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April 2024 Observations and Discussion


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No big Deal...just your normal April Blizzard for parts of far western parts of NE...

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Blizzard Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
215 AM MDT Sun Apr 7 2024

NEZ019>021-054-055-071800-
/O.EXT.KCYS.BZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240407T1800Z/
Scotts Bluff County-Banner County-Morrill County-Kimball County-
Cheyenne County-
Including the cities of Scottsbluff, Gering, Harrisburg, Angora,
Bridgeport, Bayard, Redington, Kimball, Sidney, and Brownson
215 AM MDT Sun Apr 7 2024

...BLIZZARD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT TODAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  6 to 12 inches south of the North Platte River Valley
  anticipated in the highest elevations, with 1 to 3 inches for
  the lower valleys. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph.

* WHERE...Scotts Bluff County, Cheyenne County, Kimball County
  and Banner County. Primarily south of the North Platte River
  Valley.

* WHEN...Until Noon Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible.
  Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The Blizzard Warning replaces the current
  High Wind Warning in effect for the central and southern
  portions of the Nebraska Panhandle.

 

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A graduale warm up over the next week for most of the country.  The next chance for widespread significant weather should be around the 19th as this part of the pattern produced in early March. 

image.thumb.png.1ee137ee26b42bf56881fc222707418a.png

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The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 59/31 there was no rain/snow. The sun was out 100% of the time. The average wind speed was just 4.1 MPH For today the average H/L is 54/34 the record high of 81 was set in 1991 the record low of 3 was set in 1982. The most snow fall of 5” fell in 1956. The most snow on the ground was 7” in 1982 Last year the H/L was 50/30.

The overnight low here in MBY was 29 at this time it is clear and 41. We will be heading out for Ohio around noon. The weather at my picked out site is sill kind of up in the air with rain overnight and hopefully clearing before the eclipse.

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Forecast for a high of 69F here tomorrow. Might finally make progress on Feb's 68F, lol. And March was significantly AN across the state. I know it's not unusual for winter to linger into April (just see @westMJim's post above) like back in '82, but it's getting old seeing freezing or below temps every morning. When I was younger, it never bothered me that the majority of months in The Mitt are "cold months". The ratio is perhaps split 6/6 in the far south, while 8/4 in favor of cold way up at the Mighty Mackinaw bridge.  

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Family and I sat on the back porch last night and watched as the line of thunderstorms rolled in. We saw some large cloud-to-ground lightning strikes and heard some decent rumbles of thunder. It was more than I expected so that was pretty nice.

The low is located pretty close to us here today. NWS FSD is pointing out the possibility of landspouts/funnels forming later this afternoon. HRRRRRR shows some thunderstorm redevelopment around 3-6PM. I'll be keeping my eye to the sky today for any rotation!

 

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On 4/5/2024 at 10:54 AM, tStacsh said:

Finally signs of real spring coming next week.  Hopefully we are done with the 30's.  60's next week, then let's see if we can keep it around normal until the inevitable shift to INSTANT  summer as usual.    

I have not seen/felt a 70F+ day since Oct 27th last year in Detroit area. I'm beyond ready, lol

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Looking forward to the "Eclipse" tomorrow.  So many people traveling for this event. If that happens to be you, be prepared for lots and lots of delays. Best spot looks to be Upstate NY.

 
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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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On 4/6/2024 at 9:09 AM, Timmy Supercell said:

Right now would be a great time for the solar eclipse. Not a speck of cloud in the sky here. 

Wunderground says mostly cloudy 4/8 and there will be some more rain and t'storm chances off and on coming up again.

Same here. Beautiful weather.

Hopefully, tomorrow, the clouds will get outta here just in time in the afternoon for the eclipse. Great timing.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Earthquake on the EC couple of days ago had me curious as to what could happen if the big one hits. Big cities need to have buildings to withhold, if a strong quake were to ever hit. Most of the current buildings and bridges were not build to take on strong tremors. Something to think about.

NYC felt it. Nothing too terribly, thankfully.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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3 hours ago, westMJim said:

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 59/31 there was no rain/snow. The sun was out 100% of the time. The average wind speed was just 4.1 MPH For today the average H/L is 54/34 the record high of 81 was set in 1991 the record low of 3 was set in 1982. The most snow fall of 5” fell in 1956. The most snow on the ground was 7” in 1982 Last year the H/L was 50/30.

