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March Weather in the Pacific Northwest


stuffradio

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Finally turned clear here in the past few minutes.   Another heavy frost in store tonight.  A really solid and interesting March overall.

 

 

This is a great satellite image and loop to use at night...  best I have seen yet.

 

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=subregional-Pac_NW-07-48-0-100-1&checked=map

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Ironic.

 

Perhaps try a well-reasoned, logic-based response next time? You’re going to have a rough time as a scientist if you let your reptilian hindbrain get the best of you. I never did any of the salacious things you claimed I did.

You're going to have a rough time as a scientist.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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You're going to have a rough time as a scientist.

Dude, I already am. Hell, I’m still washing the January stench out of my clothes.

 

In all honesty, I’m very happy with my academic progress at the moment. Procrastination aside, if all goes smoothly we’ll be submitting for publication sometime this summer.

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Dude, I already am. Hell, I’m still washing the January stench out of my clothes.

 

In all honesty, I’m very happy with my academic progress at the moment. Procrastination aside, if all goes smoothly we’ll be submitting for publication sometime early this summer.

Several publications I've recently read say we may see another January in about nine months.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Well the cold trough is gone on the GFS. Oh well...

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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It was fun to look at while it lasted.

 

Oh well. Some light snow this morning. Models have been performing well lately. They totally nailed this small feature rolling through this morning.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Oh well. Some light snow this morning. Models have been performing well lately. They totally nailed this small feature rolling through this morning.

It would have been interesting to see it verify but part of me is ready for the winter to be over. Locally, we haven’t seen a decent snow producing pattern since December 19th.
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Eugene somehow hit 31.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Found a way to rain here all night and not even drop into the 30s. Sub freezing lows along the coast though.

 

ECMWF shows mid to upper 40s for lows coming up starting tomorrow once we get into the perpetual warm front fun.   Hopefully most of that falls as rain in the mountains too.    We need to melt off that snow up there as fast as possible!     <_>

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Vancouver island is still struggling though...

 

 

Indeed.   Tragedy continues up there.   

 

http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1753-march-weather-in-the-pacific-northwest/page-72

 

 

While a high snowpack level threatens flooding for parts of the B.C. Interior, it may spell good news for Vancouver Island's fish. 

Accumulated snow on Vancouver Island mountains is at a seven-year peak, with a snowpack currently around 122 per cent of normal levels, according to Dave Campbell, head of the B.C. River Forecast Centre.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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ECMWF shows mid to upper 40s for lows coming up starting tomorrow once we get into the perpetual warm front fun. Hopefully most of that falls as rain in the mountains too. We need to melt off that snow up there as fast as possible! <_>

You will perhaps recall that I was hoping to see a dry transition out of this trough as well.

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You will perhaps recall that I was hoping to see a dry transition out of this trough as well.

 

I know.   That was intended for someone who thinks we "need" 3 days of warm front rain and snow melt right now.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Sun coming out and 36, maybe it won't be such a bad day! I need to do yardwork so this snow can melt...

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Its in the books now. Its served it’s purpose.

 

Yep! Still probably to much to melt in a day without rain though.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12Z GFS is about the same as its 00Z run for next weekend... then does something totally different again after that.

 

12Z GEM completely flipped back again.   It was crazy deep and cold with the trough next weekend on the 00Z run and now back to being quite ridgy for next weekend on the 12Z run.   

 

The models have no idea how to handle this evolution.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Little backdoor action on the 12z!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Scratch that dewpoint reading above for here... must have been a bad reading.   It jumped to 35 a minute later and stayed there.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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41 right now. Got down to 39 last night.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GFS ensemble blended mean for days 10-15... still looks like main center of cold is centered in the Midwest and NE and almost all of Canada.

 

gefs_t850a_5d_noram_61.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Tomorrow looks about as ugly as it gets on the 12Z ECMWF... widespread drizzle and light rain from Eugene northward with highs in the mid 40s at best and yet very little mountain snow.   And then snow level are on the rise after that.

 

Tuesday is the same with even heavier rain in the usual areas north and east of Seattle.   With highs well into the 50s down south and close to 50 in Seattle.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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