Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 6z GFS Ensembles best yet. Yakima 850mb is downright cold and potential for a massive backdoor blast.chart(4).png --12z GFS in 3 hours 14 minutesAt the very least things are looking good for a modified Arctic Blast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 GFS says. NOPE Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 LOL...This is not a warm nose situation,.OK... then its just not favorably geographically here without the benefit of cold air damning. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 32f moderate snow, 1” so far 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Seattle might have their big event of the winter during the first week of February in two consecutive years.February could be making a comeback. 2011, 2014, 2017, and now maybe 2018. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 32f moderate snow, 1” so farNice! Elevation is key today. Except in the Hood Canal area which does well in this situation. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 GFS says. NOPE The run isn't even out to day 6. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 12Z GEM is still very much on board! The full North America view of the maps are coming out much slower... but the CONUS view is done through 240 hours and you can see that it did not back down at all from the 00Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Amazing how much better the GEM is. Up to about 1/2" now..,.About time to leave for the airport! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 12Z GEM is still very much on board! The full North America view of the maps are coming out much slower... but the CONUS view is done through 240 hours and you can see that it did not back down at all from the 00Z run.Yeah, the GFS once again looks like it's going to be the last one to jump onboard. I guess that's why some people call it GooFuS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 The GEM would be a ton of snow up here... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Looks like to me that the GFS is slowly coming around. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Gem looks snowy for Seattle just ten days from now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 12Z GEM is still very much on board! The full North America view of the maps are coming out much slower... but the CONUS view is done through 240 hours and you can see that it did not back down at all from the 00Z run.It is so different than the GFS it is hard to know what to think about it. I bet it snows at your house later today. 36F rain here this morning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 It is so different than the GFS it is hard to know what to think about it. I bet it snows at your house later today. 36F rain here this morning No.. precip is coming through this morning. 925 temps are warmer this afternoon. This is not a snow set-up for me... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Looks like to me that the GFS is slowly coming around. Something of a back door push. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 I literally cannot load Tropical Tidbits maps on my computer right now. It takes 3 minutes to pull up one image. But I can crank through everything on my phone with no delay. So frustrating. Everything else loads fine. I am having visions of throwing this laptop off the upper deck and watching it smash it pieces. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Something of a back door push. Yeah...trending towards the ECMWF. I feel like the operational GEM is the biggest outlier at this point in terms of how we get there. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 I literally cannot load Tropical Tidbits maps on my computer right now. It takes 3 minutes to pull up one image. But I can crank through everything on my phone though. So frustrating. Everything loads fine. I am having visions of throwing this laptop off the upper deck and watching it smash it pieces. Same here yesterday it was slow but fast on phone. It is not my firewall. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Something of a back door push. Majestic block on the 12Z GFS. Its would not take much to become something great like the GEM. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 The trend on the gfs in good. It is so close to very good. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 I literally cannot load Tropical Tidbits maps on my computer right now. It takes 3 minutes to pull up one image. But I can crank through everything on my phone with no delay. So frustrating. Everything else loads fine. I am having visions of throwing this laptop off the upper deck and watching it smash it pieces. Does weatherbell have similar maps? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Fantasyland GFS says Montana is the new Arctic circle. 486dm...ouch. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 It is so different than the GFS it is hard to know what to think about it. I bet it snows at your house later today. 36F rain here this morning Not only is too warm at the 925mb level for me today... there is not even much precipitation around here by this afternoon. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Not often you see a 1070 high in souther bc getting ready to attack us. Clown range or not impressive. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Does weatherbell have similar maps? Yes... I suppose. Too much information there to sort though. I like the easy view of Tropical Tidbits for the operational runs and WB for surface map details. But Tropical Tidbits is completely worthless to me right now. I feel like its 1995 and I am looking at weather maps over a dial-up internet connection! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest El nina Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Some snow in the rain this morning, 37°. Currently laying in bed with a high fever for the second day in a row. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 -40C @850mb in west central Montana at hour 384. Does anyone know what the 1989 arctic outbreak verified at for the NW? Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 -43*F in Montana. No big deal. Beat me to it! Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 That's a big boy up in Alaska. Woah. That is incredible. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 The gefs hasn’t improved over the 06z through day 11. Ridge is slightly closer to the coast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Those Mounains way in the distance are buried. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Son called said it is white at home. Here is union and hoodsport. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 GFS ensembles aren’t great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 There must be some offshore flow today. The radar shows solid precip here but there are only a few sprinkles... 37 degrees now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 GFS ensembles aren’t great.curious though, although it makes sense with the nature of the beast we are looking at, the graphed may look better because the GEFS is just the mean, right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 Son called said it is white at home. Here is union and hoodsport.light snow here also. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 25, 2018 Report Share Posted January 25, 2018 http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png?hc_location=ufi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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