February Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[FroYoBro]

Light snow now. Might be just enough to make the commute annoying in an hour. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

26 degrees with light snow falling and about 1/4" so far.

[FroYoBro]

NAM still looks snowy for Portland/SW Washington with the heavier accumulating stuff this evening. 

[FroYoBro]

I'm sure the big people up at Beaverton School District are looking out the window, very worried about their decision for the rest of the day. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Wow just woke up and looked at the radar! Here we go! I'm thinking 4-8" widespread snow PDX Metro by late tonight. Some isolated locations will be close to a foot.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Rod Hill update -

 

TUESDAY: Cloudy skies with morning flurries or light snow. Look for increasing snow by mid-afternoon. All elevations could see 1- 5" on the ground. Less snow north of Portland and heavier to the south. Downtown Portland could see 2-4". Southeast winds 5-15 mph, breezy near the gorge later today 15-25 mph.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Looks like the nam may have best handle on this. I dont think precip will have much problem making it to seatac. I dont think any of the models showed it moving in this fast or north already.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Still looking decent here, but doesn't look good for anyone south of salem now. 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

The snow field will fall 8 miles south of Poulsbo.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I think seattle area may do good tomorrow evening. Seattle office kinda touched on this. At this time I would not be shocked to see portland to olympia buried under 6 -12 inches by late tomorrow and maybe 2-4 north of Olympia to Seattle.

[MossMan]

Hit 19 early this morning but up to 21 now with the lower cloud deck. Heat wave!

[Timmy]

Showers intensifying here. Watch the nam on this one, it was the only one to show this so early here

[MossMan]

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

21 here lastnight and get this. -18 at my cabin i just emailed my buddy who lives about a mile away. Said that is the coldest this late in winter he has seen in a long time.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I think seattle area may do good tomorrow evening. Seattle office kinda touched on this. At this time I would not be shocked to see portland to olympia buried under 6 -12 inches by late tomorrow and maybe 2-4 north of Olympia to Seattle.

I like your thinking!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

So perhaps 1-3” up this way?

I think your going to get hit real hard this weekend. Would not be surprised if you got another foot.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

12z NAM-3km showing the deformation band going on well after sunset for PDX Metro. Particularly heavy snow around 8-9pm. Going to be a very snowy day and night! ❄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄

 

[Phil]

Wow, ahead of time. Snow is approaching Olympia as well already.

The overperformers always start earlier than forecast. At least that’s the rule here..never fails.

[MossMan]

I think your going to get hit real hard this weekend. Would not be surprised if you got another foot.

That would be incredible and approaching 1996 or 2008 territory!

I have a weird gut feeling I might see a few light snowflakes today...or it could just be the burrito that I ate last night.

[BLI snowman]

Hillsboro already reporting moderate snow. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

The overperformers always start earlier than forecast. At least that’s the rule here..never fails.

Yeah that's the same rule here.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Pretty healthy band already headed for puget sound. Some of it will be verga I'm sure.

[Phil]

Good luck, guys! This storm/pattern is well deserved after the last several years of blah. Last winter wasn’t nearly enough to even things out.

[Perturbed Member]

All white here, already feels like I have more snow than I did on Christmas eve (which was almost nothing). I forgot how quickly snow can accumulate when everything is already frozen. Precip is still light of course. 

[Kayla]

The 3km NAM nailed 1/10/17 and it appears to be locked in for this event at PDX. Looking like a really fun day for you guys! Looks like the West Hills will be the big winners, very similar to 1/10 as well.

 

Only downside to this event is that it will be coming in during peak heating in late Feb. Tough to get accumulations in the afternoon even here in MT at that time of day unless you see very heavy precip rates.

 

http://i67.tinypic.com/10qwh2d.png

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Snowing here in Gresham!

[Perturbed Member]

The 3km NAM nailed 1/10/17 and it appears to be locked in for this event at PDX. Looking like a really fun day for you guys! Looks like the West Hills will be the big winners, very similar to 1/10 as well.

 

Only downside to this event is that it will be coming in during peak heating in late Feb. Tough to get accumulations in the afternoon even here in MT at that time of day unless you see very heavy precip rates.

 

http://i67.tinypic.com/10qwh2d.png

 

Was just about to say, 3km NAM seems really solid in the very short term. It had been showing 6-9 AM as the start time for a few runs while other models were much slower. NWS and even Mark Nelsen discounted the NAMs timing and so they have already busted badly on that aspect. Mark was still calling for clear roads until 3 PM at the earliest. That will not work out obviously. 

[FroYoBro]

Was just about to say, 3km NAM seems really solid in the very short term. It had been showing 6-9 AM as the start time for a few runs while other models were much slower. NWS and even Mark Nelsen discounted the NAMs timing and so they have already busted badly on that aspect. Mark was still calling for clear roads until 3 PM at the earliest. That will not work out obviously. 

 

I still think clear roads until late afternoon is a good call. The middle of day should dry up and warm up a bit. These morning showers aren't going to be too bad for the roads. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Wow, Banks, Cornelius, Forest Grove, Oregon City and Vernonia school districts just closed for the day.

[Perturbed Member]

I still think clear roads until late afternoon is a good call. The middle of day should dry up and warm up a bit. These morning showers aren't going to be too bad for the roads. 

 

Maybe for parts of the metro, but roads out here on the far west are already snow covered. The early snow cover should help with resisting day time heating a bit more too. 

[HighlandExperience]

Precip field is a lot further north than I thought it would be. Hope that’s a good sign for everyone

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Mod snow and 30 at hoquiam.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Moderate snow here in Gresham, roads snow covered already.

[Phil]

[FroYoBro]

Wow, Banks, Cornelius, Forest Grove, Oregon City and Vernonia school districts just closed for the day.

Beaverton SD is really getting nervous now, though the roads are still mostly bare here. Still snowing lightly. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Beaverton SD is really getting nervous now, though the roads are still mostly bare here. Still snowing lightly.

Looks like another band about to hit Hillsboro and Beaverton. I think they need to close early if the main event comes earlier in the afternoon.

[Front Ranger]

I think seattle area may do good tomorrow evening. Seattle office kinda touched on this. At this time I would not be shocked to see portland to olympia buried under 6 -12 inches by late tomorrow and maybe 2-4 north of Olympia to Seattle.

 

Unfortunately, latest GFS does not support this scenario.

[BLI snowman]

Maybe for parts of the metro, but roads out here on the far west are already snow covered. The early snow cover should help with resisting day time heating a bit more too. 

 

Solid dusting on the road here as well. Just about all of my Sunday snow had already melted off out of the shade. Just going to be a matter of how much we warm up here during the lighter precip early this afternoon. I think about 34 or so locally, PDX maybe 35-36.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The 12z GFS has increased amounts for Kelso, Clark Co, and the Cascade foothills, but is not nearly as good for West metro and west of I-5 until you get down towards Eugene.

[Front Ranger]

Precip field is a lot further north than I thought it would be. Hope that’s a good sign for everyone

 

Most models did show the precip making it as far north as it is now, everything is just running a bit ahead of schedule.

 

It's certainly possible some flurries get as far north as Seattle, but I wouldn't get your hopes up for much more than that today.