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Major shift on the 12z EPS to lower heights over the West with rising heights in the SE compared to the 00z last night. Looking like a really fun mid month on through the Holidays. Perfect timing IMO!

I love when the low lying fog forms, so picturesque. The rising full moon only added to it!

Meant to post these earlier, but there were some great early season snow conditions up on Hood this weekend. Snowshoed the PCT in the Barlow Pass area, then to Enid Lake by Gov’t Camp for sunset. Easily 2+ snow around Barlow, maybe a foot or so near Gov’t.

Low clouds and fog made for a neat scene at Cape Horn this afternoon. Managed to get a short hike in and catch the 4:45 pm moonrise at the end.

Don’t worry one bit and don’t shut up. Very few of us have passed through the Jesse gauntlet of perception/preference perfection and come out clean on the other side.

I’m pretty sure I can speak for everyone and say we’re all glad you post here. You do post valuable info here...it’s hard to know all the stats for your location unless your recording them and have access to records going back a long time.

Happy Thanksgiving everybody!

Happy Thanksgiving you goddamn savages.

Hello from Chicago!!! Brrrr...back in the saddle and it's cold outside (25F). It's the coldest reading since early March. I flew in late last night as wheels touched down right at midnight. Skies were clear the entire trip back and once we began our decent into ORD, we flew through the "soup" as the old aviators called it. When I grabbed my bags and headed for the doorways, I felt that cold air flowing through and it hit me like a wall! My goodness, what a shock to the system. I didn't have my furnace on and it was a "comfy" 44F...ummm, ya...it took like 3 hours to get into the 60's!

On the other hand the sunset last night at the mouth of the Skagit was stunning.

Fog thick over Lake Washington, but crystal clear out over the Sound.

My Christmas lights are hot off the Amazon Sprinter van...Winter is saved! Going up now!

A lovely day up at Samish Bay! And a little snow up in the hills.

Happy Thanksgiving! And happy Thursday to all of the Canadians on here

Happy Thanksgiving everyone! This year has been an unusual one, but as we celebrate the holiday today, I am ever so grateful to be alive, healthy and have such amazing family and friends....of course, I'm also grateful for all of you on here that contribute each and every day.

Couple inches up here, 2” for sure. Absolutely beautiful out!

December 2013. I didn't log what days I took the pictures. The first picture was the start of the hard freeze, this progressed as time went. I have not seen it this defined in a long time. Pictures 5 and 6, insane accumulation on those pine needles.

Detroit so far received 3" Its all snow covered outside and what a way to welcome December. Currently this: Light Snow and Low Drifting Snow 27°F

Here is the 5 day 500mb anamolies from the weeklies:

Waiting to see an improved pattern emerge 10 days out in the models before the bad pattern has even taken full effect is the worst part of following weather and weather models. These times make me wish I was blissfully unaware like most people.

I go to the other extreme, excel sheet after excel sheet haha. Lots of data! I know there are a lot of other people out there with way more though. I've had records at my parents house since 1995 and my house since 2010 now. These are just a few of the sheets/graphs I have.

Came home tonight from visiting family for a belated Thanksgiving dinner to find my town's lit up for the holidays..

Not sure if this has been shared already or not but the latest ECMWF weeklies continues to show things turning favorably for us around mid-month. Also a fairly strong signal for troughing with an Aleutian ridge to begin January and 850mb mean temps that don't look too shabby. It has been remarkably consistent with this pattern evolution. Just have to be patient.

From my house to yours, in this unusual year of 2020, may your Thanksgiving be filled with family, food, forgiveness, much love and many blessings! Happy Thanksgiving to you all!

End of the GFS starting to go places. And the end of last nights EPS is starting to maybe go somewhere.

Happy Thanksgiving all! Looks like a drizzly morning out there. .05" in the rain bucket so far.

Happy thanksgiving to all! 42 degrees here this morning. Should be a decent fall day.

Did some more upgrades in the background. A few things to note; - If you're resetting your password all the time, note that you have to use your username, not your email, to log in. If you're still having problems, please send me a message. - If you are having problems on a specific browser, please send me a message - If the site performs slowly or pages load slowly, please send me a message

As the great Andrew would say, WOW

Appears I ended up with around 4”

12z Euro...bada Boom!

I received about 1.7" of snow. It is becoming slush now.

The weather pattern is so boring that DMX issued their afternoon AFD at 1:37PM. That's the earliest afternoon AFD I think I've ever seen from them.

Looking better by the day.

35 and frosty this morning. Nice moon setting this morning.

Happy first day of meterlogical winter. Coldest morning of the season with a temp of 14.

Ended up with another really nice sunset and moonrise this evening.

Control model for right before Christmas Eve looks nice. This one doesn't look as good as the mean for January but I'll take the improvement in the nearer term over that.

Good find. A snippet, like how they think the colder pattern locks in. BRITISH COLUMBIA A cold and stormy winter is expected to dominate across the province. While the first half of December will be rather mild, we expect a much colder pattern will develop during the second half of December and the cold pattern should continue through most of January and February. This will also bring a heightened risk for extended periods of frigid weather and heavy snow across the province, including in the Lower Mainland and Vancouver Island

Down! Get down there!! Down boy down!!!!!

Meanwhile on the other side of the globe..

Hmmm.....

Going though my January 2020 snow pics I had forgotten that I had documented a good example of how just a tad more elevation makes all the difference when the setup is marginal. This was on the 10th, I had some sloppy accumulations here at my house at 550’ but had quickly melted off the trees. I took the dogs up to our neighbors 40 acres which is nearly 700’ and it was a winter wonderland. All I had to to was take a couple minute walk up the steep pathway to get to it. I love where I live!

More EPS members have joined the -PNA/-NAO train for the middle of December.

Here's the final result.

Getting ready to get bumpy out... Line of storms about to roll through.