March Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[ShawniganLake]

Nice day.

[Front Ranger]

Flatiron invented the internet just so he could establish this forum just so he could mention it before I mentioned it before Phil mentioned it.

 

Then Al Gore tried to claim he invented the internet before I could mention that Phil predicted I would invent the internet - though as usual, he was 3 weeks slow/fast.

[TT-SEA]

Nice day.

 

It was gorgeous... finally clouding up here now though.  

[Front Ranger]

Wow the 18Z GFS has taken a total 360 on the 12Z!  Snowstorm and weak arctic front in a week and a half!  

 

Drunk uncle going for a spin!

[Jesse]

Nice day.

 

Indeed. Has yet to top 51 here with moderate showers at times.

[Phil]

[snow_wizard]

Pretty historic looking pattern during week 2 on the 18z GFS.  It would be a kick to see something like that verify.

[MossMan]

Snowflakes in the air today from Ellensburg to Cle Elum.

Light rain now at home and 49.

[TT-SEA]

Snowflakes in the air today from Ellensburg to Cle Elum.

Light rain now at home and 49.

 

Had a few sprinkles here but dry again now with broken clouds... still pretty warm as well at 54.

[stuffradio]

Pretty historic looking pattern during week 2 on the 18z GFS.  It would be a kick to see something like that verify.

Kick would be an understatement. #kalefail

[snow_wizard]

Snowflakes in the air today from Ellensburg to Cle Elum.

Light rain now at home and 49.

 

I'm pretty surprised it was snow over there with the state being under the warm sector.

[Jesse]

I'm pretty surprised it was snow over there with the state being under the warm sector.

There was a fairly cold and dry continental airmass left over the region this morning, then a warm front moved up from the low off the California coast as it merged with the low/cold front dropping down out of Alaska. Pretty interesting pattern.

 

Some snow in the Kittitas valley wouldn’t surprise me with this setup considering how well that area holds onto cold, especially when the flow is offshore.

[TT-SEA]

Picture today from Monroe WA... I thought she captured a nice spring scene (and the beautiful weather up here today).  That garden was planted today. 

 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Picture today from Monroe WA... I thought she captured a nice spring scene (and the beautiful weather up here today).  That garden was planted today. 

 

 

That rhodo looks drought stressed.

[TT-SEA]

That rhodo looks drought stressed.

Its not.

 

Might be frost stressed though.

[Esquimalt]

The 00Z GFS going with lots of frosty nights in the MR to LR.  Sounds like Jim's in luck.  Not sure sure about Tim 

[TT-SEA]

The 00Z GFS going with lots of frosty nights in the MR to LR.  Sounds like Jim's in luck.  Not sure sure about Tim 

 

So the GFS has the pattern nailed perfectly at 10 days out?  

 

Anything dry with some sun is good with me right now. 

[Jesse]

Picture today from Monroe WA... I thought she captured a nice spring scene (and the beautiful weather up here today). That garden was planted today.

 

Lots of dead patches in that lawn.

[bainbridgekid]

If only this morning's 1.33km WRF had a chance to verify . . .      

 

Must be trying to develop some seriously impressive graupel showers.

 

 

Unsurprisingly, the 00z seems to have snapped back to reality and is essentially snowless below 1,000 feet.

[TT-SEA]

Lots of dead patches in that lawn.

 

Well worn.   

[Jesse]

A panorama of central Vancouver looking toward St. Helens. From the Burnt Bridge Creek greenway this morning.

 

[Jesse]

Well worn.

 

Regional drought.

[Front Ranger]

Complete wasteland, that yard.

[TT-SEA]

A panorama of central Vancouver looking toward St. Helens. From the Burnt Bridge Creek greenway this morning.

 

0650E0D1-F212-487A-A447-7240A90B9952.jpeg

 

Nice power lines.   

[TT-SEA]

Regional drought.

 

True.   

 

Always a big concern in March.  

[Jesse]

Nice power lines.   

 

Thanks. I thought they framed the dangerously low snowpack on St. Helens nicely.

[TT-SEA]

Complete wasteland, that yard.

 

Pretty sure that grass is not a concern at all there... they must focus on the garden.     Its probably more weeds than grass.   

[TT-SEA]

Here is another one from today... she was asking about removing the dead growth from last year.    Lots of things going on here... including some white flowering trees and a pink blossoming cherry in the background.

 

[Jesse]

Didn't someone create a gardening thread back in January?

[BLI snowman]

I'm actually not taking any more showers until this drought can be resolved.

[TT-SEA]

Didn't someone create a gardening thread back in January?

 

Not sure... go investigate.   

[Jesse]

Not sure... go investigate.   

 

http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1721-all-encompassing-buddingblooming-and-dormancy/

[Jesse]

Starting to look like Friday will be our only shot at a high in the 40s with the upcoming trough, at least down here. All of the other days should have sufficient sunbreaks to bump things to 50 or above. 

[TT-SEA]

http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1721-all-encompassing-buddingblooming-and-dormancy/

 

Its very dormant there.  

[Jesse]

Its very dormant there.  

 

Out of season dormancy will often arise from low water availability.

[TT-SEA]

Starting to look like Friday will be our only shot at a high in the 40s with the upcoming trough, at least down here. All of the other days should have sufficient sunbreaks to bump things to 50 or above.

GFS MOS shows 49 at SEA on Friday even with broken clouds all day.

[bainbridgekid]

Starting to look like Friday will be our only shot at a high in the 40s with the upcoming trough, at least down here. All of the other days should have sufficient sunbreaks to bump things to 50 or above. 

I think Thursday-Sunday all have a chance here. It will be close though.

 

4 straight highs in the 40's would be impressive this time of year.

[Jesse]

I think Thursday-Sunday all have a chance here. It will be close though.

 

4 straight highs in the 40's would be impressive this time of year.

Yeah, it’s tough to say. The upper airmass is definitely cold enough assuming there are clouds and precip around peak heating. The sun is nearing mid-September strength, though.

[Jesse]

The continuing stretch of cold lows definitely looks to be impressive.

[bainbridgekid]

Yeah, it’s tough to say. The upper airmass is definitely cold enough assuming there are clouds and precip around peak heating. The sun is nearing mid-September strength, though.

It will definitely be all about the timing of precip and sunbreaks. Even 850's around -10 would likely bring highs near 50 this time of year under full sunshine.

 

As it is we will have 850's around -6 to -7 with on and off showers. Tough call.