Abbotsford_wx Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 It was sunny here earlier but now it's mostly cloudy. It's so hard to get a sunny day at this time of the year. The last mostly sunny day was October 11th. It is warm though.. peaked at 64 before the clouds moved in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tundra Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Everyone is setting themselves up to get burned by that model. It did really well during the summer, but that means nothing for this winter. It reminds of when I first starting looking at models and the GFS just happened to nail the Dec 1998 cold wave two weeks ahead of time. The next time it showed a big cold wave I just took it for granted it would be right...The good thing is that it changed a lot from last month so it might change again next month. However I just don't like the high positive anomalies centered where it is. December looks decent to me, maybe get something similar to 1983. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tundra Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Care to explain why else we should write off the 2nd half of winter?I'm not writing it off completely. I was just pointing out what the CESM was showing. However January's have really been subpar for many decades now in the PNW except for very early January 2004. February had been a better month, particularly for my location. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tundra Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Stick a fork in it on November 8th?? Again, it could be a warm and wet winter and we still have a memorable week of cold and snow.I was being sarcastic based on the horrible model runs that recently came out. There's no doubt that can happen. December 1983 is what I'm thinking right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 72 at BLI Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 I wouldn't hold my breath. Have you even seen the new Euro monthlies??Right. Sadly it doesn't work that way anymore. Warm anomalies are the new norm. Takes an epic feat to get cold these days. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tundra Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Lol, no reason to take it that far. One great event can make an entire winter worthwhile, IMO.That's true. I will take your Winter last year if I can experience your epic Blizzard. The newest edition of the NCAR_CESM seems to also agree with the EURO not only with warmer temperatures this Winter for the PNW but also a wetter than normal Winter. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/images/NCAR_CESM_ensemble_prate_us_season1.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Screenshot Tuesday! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Screenshot Tuesday! Looks like you need to head to town with a bottle of Windex. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 The 72 at BLI under overcast skies is remarkable. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Previous record high in Olympia was 62 in 1996, and 63 in Bellingham in 2008...hmmmmm... Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 The 72 at BLI under overcast skies is remarkable. Its not really overcast there... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Screenshot update... 73 now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 8, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Anyone staying up for 18z? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 I guess the heat index is in play now... actual temp is 73.3 but it feels like 77. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 8, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 I guess the heat index is in play now... actual temp is 73.3 but it feels like 77. Wow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Safe to say it's hot outside... weird. Sitting in my car sweating. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Safe to say it's hot outside... weird. Sitting in my car sweating. But the big question - is it HOTT outside?? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Friggen HOTT. People are definitely talking about global warming today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 I was being a little sarcastic. As far as I can tell the Euro weeklies and monthlies have been pretty bad this year. Phil was a big proponent of that narrative much of the time.That's the problem, if you're only a little sarcastic, it goes over my head. You have to go full on sarcastic for me to get it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Its not really overcast there... I figured. Still. Decent amount of cloud cover for such a ridiculously warm day. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Screenshot update... 73 now. We don't need a screenshot every 20 minutes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 We don't need a screenshot every 20 minutes. Noteworthy day... I will do the same thing when its snowing and 15 degrees next month. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Definitely mostly sunny in bellingham Live shot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 I figured. Still. Decent amount of cloud cover for such a ridiculously warm day.Warm days are much more airmass driven than sunshine driven at this point in the year. In fact I would wager that a lot of our record highs between November and mid-February have happened when it's either cloudy or raining. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 We don't need a screenshot every 20 minutes. It finally annoyed someone so maybe he'll slow down now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Safe to say it's hot outside... weird. Sitting in my car sweating. If you're in your car, you're not outside. Just sayin. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 If you're in your car, you're not outside. Just sayin.Cars can get pretty hott in direct sun any time of year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Latest 70 on record for SEA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 70 at SEA and 72 at BLI right now. Holy cow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 I figured. Still. Decent amount of cloud cover for such a ridiculously warm day. Eh, a mostly sunny day (like Bellingham has) is usually just as warm as a 100% sunny day. Getting cloudcover over a certain location for an hour or two wouldn't affect highs much at all, unless it was just for the warmest part of the afternoon. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Latest 70 on record for SEA.Impressive. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Cars can get pretty hott in direct sun any time of year. Runaway greenhouse effect. Cars are often 20-30 degrees warmer than the outside temp. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Pretty fitting that we are seeing record breaking warmth on a day we are about to elect one of two people who will probably do very little to curb global warming the next four years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Cars can get pretty hott in direct sun any time of year.Windows down wearing shorts. I'm not an idiot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Latest 70 on record for SEA. Next latest? 1949. Next after that? 2010. Next after that? 1970. Not bad company. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Also 69 at OLM. Probably had an interhour 70 reading too, which would be their latest 70 on record. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Next latest? 1949. Next after that? 2010. Next after that? 1970. Not bad company.Latest 70 on record at PDX is from 1999. Luckily we dodged that bullet! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Pretty fitting that we are seeing record breaking warmth on a day we are about to elect one of two people who will probably do very little to curb global warming the next four years. Obama didn't do much to curb it (in fact CO2 rose faster over his time in office than any previous president). Fitting that his inauguration day was quite chilly! https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/washington-dc-presidential-inauguration-weather-history/2013/01/16/5def1200-5ff3-11e2-b05a-605528f6b712_blog.html 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 8, 2016 Report Share Posted November 8, 2016 Obama didn't do much to curb it (in fact CO2 rose faster over his time in office than any previous president). Fitting that his inauguration day was quite chilly! https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/washington-dc-presidential-inauguration-weather-history/2013/01/16/5def1200-5ff3-11e2-b05a-605528f6b712_blog.htmlNo he did not! Good thing it's a liberal conspiracy anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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