SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 00Z EPS at day 8... Okay, so that is bad... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Yeah, my wife did about five years in the ER so she’s cool as a cucumber when it comes to just about anything health related. Unless it’s happening to me I’m a basket case. She always gives me s**t when one of the kids gets sick and I go nuclear over it. She and another vacationing nurse did CPR on a guy at Disneyland back in 2009. He didn’t make it. She’s a failure. That sucks... no idea how they can handle people dying. I can't handle anything like that. Thankfully there are people like that in the world. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Clown range, but better than I was expecting download.pngYeah. That's not great and compared to the previous 3-4 runs a step backwards, but it's a lot better than I expected. This isn't over yet folks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Don’t worry about climate change guys, worry endlessly about something that you can actually have some sort of impact on instead...like getting sunny weekends in North Bend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Day 10: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Clown range, but better than I was expecting download.pngI’m thinking we just need to get through this “false start” and things will look much more favorable after the 10th. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 FWIW, the Canadian ensembles tend to bias towards the Indo-Pacific type convection and often default to a stable Niña/SE-ridge look in the clown range as a result. The EPS is less robust with said bias when the MJO is not initialized from the IO domain, but also deals with the MC barrier effect in the mean(s) to some extent. The GEFS might have an inverted bias especially during boreal summer/autumn, and tend to the WHEM/W-IO style tropical forcing. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 That sucks... no idea how they can handle people dying. I can't handle anything like that. Thankfully there are people like that in the world.Then again if there’s a spider in the house she loses her mind... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 I don't make stuff up. Never have, never will. And I'm cursed with a very good memory.Your memory isn’t as good as mine. I know exactly what I said. Just stop. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Don’t worry about climate change guys, worry about something that you can actually have some sort of impact on...like getting sunny weekends in North Bend. That is all about planning. Nature is going to do what its going to do. But we can be mobile when necessary. I just appreciate the hell out of any sunny weekend nature throws my way during my short stay on this planet. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Just checked my Accuweather app. Says snow mixed with rain in the morning of January 23rd in Seattle. At least something to be excited about! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 That is all about planning. Nature is going to do what its going to do. But we can be mobile when necessary. I just appreciate the hell out of any sunny weekend nature throws my way during my short stay on this planet. No one lives forever. No one. But with advances in modern science, and my high level of income, I mean, it's not crazy to think I can't live to be 245, maybe 300. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Day 13: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 EPS Day 12+ improves. Backdoor chilly air. YAY! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Tilt!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Hopefully the rug can be pulled quicker this next time. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Hopefully the rug can be pulled quicker this next time.What if I don't own a rug? .... Do I throw blankets in a fit or rage, or perhaps rip my curtains off the wall? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 We’re quickly running out of people who have a memory of January 1950. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 That sucks... no idea how they can handle people dying. I can't handle anything like that. Thankfully there are people like that in the world. First person I saw die was about 11 years ago now, a couple months after December 08'. I had been caregiving for a guy with end stage metastasized lung cancer for a few months. When he went it was so peaceful and and end to unimaginable suffering. He was on hospice so there was no life saving effort or anything like that, but in that setting, death is not really frightening at all.. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 EPS Day 12+ improves. Backdoor chilly air. YAY! Trend is not our friend though... Day 9-14 mean on the 00Z EPS last night: And on the new 00Z run: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Not great, but not awful. I guess. 500mb pattern much like the Canadian is not far off from being significantly better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 We’re quickly running out of people who have a memory of January 1950. When I worked up the Mt. Angel Abbey about 15 years ago there was a Russian Orthodox monk who lived on the hill apart from the Benedictine community. He had been up there since 1948. I asked him how epic January 1950 was and he just stared at me like I was crazy...But I wasn't the one who had been living in a relic museum for 56 years... I will never get a chance to re-approach that question, he is gone now... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 When I worked up the Mt. Angel Abbey about 15 years ago there was a Russian Orthodox monk who lived on the hill apart from the Benedictine community. He had been up there since 1948. I asked him how epic January 1950 was and he just stared at me like I was crazy...But I wasn't the one who had been living in a relic museum for 56 years... I will never get a chance to re-approach that question, he is gone now...My dad was born in ‘46. No good. He was a linesman in Seattle in January 1969. Said it was snowy. