TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 You could use your own advice You are probably the best candidate for such advice on this entire forum. All you seem to do is search out my posts through pages of detail. That represents the vast majority of your posts on here. I am honored in a way. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 I was mainly talking about that stretch of 70s in March. Ahhhh. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 This is a messy global weather pattern coming up..all sorts of self-contradiction within the system. Not easy to follow, let alone extrapolate. So, I guess I don’t have too much to offer going forward, for the time being. Speaking of wacky...thunderstorms, rain, snow, sleet, and subzero windchills all within a span of 24hrs? Mother Nature must be on one hell of a bender. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=MDZ504 Still appreciate your guidance even if the global pattern is messy... you can at least explain the messiness and possible outcomes. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest El nina Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Still appreciate your guidance even if the global pattern is messy... you can at least explain the messiness and possible outcomes.I honestly dont care if his predictions are wrong sometimes. The amount of knowledge he has and shares with us is quite amazing. He's one of the reasons I keep coming back. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 You are probably the best candidate for such advice on this entire forum. All you seem to do is search out my posts through pages of detail. That represents the vast majority of your posts on here. I am honored in a way. I don't search, you make it easy. You seem to think you're constantly above the fray, and you're wrong. You twist every post into looking like you're innocent, when you're far from it. We all have our internet personalities, some of us probably stray far from our true selves on here. You however, every rude and condensending thing you say seems to translate into who you really are behind that monitor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 It's crazy that it's 63 degrees there right now but it's going to plummet to the low 30s overnight. I'd love to experience something like that happening in real time. Does that area ever get thundersnow?Not very often. Haven’t seen it since 2016. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Best GFS run in 2 weeks. Ridge over us at Day 9-10 is shoved further east and flattened. Day 11 modified arctic air moving towards eastern Washington. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Best GFS run in 2 weeks. Ridge over us at Day 9-10 is shoved further east and flattened. Day 11 modified arctic air moving towards eastern Washington.Thanks for the quality content you deliver DJ. Appreciate you and your unbiased approach you bring. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 I don't search, you make it easy. You seem to think you're constantly above the fray, and you're wrong. You twist every post into looking like you're innocent, when you're far from it. We all have our internet personalities, some of us probably stray far from our true selves on here. You however, every rude and condensending thing you say seems to translate into who you really are behind that monitor. You do search... you come here and respond to something I posted from 5 days ago and then leave. And you are one of the most rude people on here. So there is that. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Holy hell, an actually good GFS run. I almost forgot what those looked like. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Thanks for the quality content you deliver DJ. Appreciate you and your unbiased approach you bring.No problem thanks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Best GFS run in 2 weeks. Ridge over us at Day 9-10 is shoved further east and flattened. Day 11 modified arctic air moving towards eastern Washington.Almost gets really good towards the end. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Holy hell, an actually good GFS run. I almost forgot what those looked like.Yeah, and it has been a long time. MAYBE we see some actual real improvements on the Ensembles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Almost gets really good towards the end.The 500mb pattern is amazing. At Day 15-16 the block is reorganizing, strengthening and if you were to extrapolate beyond that just for fun we would see a massive blast. January 1950 pattern setting up. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Yeah, and it has been a long time. MAYBE we see some actual real improvements on the Ensembles.Maybe an upgrade from “not bad” to “almost good” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Holy hell, an actually good GFS run. I almost forgot what those looked like. January 1996? It does look good after 240 hours. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Maybe an upgrade from “not bad” to “almost good”We'll have to get the approval from Dewey, but yeah perhaps. --00z ECMWF in 44 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Best GFS run in 2 weeks. Ridge over us at Day 9-10 is shoved further east and flattened. Day 11 modified arctic air moving towards eastern Washington.Heh, not a bad run. Miracles do happen, ya know.. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 There’s a SSW on this run too, FWIW. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Best GFS run in 2 weeks. Ridge over us at Day 9-10 is shoved further east and flattened. Day 11 modified arctic air moving towards eastern Washington. Jet suppression looks good with the lows headed into S Oregon/ N California border. A bit more amplification offshore and the Valley could have a nice snowstorm with that setup. Night shift should be fun on this Friday night. I've got some SKYY and some of that legal green stuff, what about you guys? 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=UH01FhqMdc8 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 January 1996? It does look good after 240 hours. I only look after 240 hours now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest El nina Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Still appreciate your guidance even if the global pattern is messy... you can at least explain the messiness and possible outcomes.Phil says a lot of things. Comforting. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Really really good GFS run. That Jan. 29 onward might be something to watch for a blast! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Phil says a lot of things. Comforting.2018 Flatiron is all kinds of full of piss and vinegar. Gonna be a weird year! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 FWIW, we're long overdue for some late-January Nina magic. We've been mostly blanked during that time period since 1996, and prior to that you have to go all the way back to 1972. Late January's of 2008 and 2009 both gave us little bits of action, but that's about it. During the cold phase, 1950/1951/1956/1957/1962/1963/1968/1972 all had -ENSO and all delivered between Jan. 20-31. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Phil says a lot of things. Comforting. He does offer lots of good information here. Things obviously go off track and long range forecasts go awry... but I still find most of his posts informative and sometimes fascinating. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Hmmm...maybe I'm not so crazy after all! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Translated. What about me? Why don’t you appreciate my guidance too?! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Hmmm...maybe I'm not so crazy after all!Yeah................. You're still nuts. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 FWIW, we're long overdue for some late-January Nina magic. We've been mostly blanked during that time period since 1996, and prior to that you have to go all the way back to 1972. Late January's of 2008 and 2009 both gave us little bits of action, but that's about it. During the cold phase, 1950/1951/1956/1957/1962/1963/1968/1972 all had -ENSO and all delivered between Jan. 20-31. Indeed! Justin and I have mentioned that a time or two in the recent past. Events that begin in late Jan and go into Feb are some of the all time greats. 1996 and 1972 were really nice in the Puget Sound region. Both had a decent period of snow cover and local lakes froze over. That's when the totally awesome 1928-29 really got going also. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 He does offer lots of good information here. Things obviously go off track and long range forecasts go awry... but I still find most of his posts informative and sometimes fascinating.Thank you. I really do appreciate it. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Yeah................. You're still nuts. Well...you might have a point there. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Hmmm...maybe I'm not so crazy after all! You spend time with the rest of us focused on being hopeful for weather events that are exceedingly rare for the lowlands here...we are all crazy. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Taking a GFS run beyond 240 hours and claiming victory is probably not the best idea. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Not seeing much improvement on the ensemble. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 and the GEFS says.... NOPE. No support Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Ensembles aren't bad. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted January 13, 2018 Report Share Posted January 13, 2018 Indeed! Justin and I have mentioned that a time or two in the recent past. Events that begin in late Jan and go into Feb are some of the all time greats. 1996 and 1972 were really nice in the Puget Sound region. Both had a decent period of snow cover and local lakes froze over. That's when the totally awesome 1928-29 really got going also. I have really good memories of that 1996 event down here. A number of aspects from that event have yet to be repeated in the 20+ years since. The 6 straight highs below freezing at PDX. Maximum of 23 under clear skies. Extensive ice floes on the Columbia. Hood River at -9. Corbett with 90-100 mph outflow gusts, along with temperatures in the single digits and heavy sleet/ZR. And a 50-year flood on the transition out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.