Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Relaxing epo might be an understatement. Like where all the teleconnectors seem to be headingYou like the fact that the NAO/AO are trending towards slightly positive?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 You like the fact that the NAO/AO are trending towards slightly positive??What has negative gotten us? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 What has negative gotten us?Neutral would be the best solution with a slightly positve EPO...that would keep the storm train coming off the Pacific with enough cold air in tow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 10:1 ratios Through HR 144 http://i.imgur.com/TXNsNz0.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 If that system can come out of the Rockies stronger and track across the country it can trend farther north. Nonetheless, the EC may finally get their first big snow of the season.A little north and I am in business. About 100 miles or so I think should do it. Don't get me wrong, I do want the EC to score because they are bare ground ever since winter arrived this year. OTG right now I have some snow still hanging around even though it was raining couple days ago. Kinda washed away a bit of my snowpack. (Bummer!!!!) Getting lake effect right now, which dusted the ground a bit. Anyhow, with this arctic air mass arriving, every bit of snow counts, at least not having bare ground with this frigid air. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z Euro is trending stronger earlier on with the late week storm that forms in E TX at HR 96 and tracks ENE up towards KY/TN. Might produce some LES in SE WI/NE IL. Some of our members in OH are in line for a significant snow... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Another storm that gets its act together too Far East to benefit us in the plains. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z Euro painting 1-2" qpf totals from PA to CT and temps in the low 20's...somebody is going to get buried out that way. JB is prob doing cart wheels in his back yard! LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Get those teleconnections out of the cold and dry doldrums of the last 7 days and we get some chances again. Gonna be hard to spin anything special up but at least worth watching models again... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Euro trending even colder Day 7-10 and looks similar to the GFS producing a system near the Lakes that tugs down another cold shot. All the models busted to warm a few days ago for this period. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 So this one has no chance for our areas? Seems like that's the tone unfortunately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 So this one has no chance for our areas? Seems like that's the tone unfortunately.Actually, the 12z Euro lays down light snows from the NE/KS border all the way east towards S MI Day 7-9. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 So this one has no chance for our areas? Seems like that's the tone unfortunately.definetly snow chances... just gonna take absolutely perfect timing to get anything really exciting. The transition storm would seem to be the best window for something bigger. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 EURO/GFS look very similar Day 5-10 with several more systems (Clipper or wave) to track over the coming week or so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ingyball Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 I like the e6 and e19 ensemble members for this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 EURO/GFS look very similar Day 5-10 with several more systems (Clipper or wave) to track over the coming week or so. how cold is the air? Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 how cold is the air?Doesn't get above 32F from IA/IL on north...depending on where the late week Clipper tracks it could briefly spike above freezing near Chicago next weekend. Too far out for finer details. Out in NE it gets warm though it has cooled also. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Dr Cohen sounds like he is fired up about his AO Blog for tomorrow... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Got a good laugh out of the GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Got a bad laugh out of the gfs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 East coast going to have fun over the next few weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 I feel bad for the dc posters getting so excited about getting 2-3 feet of snow when it's still 120+ hrs out Only downhill from here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 I feel bad for the dc posters getting so excited about getting 2-3 feet of snow when it's still 120+ hrs out Only downhill from hereHappened before and can happen again in that region. Never know with the weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Happened before and can happen again in that region. Never know with the weather.We need to get KC snow quickly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yes we do just so we don't have to hear his whining in every thread 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yes we do just so we don't have to hear his whining in every threadStating what models show. You can easily ignore it too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 18, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 Wish this was on the models in the short term!GHDB III Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 18, 2016 Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 Wish this was on the models in the short term!GHDB III http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016011718/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_52.pngThe odds that that actually verifies are like 0 unfortunately Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 18, 2016 Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 @ Geo's, look what the EPS is forecasting in the long range...monster trough in the 4 corners to open up Feb. I gotta look back and see what storm system this one resembles in the LRC. Just checked and it would be the 12/13 - 12/14 storm that formed near the TX Pan Handle (986mb) that spawned WSW for W KS. I remember it had a picture perfect trowal signature/neg tilt storm. Just got a feeling the LRC cycle #3 will perform very well. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 18, 2016 Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 Wow take a look at the snow map for the NE. 1-2' from Philly to Maine. Would be awesome to experience a Nor'easter like that. Looks like winter will come roaring in for someone there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 18, 2016 Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 its never gonna snow here again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 18, 2016 Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 Wow take a look at the snow map for the NE. 1-2' from Philly to Maine. Would be awesome to experience a Nor'easter like that. Looks like winter will come roaring in for someone there.I grew up int the northeast and they are fun as hell. its at leas 24 hours of heavy snow and wind. CHristmas 2010 and the ones we had January 2011 were epic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 18, 2016 Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 Meanwhile on the East Cost http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160118/00Z/f168/acckucherasnowne.png Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 18, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 @ Geo's, look what the EPS is forecasting in the long range...monster trough in the 4 corners to open up Feb. I gotta look back and see what storm system this one resembles in the LRC. Just checked and it would be the 12/13 - 12/14 storm that formed near the TX Pan Handle (986mb) that spawned WSW for W KS. I remember it had a picture perfect trowal signature/neg tilt storm. Just got a feeling the LRC cycle #3 will perform very well. That's a good pattern for about anyone in this subforum, except the Ohio Valley. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 18, 2016 Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 I just want one storm that brings around 8". That's it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 18, 2016 Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 I just want one storm that brings around 8". That's itI think our areas will do well in Feb. Still have a month and a half left and the extended looks rather active. Especially the beginning of Feb. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 18, 2016 Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 So as of right now after the first hybrid clipper/wave every threat goes whisping by?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 18, 2016 Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 Road Trip??? http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016011806/gfs_asnow_us_41.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 18, 2016 Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 Road Trip??? http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016011806/gfs_asnow_us_41.pngI'm game! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted January 18, 2016 Report Share Posted January 18, 2016 Road Trip??? http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016011806/gfs_asnow_us_41.pngI can't win down here. Lol. Terrible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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