January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[ShawniganLake]

[catnip]

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Do you also have the temp map?

[ShawniganLake]

[catnip]

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Nice! Thanks Monty.

[ShawniganLake]

All of the day10-15 period looks very stable. The result is

 

[MossMan]

It’s been socked in here. Even a little drizzle

Gorgeous day here, too bad you were socked in up there. Hopefully you will be socked in with snow soon!

[Jesse]

Pretty miserable weather here the past couple days. My least favourite weather this time of year. Dark overcast and mild. 43/40 here today.

We’ve been in low clouds and fog. Cleaned out very briefly around sunset today. Similar highs but our lows have been near freezing.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

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Regional

[Gradient Keeper]

EPS looks promising for backdoor cold. With a bit better amplification and tilt we would see an arctic blast, maybe even a major one.

[Gradient Keeper]

6z GFS in 14 minutes

 

Think Cold and SNOW!!!!
❄ ❄ ☃ ❄ ❄

[ChilliwackBCwx]

Excitement is building best signals all winter, lots of members on board this time.

[Requiem]

Excitement is building best signals all winter, lots of members on board this time.

 

I'm excited for what lies ahead!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Night shift friends!!!

[Gradient Keeper]

I'm barely awake. Cautiously optimistic, but not excited yet.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I'm barely awake. Cautiously optimistic, but not excited yet.

Yeah not going to let my guard down yet.

[ChilliwackBCwx]

Yeah there will be waffling from the models but l hope its not drastic.

[ChilliwackBCwx]

Tonight l've got my Monster drink and Orange cookie bud.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Tonight l've got my Monster drink and Orange cookie bud.

Yours and Rob’s play-by-play is fantastic

[Requiem]

I'm barely awake. Cautiously optimistic, but not excited yet.

 

How's the east wind looking for Monday?

[ChilliwackBCwx]

Thanks l'm not a pro at it, l just try to describe the features best l can.

[Gradient Keeper]

How's the east wind looking for Monday?

Quite impressive. 00z WRF-GFS 1.33km hi res shows 40-50kt gusts!

 

[Requiem]

Quite impressive. 00z WRF-GFS 1.33km hi res shows 40-50kt gusts!

 

 

That's actually quite impressive, and NAM shows something quite similar. Do those models typically do better on East Wind events?

[ChilliwackBCwx]

O.k. Hr. 60 early in the game subtle differences nothing to worry about, it's the undercutting lows that does the monkey wrenching. Hr. 78 similar to the 00Z that's a good sign it hasn't gone off the rails, I like the area of low pressure supressed so far south. Hr. 102 area of low sliding down the coast love to see those not getting pushed inland low off Hawaii needs to inflate the heights into Alaska. Hr. 114 similar to the 00Z not off the rails that's a good sign. Hr. 138 nice development coastal sliders lets hope merging high is under way by the end of next week awesome so far! Hr. 156 wow similar to the 00Z

[Requiem]

Night shift friends!!!

 

I'll be up for night shift, have a ton of work to do anyways.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3 same cut-off low sinking southward towards California, but Kona Low is even further west. Let's see how Days 4-6 progress now.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

Aleutian ridge is a few notches stronger than 00z. Heights suppressing more quickly over BC.

[Requiem]

Day 4

Aleutian ridge is a few notches stronger than 00z. Heights suppressing more quickly over BC.

 

Is this good or bad for cold chances?

[Gradient Keeper]

Is this good or bad for cold chances?

Good potentially, but it all depends on how this block evolves Day 5-7 and the degree of amplification.

[Requiem]

Good potentially, but it all depends on how this block evolves Day 5-7 and the degree of amplification.

 

Fingers crossed. Thanks for putting up wit my incessant questions!

[ChilliwackBCwx]

Good potentially, but it all depends on how this block evolves Day 5-7 and the degree of amplification.

And the trough along the coast as well.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6

[Requiem]

Day 6

 

Nice....I think.

[Gradient Keeper]

Block must amplify or else it's going to be hard to drive the arctic air southward over us.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7 strong block, great placement, great tilt, needs amplification. It's always something!

[ChilliwackBCwx]

Day 7 strong block, great placement, great tilt, needs amplification. It's always something!

Yes very nice I'll let you take over DJ it's show time folks!

[Gradient Keeper]

We finally manage a great pattern and there's no amplification. I hope that changes in runs the next 2-3 days.

[ChilliwackBCwx]

We finally manage a great pattern and there's no amplification. I hope that changes in runs the next 2-3 days.

Hr. 192 could that be the merging high showing up? Hr. 198 looks like it's merging to me.

[Gradient Keeper]

Fell asleep. Cya for 12z maybe.

[ChilliwackBCwx]

Fell asleep. Cya for 12z maybe.

LOL! o.k. yeah so far just a glancing blow but hasn't collapsed at least potential still there. Hr. 276 looks interesting la la land but good things there I would say low off the coast back door cold near by, I think DJ nodded off to soon. Ouch ends different then the 00Z oh well onto the 12Z the last few frames were weird, outlier I hope. Up next the FV3 for those that wish to stay up later.