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Cold signal in the long range is gradually getting weaker on the EPS. And the EPS completely caved to the GFS in the mid range... so now I am even more skeptical about the long range stuff. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 We’re quickly running out of people who have a memory of January 1950. I got a little wave of sadness when I realized that the 100 year anniversary of December 1919 had passed. Now one less awesome event in the last century Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 My dad was born in ‘46. No good. He was a linesman in Seattle in January 1969. Said it was snowy. My Dad is sort of a weenie too, born in 1952, but he grew up in Eastern Kentucky on the Ohio River. So he talks about big events back there growing up, but they kind of mean nothing to me. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Trend is not our friend though... Day 9-14 mean on the 00Z EPS last night: And on the new 00Z run: Nice try! The first one is the 12z! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 My dad was born in ‘46. No good. He was a linesman in Seattle in January 1969. Said it was snowy. My parents say that every winter featured snow to the rooftops in northern Wisconsin back in the 1940s and 50s. I went through the historical data and found some winters that were not very snowy... they said I was wrong. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Nice try! The first one is the 12z! My mistake. Even worse then. The 00Z run last night was colder than the 12Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 My parents say that every winter featured snow to the rooftops in northern Wisconsin back in the 1940s and 50s. I went through the historical data and found some winters that were not very snowy... they said I was wrong. My wife is like that. She acts like it was pretty normal to go through the winter with 2-3' of snow on the ground in Klamath Falls. The 90s were definitely not that snowy there. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 My wife is like that. She acts like it was pretty normal to go through the winter with 2-3' of snow on the ground in Klamath Falls. The 90s were definitely not that snowy there. You are wrong. She was there. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Speaking of 1968-69, right now that winter was....... active. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 First person I saw die was about 11 years ago now, a couple months after December 08'. I had been caregiving for a guy with end stage metastasized lung cancer for a few months. When he went it was so peaceful and and end to unimaginable suffering. He was on hospice so there was no life saving effort or anything like that, but in that setting, death is not really frightening at all..Again with this cancer stuff. Been dominating my emotions today. One of my sister’s close friends died just this morning from stomach cancer. He was only 23 or 24 and it came as a huge shock since he was in the hospital for just a week and was working out a treatment plan with the doctors when he passed. She has to cut her Miami trip short now to attend his funeral. I just saw him a few months ago and he was just fine. Must have hit very fast. Then a few hours after I read that news I saw John Lewis was diagnosed with stage-4 pancreatic cancer. This all coming after my grandmother needed an ER trip the day before I left town. Like what the hell. I feel like I’m surrounded by death and mortality. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 No matter what the EPS says, we are ALL going to die. Some much sooner than others. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 No matter what the EPS says, we are ALL going to die. Some much sooner than others. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Some will die between now and the next top tier Arctic outbreak. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Again with this cancer stuff. Been dominating my emotions today. One of my sister’s close friends died just this morning from stomach cancer. He was only 23 or 24 and it came as a huge shock since he was in the hospital for just a week and was working out a treatment plan with the doctors when he passed. She has to cut her Miami trip short now to attend his funeral. I just saw him a few months ago and he was just fine. Must have hit very fast. Then a few hours after I read that news I saw John Lewis was diagnosed with stage-4 pancreatic cancer. This all coming after my grandmother needed an ER trip the day before I left town. Like what the hell. I feel like I’m surrounded by death and mortality. Sorry about that. Life is full of heavy moments. My parents were both the youngest children in their families and had kids a little later, so just in the family I've had to deal with a lot of loss over the years. I think about it a lot. We never know what the road holds for us, I am 35, now I realize nothing is promised. I could live to be 90-100 like some of my family members, or be cut down much sooner, like my paternal grandfather (48) or my mom (55). You just never know. My grandmother is 95 and has outlived both her daughters. My uncle who has battled obesity and diabetes his entire life has outlived his younger sisters and his wife. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Speaking of 1968-69, right now that winter was....... active.Abbotsford was 5F / -4F with windchills approaching -30F on Dec 29/1968. Fairly chilly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Abbotsford was 5F / -4F with windchills approaching -30F on Dec 29/1968. Fairly chilly.The GFS a couple days ago said that is WEAK SAUCE. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 Abbotsford was 5F / -4F with windchills approaching -30F on Dec 29/1968. Fairly chilly. Fairbanks, AK would close that month with a -47/-53 day. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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