I got last season

Wish I could have taken a drive today! Also major rumbling going on outside which is also shaking the house at times, but I’m pretty sure it’s military aircraft and not thunder.

Probably just something minor, then. Computer crash and lost passwords, life getting in the way of posting here, etc. Or maybe he's getting therapy for his obsession and his therapist recommended he quit. Seriously. He has shared how busted winter storms really ruin his life. He does seem obsessed in an unhealthy way at times.

It arrived.

This is how you end a fire season.

0.01” Every storm dies before it gets here. It has become comical at this point. Now we ridge? Lmao. I did get a rainbow over the storms that never made it here. Yes… that is a sprinkler.. can’t let the $300 in grass seed go to waste.

Save the Tim snark for the first week of December when he is trying to tell us that the Belarusian 11z showing highs in the 80s for Seattle are in line with his Euro cloud maps.

Wow. What a dynamic storm. I imagine the convective enhancement modeled by the NAM is taking shape in some part here. Oh what I would give to be on a boat out there to measure what's really going on. SPC mesoanalysis shows this thing stronger and further north than modeled... A classic error correct for maturing midlatitude cyclones as they approach our coastline.

Holy cow!

Such a lovely change in the weather the last few days. And it looks to stay fall like for the next week or more. Such a nice change from last year. Ended up with a 68/56 on Saturday, mostly cloudy with light rain developing late. Sunday was very cool with a 61/53 spread here. Dry start with rain and windy conditions (breezy ESE wind) much of the afternoon and evening. Went mushroom hunting in the mountains above Carson and the conditions were perfect. Yesterday was a little milder but still on the cool side with a 64/56 spread. SW winds. Rain much of the day, with some periods of very heavy rain last evening. Mostly cloudy with a low of 54 this morning. Have picked up just over 1.25” rain since Saturday.

The UP on Saturday

Not the ideal time of year, but still a beautiful pattern for PNW cold weather lovers.

If that verified, at face value it would be near record early season snow for the Cascades. There's no good long term stations at elevation in the North Cascades, but at least since the 80s no station has really picked up more than a couple feet of snow in the first half of October. For Paradise at 5,400' near Mt. Rainier, the best early season snow year in history was 1968 when almost 70" fell during the first half of the month, most of that coming from October 10-15. Other than that, only one year in the last 50 (1984), has exceeded 30" of snowfall in the first half of the month.

Wow 68.5 dBz!

I wanted to post this for everyone. Looks like that secondary low is going to pack a punch for the PNW. Even though the winds are not super strong, with the full foliage on the trees, there is a strong possibility of power outages. The next storm will be interesting to see what happens

1.52” after a quick quarter inch from that convective shower. Followed by a rainbow!

Hopefully Jim and @MR.SNOWMIZER show up soon. Worried about those guys.

Nice. Getting weatherbell soon. Snow level gets down to 3 thousands.

Randy November 2006 story in 3...2..1...

2006-07 is a modern example of an El Niño gone right, albeit a weaker one.

Found a few more old pics…. I believe this was December 1996, and for comparison I took this pic of the deck railing as a reference of how deep the snow was.

Pretty sure he is locked out of his account. After the hack last spring, all admin accounts were reset. He’ll find his way back.

Hit the 4 inch mark for the month! 4.01" now. So much for West Seattle being a dry spot!!!

Boom! ️