snow_wizard Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Last couple days of March look chilly. That is definitely something to watch. Nearly every GFS run either has a cold continental air intrusion or very close to it. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 The pattern toward the end of the month has the potential to be a cherry on top as well. Some runs have been hinting at an intrusion of continental air making it in here for another bout of freezing lows. I am really liking the way things are unfolding here. Certainly reminding me of the mid 1980s in a lot of ways. This could be one of the more satisfying years in a very long time. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Wow Portland NWS is predicting some big time totals here. Still an hour until the WWA begins, we've had about 1/2" so far. Northern Oregon Cascade Foothills-Cascade Foothills in Lane County-Including the cities of Sandy, Estacada, Silver Falls State Park,Sweet Home, Vida, Jasper, Lowell, and Cottage Grove320 PM PDT Thu Mar 22 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THISEVENING TO 6 PM PDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 14inches are expected. * WHERE...Northern Oregon Cascade Foothills and CascadeFoothills in Lane County. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 6 PM PDT Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult toimpossible, including during the morning commute on Friday.Expect reduced visibilities at times. You could really get smacked with this. That shower field is super impressive. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Precip type on the Seattle radar is almost all snow now. Definitely colder than I was expecting at this stage of the event. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 I am really liking the way things are unfolding here. Certainly reminding me of the mid 1980s in a lot of ways. This could be one of the more satisfying years in a very long time. Even UHI afflicted PDX is just a few tenths of a degree shy of recording their coldest average low for March since 1985. The pattern shown on the 00Z GFS would certainly get them there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Even UHI afflicted PDX is just a few tenths of a degree shy of recording their coldest average low for March since 1985. The pattern shown on the 00Z GFS would certainly get them there. Yesterdays low of 42 at EUG was the first low above 38 there this month, might be the only low outside the 30s they have this month. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Yesterdays low of 42 at EUG was the first low above 38 there this month, might be the only low outside the 30s they have this month. That probably finds them in pretty exclusive company as far as other Marches go, historically. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 GEM is nice Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Most coastal locations from Tillamook north are now in the mid to upper 30s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 35 here. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 No doubt this weekend is going to ice it for this month to average solidly below normal for pretty much everywhere in the Western lowlands. 3/4 months from Dec-Mar below normal. Too bad January was such a warm turd. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 NWS forecasting highs of 43 tomorrow at Salem and Eugene. Both would be records. Ballsy! Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Record MIN/MAX for PDX tomorrow is 46 from 1975. Would be tough but it could be close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Very heavy line of showers coming ashore at Newport. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Both gfs and gem ensembles look good for the late month trough. Dropping to around -5C Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 The ensemble is trending colder for late month /early April now. Another sustained period of -5 and lower with many members. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 600 feet. Wow! I have no reason to doubt the snowfall the WRF is showing for the Puget Sound region tomorrow night from a cold standpoint at least. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 600 feet. Wow! I have no reason to doubt the snowfall the WRF is showing for the Puget Sound region tomorrow night from a cold standpoint at least.That would be amazing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 One month ago today I still had snow on the ground from the amazing stretch of winter awesomeness! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 One month ago today I still had snow on the ground from the amazing stretch of winter awesomeness! That reminds me. I mentioned the LRC indicating we would potentially have another round of anomalous cold in the late March time frame a while back. Looks like it happened. The problem with the LRC is knowing which winters it's in effect. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Pretty big amorphous blob over SW WA right now. Radar indicates there's lot of precip associated with it moving toward the Seattle area. Some wet snow can't be ruled out late tonight. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 WOW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 The best chance for those living west of the Cascades of seeing snow down to the lowest elevations looks to be Saturday morning. 00z GFS shows snow practically down to sea level just before sunrise on Saturday. Just going to be a question of whether there is enough moisture left before the system moves on through. Anything until then will be a bonus. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 WOW. 00E14BF6-5D0F-4814-ABB4-8FE9FEEFE7D9.pngCould you post Seattle as well? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Really coming down out there. Over 1" on the ground now and up to 1.2" on the day. Temp down to 32. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Wow... .NOW...At 1110 PM, a line of showers was moving through the WillametteValley and producing wind gusts in the 30 to 40 mph range atHillsboro, Portland airport, Aurora, and McMinnville. At the sametime a line of showers and isolated thunderstorms was movingonshore along the north and central Oregon coasts and into thecoast range. In addition, these features have dropped the snowlevel below 1000 feet, with a report of snow near Corvallis andand Oregon Department of Transportation cameras in the coast rangeshowing snow covering the roadways at Lees Camp and the SunsetRest area along Highway 26. This unsettled weather will likelycontinue at times through tonight so use caution if you are outand about. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Corvallis 34 with flurries on the hour. PDX was gusting to 38. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 After we get through 3 straight days of warm front drizzle up here (Mon-Wed) on the 00Z ECMWF... it turns pretty decent and next weekend looks nice. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 About 2" on the ground now. Now that it is just after midnight and still 32, I have my 19th freeze of the month. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Just ran Eugene's numbers. Every minimum was 40 or lower from Feb. 4th to March 20th this year. The 45-day streak was the 7th longest all-time at EUG, and the latest into spring (of such length) since a record-breaking 122 day stretch ended on 3/29/1985. Eugene didn't have a single minimum over 40 between November 27, 1984 and March 30, 1985! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Just ran Eugene's numbers. Every minimum was 40 or lower from Feb. 4th to March 20th this year. The 45-day streak was the 7th longest all-time at EUG, and the latest into spring (of such length) since a record-breaking 122 day stretch ended on 3/29/1985. Eugene didn't have a single minimum over 40 between November 27, 1984 and March 30, 1985! Pretty amazing numbers. Interesting 1985 has been showing up. Jim has been referencing that year quite a bit recently. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Pretty amazing numbers. Interesting 1985 has been showing up. Jim has been referencing that year quite a bit recently. I've noticed. 1985 is actually underrated for how streaky/anomalous it was. Very little in the way of normal at any point that year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 I've noticed. 1985 is actually underrated for how streaky/anomalous it was. Very little in the way of normal at any point that year. I believe 1985 is the coldest year on record at SLE... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Still 39 here Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 WOW. 00E14BF6-5D0F-4814-ABB4-8FE9FEEFE7D9.png Payback for April 2014 through most of 2016. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 I believe 1985 is the coldest year on record at SLE... Wow! SEA was colder a number of years in the 1950s, but it was a cold year for sure. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 Pretty amazing numbers. Interesting 1985 has been showing up. Jim has been referencing that year quite a bit recently. The period from Sept 1983 through Feb 1986 is really burned into my mind. A lot of good happened in that run. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted March 23, 2018 Report Share Posted March 23, 2018 I believe 1985 is the coldest year on record at SLE... Surprised it beat 1955. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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