October 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Blizzard777]

This would be fairly decent up here... but don't trust it at all.   

 

 

The GFS does not show anything like the persistent firehose flooding pattern that the ECMWF shows starting Wednesday.    But I have learned never to doubt the ECMWF surface maps.

I need the GSF to be right on this one!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

First widespread freeze around the 10th?

[Blizzard777]

Oh Ya! Sun is shining and steam is rising off rooftops

[Jesse]

Finally, a break from the rain this month!

[TT-SEA]

Finally, a break from the rain this month!

Vampires stay in bed for a couple hours!

 

The rest of humanity... get outside for a couple hours.    The dark season is upon us now.  

[Jesse]

Vampires stay in bed for a couple hours!

 

The rest of humanity... get outside for a couple hours. The dark season is upon us now.

Nah, we are going to go to Sauvie’s Island. I have the ability to appreciate both, unlike you.

[TT-SEA]

Nah, we are going to go to Sauvie’s Island. I have the ability to appreciate both, unlike you.

 

Nah.   

[Jesse]

[Jesse]

It was far from historically dry.

It was an historically long stretch of 70s, which is what I said. Tied with 1952 for the longest stretch of 70+ on record so late in the season.

[TT-SEA]

It was an historically long stretch of 70s, which is what I said. Tied with 1952 for the longest stretch of 70+ on record so late in the season.

Deleted post... misread it or you took out dry.

[Jesse]

Deleted post... misread it or you took out dry.

I didn’t change anything.

[TT-SEA]

I didn’t change anything.

Then misread.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Also a historical stretch of cold lows for PDX. 

[TT-SEA]

Also a historical stretch of cold lows for PDX.

 

Excellent point.

[Jesse]

Also a historical stretch of cold lows for PDX.

Yup, great weather for outdoor activity in the falll.

[Jesse]

Today could be a sneaky warm day with all the sunshine, and the front sort of lagging offshore.

[TT-SEA]

Yup, great weather for outdoor activity in the falll.

I told you that when you were describing it as disgusting.

[TT-SEA]

I also said you would later praise the nice weather.

[Jesse]

I told you that when you were describing it as disgusting.

Rain is the only weather that is truly disgusting.

[TT-SEA]

Rain is the only weather that is truly disgusting.

Polluted inversions qualify as well.

[Jesse]

I also said you would later praise the nice weather.

Like I said, I can generally see the good in either. A.k.a. I’m an idiot.

[Jesse]

I always thought the lyrics to this song were pertinent to some of the debates/discussion on this forum.

 

https://youtu.be/cK5G8fPmWeA

[TT-SEA]

Like I said, I can generally see the good in either. A.k.a. I’m an idiot.

Not sure about that... you did say a period of sunny fall weather was disgusting.

[Jesse]

Not sure about that... you did say a period of sunny fall weather was disgusting.

Booked several motels just to jinx it. Didn’t work though.

[TT-SEA]

Booked several motels just to jinx it. Didn’t work though.

Only I have that power!

 

And motels do not work.

[Jesse]

[Front Ranger]

Only I have that power!

 

And motels do not work.

 

$300 minimum booking?

[TT-SEA]

$300 minimum booking?

$250.

 

Has to be full suite with kitchen and 2 bedrooms.

[Deweydog]

Only .075 of liquid equivalent at PDX since they hit the sobering high water mark several hours ago. Could be A LOT worse.

[Omegaraptor]

Heavy storm incoming.

 

Looks like Portland could get up to 1.5” today. Sustained heavy rain after 2PM. Up to 0.2” per hour - not typical PNW rain at all. There is a gale warning on the coast, also starting at 2PM.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

The PDO index was finally updated recently, not sure if anyone posted that.  0.18 for August, 0.09 for September.  

[MossMan]

When does the next deluge commence up here today? Hopefully after sunset?

[TT-SEA]

When does the next deluge commence up here today? Hopefully after sunset?

Around 4

[Front Ranger]

The PDO index was finally updated recently, not sure if anyone posted that. 0.18 for August, 0.09 for September.

So it's essentially been around neutral since spring.

[MossMan]

Around 4

Grand...just about the time I will be getting back home. Was really hoping to get a little yard work in. Hopefully we will catch a break tomorrow.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

So it's essentially been around neutral since spring.

Yeah.  Just thinking that if these storms can get rid of the warm blob in the NE Pacific, it could go negative, given the real warm SST in the Western Pacific.  

[Blizzard777]

The historically long stretch of sunshine and 70s mid-month might have been a good time to decorate if it was going to come down to a few dry hours the Saturday before Halloween, though. Just sayin.

Eye candy surprises for kids...need to hug it as close as I can without giving away the magic

[Deweydog]

Decorating for Halloween this year took as as long as it took to change the white porch light bulbs out for orange ones.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF is farther north with the warm front on Halloween afternoon and evening compared to the 00Z run.

 

Its shows strong south winds across the lowlands all afternoon and evening with a temp around 60 even late into the evening... it also shows rain over all of the mountains but could be some decent shadowing in the populated areas from Portland to Everett with very heavy rain even along I-5 to the north of Everett all afternoon and evening.  

[MossMan]

12Z ECMWF is farther north with the warm front on Halloween afternoon and evening compared to the 00Z run.

 

Its shows strong south winds across the lowlands all afternoon and evening with a temp around 60 even late into the evening... it also shows rain over all of the mountains but could be some decent shadowing in the populated areas from Portland to Everett with very heavy rain even along I-5 to the north of Everett all afternoon and evening.

I am now 100% ready for the fall storms. Just finished putting the new chain on the chainsaw, the generator is serviced and fueled up, and I filled all of my gas cans. Could be a dark and spooky Halloween night! My wife is due that day as well so I’m sure I will be cutting my way out of my driveway to get to Everett. When my first daughter was born I had to tackle a snowstorm to get her there.