March 1st-2nd Plains to Great Lakes Snowstorm

[gosaints]

Phase baby phase

[WildWisconsinWeather]

72 HR Precip

 

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPCN72NE_6z/f90.gif

 

Three of those are whoppers for the MKE area, with over an inch of precip (should be mostly snow based on low track anyway).

 

Edit: I notice you mentioned that above.

[SE Wisconsin]

To use a baseball analogy, tonight's runs are like when your team starts getting runners on base in the 8th inning of a game they're losing by 3-4 runs. All you can hope for is that they keep the line moving & avoid any big outs.

Let's just hope Mother Nature comes through for us just like the Royals did in the 2015 post-season!

[Money]

NAM coming in much stronger and actually has a nice defo band forming

[WBadgersW]

I better not get 3" from this. All of the snow is finally gone.

[Money]

12z NAM showing 10-12 amounts in N. IL or so via IWM

 

Low deepens nicely once it hits central/NE IL

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160228/12Z/f66/acckucherasnowmw.png

[Money]

Showing a nice band with 1-2 in amounts:

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160228/12Z/f57/refmw.png

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160228/12Z/f60/refmw.png

[WildWisconsinWeather]

I better not get 3" from this. All of the snow is finally gone.

 

Are you saying that because it's a nuisance amount, or are you rooting against snow period?

[Money]

So, Chicago goes from 0 inches of snow on 6z NAM to about 10 on 12z. 

 

Won't take that much to get this a stronger system either. 

[WBadgersW]

Are you saying that because it's a nuisance amount, or are you rooting against snow period?

Nuisance, but I'm enjoying these 50°s. So its either 6+" or nothing.

[Money]

6z NAM HR 63:

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160228/06Z/f63/sfcmw.png

 

 

 

12z NAM HR 57

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160228/12Z/f57/sfcmw.png

[WildWisconsinWeather]

Nuisance, but I'm enjoying these 50°s. So its either 6+" or nothing.

 

I think we have an outside shot at 6" or more, like some of the GFS Ensembles show.  I agree though that 3" would be nuisance stuff, even in March.

[Money]

I think we have an outside shot at 6" or more, like some of the GFS Ensembles show. I agree though that 3" would be nuisance stuff, even in March.

Models might be playing catchup and going back to the original solutions they had a few days ago. Not sure but seems like the lows getting stronger and more north each run.

[earthandturf]

I think we have an outside shot at 6" or more, like some of the GFS Ensembles show.  I agree though that 3" would be nuisance stuff, even in March.

Not for those of us who plow, it's been a tough winter.

[WBadgersW]

I think we have an outside shot at 6" or more, like some of the GFS Ensembles show. I agree though that 3" would be nuisance stuff, even in March.

Maybe those 20" totals will come back... Lol

[Money]

Maybe those 20" totals will come back... Lol

That would be pretty funny

 

Milwaukee afd pretty much said this morning that totals will be very light (under a couple inches)

 

Rgem at hr 48 has a 1008 L just north of STL

[Money]

Gfs coming in stronger

 

Now showing 12-13 for Milwaukee/geos area

 

4-6 up here

[WildWisconsinWeather]

Gfs coming in stronger

 

Now showing 12-13 for Milwaukee/geos area

 

4-6 up here

 

You have to be kidding me!?  Along with the RGEM looking interesting for low placement, the plot is thickening big-time.

[Sciascia]

To use a baseball analogy, tonight's runs are like when your team starts getting runners on base in the 8th inning of a game they're losing by 3-4 runs. All you can hope for is that they keep the line moving & avoid any big outs.

Base hit! One run is in, and here comes the runner from 3rd...safe! It's a 2-run game!

 

Can you tell I'm happy Spring Training is underway? Haha. Storm's making a nice comeback compared to yesterday's morning runs.

[gosaints]

Solid 6-10 on the gfs nuce guys.

[Money]

You have to be kidding me!? Along with the RGEM looking interesting for low placement, the plot is thickening big-time.

Nope Milwaukee gets hit with the fgn band which produces 4-6 or so and then the low itself came in stronger which produces another 5-6 or so

 

Snows for more than 24 hours

[gosaints]

Nope Milwaukee gets hit with the fgn band which produces 4-6 or so and then the low itself came in stronger which produces another 5-6 or so

 

Snows for more than 24 hours

Must like kuchera. Kuchera is a weenie.

[Money]

Must like kuchera. Kuchera is a weenie.

Instant Weather Maps actually shows a bit more snow than the kuchera maps lol

[gosaints]

Instant Weather Maps actually shows a bit more snow than the kuchera maps lol

I am only kidding I hope you plaster. In the back of your mind you are thinking the trend isnt done

[Money]

I am only kidding I hope you plaster.

Surprised geos or tom isn't in here yet

[gosaints]

Surprised geos or tom isn't in here yet

They have been burned to many times

[Madtown]

You got a map Money? Guessing I am on the western edge?

[Money]

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160228/12Z/f078/acckucherasnowmw.png

[Money]

HR 48

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160228/12Z/f048/sfcmw.png

 

HR 54

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160228/12Z/f054/sfcmw.png

 

HR 60

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160228/12Z/f060/sfcmw.png

[Madtown]

Whoa.

[Money]

This is with the first band of snow:

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160228/12Z/f048/acckucherasnowmw.png

 

Then from the main system:

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160228/12Z/f072/24hkucherasnowmw.png

[Tony]

Well what a surprise looking at the new modeling. Looks like it's trending back to the original solution from a few days back. Can the Euro bring back its 2ft solutions to this party. Looks like all the models are stronger/wetter with each run.

[indianajohn]

Geos was the only one not throwing in the towel on this one. LOL

[gosaints]

Geos was the only one not throwing in the towel on this one. LOL

He did yesterday afternoon

[Geos]

Geos was the only one not throwing in the towel on this one. LOL

 

I was waiting for the GGEM to come in. lol

 

It looks like we're locking in for a stronger storm again. Probably not a super snow storm like it was looking like on Thursday.

[Geos]

He did yesterday afternoon

 

I was down after the 18z runs, but then the 0z runs came in. 

[hlcater]

This reminds me of thre feb 1 and 2 storm last year. Models crapped out in the mid range then came back 2 days before the Storm.

[Geos]

Good agreement between the models this morning. All of them showing 6"+ amounts within 100 miles of each other.

[Money]

Gfs ensembles are a mixed bag

 

4-5 south/ weaker than op and there's 5-6 that are sub 990 that track in NW IN

[Geos]

4km NAM vs. 12km NAM