gosaints Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Euro digs pretty hard at 24. Guessing we will observe the same weakening by 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 D**n, thats south if I'm not mistaken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 D**n, thats south if I'm not mistakenWhere's my $25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/ecmwf/20160201/00Z/f048/sfcmslpconus.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Where's my $25storm never happened yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 looking better for lincoln on euro, even vs the 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 00z EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 12z EURO had the low near the tri state area of IA, MO, and IL. That digging way back into TX though is like the UKMET - almost. It's about 250 miles south of the cluster of tracks near the OK panhandle at hour 24. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/ecmwf/20160201/00Z/f072/sfcmslpconus.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Euro is colder for DSM area-- and I assume most others-- not by much-- but every little bit is huge. 1 The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 awesome 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 one line for lnk TUE 18Z 02-FEB -0.6 -5.5 998 94 77 0.70 531 532 based off surface temps, ratio's would start off low then get higher missing a chunk of data still, waiting for it to fill in before i post the numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Euro is colder for DSM area-- and I assume most others-- not by much-- but every little bit is huge.Also a bit more QPF then the 12Z Euro run. Looks like the low pressure may have been slightly farther to the south which didn't have the dry slot surge as far north this time. Eastern Nebraska into Western Iowa will be the jackpot area, but Central Iowa is looking pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Wisconsin view? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 I still think the GFS will be right in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 old 12z euro o The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 At this point I would say euro is probably.best case scenario around here. Unfortunately it has not been much of a king lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Wisconsin view? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Im still going with the GFS for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 still awaiting data for MON 18Z 01-FEBTUE 00Z 02-FEBTUE 06Z 02-FEBTUE 12Z 02-FEB if its still not updated 5 minutes, ill have to head to bed, i have to wake up in 6 hours to go to work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Im still going with the GFS for this oneJesus you are gonna drive yourself nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Jesus you are gonna drive yourself nuts.The GFS has performed better than the Euro this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 00z gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 The GFS has performed better than the Euro this winter.Thats fine and dandy but the gfs shows a foot plus how.many miles from you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 IMO-- storm has been sampled by the big guns (GFS/EURO etc)-- now it comes down to short range models to see the delicate waffles that it will take-- we all know the snow maps at the end of the day do not look much like what the models said-- this is the best time imo-- time to enjoy and just let nature happen The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 still awaiting data for MON 18Z 01-FEBTUE 00Z 02-FEBTUE 06Z 02-FEBTUE 12Z 02-FEB if its still not updated 5 minutes, ill have to head to bed, i have to wake up in 6 hours to go to workstill not updated, goodnight everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 IMO-- storm has been sampled by the big guns (GFS/EURO etc)-- now it comes down to short range models to see the delicate waffles that it will take-- we all know the snow maps at the end of the day do not look much like what the models said-- this is the best time imo-- time to enjoy and just let nature happenAmen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Why do so many of you get riled up on what another's person opinion is? You guys take everyone else's take on the situation way too personally. It's not like we're meterologist here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Why do so many of you get riled up on what another's person opinion is? You guys take everyone else's take on the situation way too personally. It's not like we're meterologist here.Not naming names-- but some actually are. The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 My calls that I'm riding now. I would toss the UKMET for sure, and the EURO track just does not make sense, so I have to toss that one personally given the huge bust on 12/28. GFS could happen (but with less WAA), but I would side with the CMC right now. It's not as extreme as the NAM in terms of track, but it's pretty much in the middle ground. Front end thump of snow here with some sleet and freezing rain for a short time. Some rain before the dry slot works in - not a total waste. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Why do so many of you get riled up on what another's person opinion is? You guys take everyone else's take on the situation way too personally. It's not like we're meterologist here.I agree with you I just want him to understand that his odds are in his favor and that he.should enjoy the onslaught he.most likely has coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 jcwx went to bed-- I will try and post what I can for certain locations The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Gefs snowfall maps look pretty south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 took about till 12:40 for the entire storm to be shown on Euro Accu WX raw data for airport id's this am. Plan on posting OMA,DSM,LNK,CID,OSH,VTI,ALO any other requests? The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Gefs snowfall maps look pretty south Maybe some of the ensembles are starting to catch onto the idea of dynamic cooling/convection pulling on the low. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 RST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 I agree with you I just want him to understand that his odds are in his favor and that he.should enjoy the onslaught he.most likely has comingI understand, and don't think I was trying to point you out. I just think it's incredible the amount of people on here who get so caught up in what some random posters think. It should mean nothing, you know. Just enjoy tracking the weather. If you disagree with someone, point out what you think is wrong in a reasonable manner, but if you start to get annoyed, just ignore them and move on. That's just the problem I have. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 There's our storm. 994 mb over Vegas. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 I understand, and don't think I was trying to point you out. I just think it's incredible the amount of people on here who get so caught up in what some random posters think. It should mean nothing, you know. Just enjoy tracking the weather. If you disagree with someone, point out what you think is wrong in a reasonable manner, but if you start to get annoyed, just ignore them and move on. That's just the problem I have.Ya in reality I dont think any reasobable met would say with any certainty whether or not the gfs is right for lincoln. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 DSM- actually just W of DSMTUE 06Z 02-FEB 1.5 -3.6 1016 87 100 0.03 551 538 TUE 12Z 02-FEB 0.4 -4.1 1008 86 99 0.26 547 541 TUE 18Z 02-FEB 0.5 -3.4 1000 94 33 0.57 538 537 WED 00Z 03-FEB 0.1 -1.7 999 95 73 0.12 531 532 WED 06Z 03-FEB -2.6 -8.1 1008 86 81 0.07 533 526 OMA-MON 18Z 01-FEB 4.2 -2.0 1018 59 63 0.01 551 536 TUE 00Z 02-FEB 3.1 -2.9 1015 73 88 0.02 550 538 TUE 06Z 02-FEB 1.2 -4.3 1015 93 98 0.05 549 537 TUE 12Z 02-FEB 0.4 -4.4 1004 89 100 0.26 543 540 TUE 18Z 02-FEB 0.1 -4.9 999 92 64 0.64 533 533 WED 00Z 03-FEB -1.4 -7.1 1003 90 92 0.26 531 528 WED 06Z 03-FEB -3.6 -9.3 1014 84 90 0.04 535 524rest in 10 mins The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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