The overnight low here in MBY was 29 at this time it is clear and 41. We will be heading out for Ohio around noon. The weather at my picked out site is sill kind of up in the air with rain overnight and hopefully clearing before the eclipse.

So far it looks good for the eclipse here in S MI. Clouds should be outta here just in time, w/ partly cloudy skies. I decided to stay put, since 80 to 90% of totality serves me well. Enjoy!

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Areas of Texas face clouds.  
potential for me as well. 

IMG_0085.png

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Clouds aside tomorrow, it’s gorgeous today.   
76, light winds, more sun than clouds. 
And it’s April - Bluebonnet time.  

IMG_0086.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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These are, without a doubt, the biggest snowflakes I have ever seen, and only one storm comes even close (a lake enhanced band when I lived in Ohio). It's accumulating so fast which is insane for a temp in the mid-30s. 

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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Here are some pictures and vids over the past couple days.  The first, is a sunset photo from last night…

IMG_4521.jpeg

 

This is another video of last nights Country music show at the park in Fountain Hills…

 

 



 

We found an injured little bunny on 4/4 and would have hoped to see his momma come but she didn’t.  I cared for it and the next morning I dropped it off at the Wildlfie conservation in Phoenix.  The lady said they get many young animals this time of year.  I was told the bunny would eventually be with a whole group of them once it fully recovers from its injury (hind leg).

 

IMG_4511.jpeg
 

The last picture is from this morning as I witnessed this bald Eagle 🦅 being attacked by two crows earlier.  I suspect he stole their breakfast!  Nevertheless, this Eagle 🦅 showed them who’s boss around here.

IMG_4525.jpeg
 

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It appears solid spring has arrived, with nothing but 60s, or even 70s, for the next week+.

I only got 0.17" of rain yesterday.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Rest of the week should be fairly quiet after we get hit with some light wrap-around moisture today and some more light precip on Wednesday. We've received 0.57 inches of rain over the past two days. Not great but not terrible either. We look to be warming up to near 80 by the weekend with perhaps another system in about a week, almost an exact replica of this weekend's storm as it's currently modeled. It seems like storms have been rolling through here every 6-8 days since the end of March and that pattern looks to continue for at least another week or two. End of April is looking potentially dry and mild at this point.

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North Texas gets cloud cover for its eclipse. Thin high clouds most likely,…but clouds. 🤦‍♀️
Sunny Texas blows it again.

Next solar eclipse will be in 2345, so make your reservations now.  

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Severe weather and big time rains across the south the next few days.  For mby only the Euro is showing significant rainfall with totals near an inch.  All other models have the rainfall to my SE, though the GFS has crept very close.

day1otlk_1200.gif

qpf_acc-imp.us_ov.png

 

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Today could be our warmest day so far this year - our warmest reading so far was the 74.1 back on March 14th. After today the weather looks a bit unsettled with shower chances through Friday (we could see near another inch or rain in some spots) with the greatest likelihood coming on Thursday. Sun returns this weekend!
Chester County records for today: High 89 degrees Phoenixville (1959) / Low 20 degrees Devault (1977) / Rain 2.32" Kennett Square (1906) / Snow 6.0" West Chester (1917)
image.png.a457d7f5a527b9394ecafb6e82c0024d.png
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All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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High of 72 today.  
We have a 70% chance of rain today.   

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 66/43 there was no rainfall. The average wind speed was 12.3 MPH and the peak gust was 33 MPH out of the W. For today the average H/L is 55/35 the record high of 85 was set in 2011 and the record low of 15 was set in 1989. The most rainfall of 1.08” was in 2008 the most snowfall of 2.0” was in 1894. The most on the ground was 5” in 1973. Last year the H/L was 67/43.

The overnight low here in MBY was 34 the current temperature is 36 with clear skies.

The first 9 days of April are now in the record books and the mean so far is 45.7 the is +2.4 the high so far this month is 71 and the low so far is 31. There has been a trace of snowfall 0.81” of rainfall.

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Mild again today but we look cloudy with increasing shower chances for the rest of the work week before we clear out for the weekend. Some models paint another 1" to 2" of rain by late Friday.
Chester County records for today: High 88.9 at Nottingham (2013) / Low 15 Devault (1958) / Rain 2.05: Coatesville (1993) / Snow 9.7" (1894). Of note this snow was the start of a 2 day snowstorm that was the largest snowstorm in April history with 29" of snow falling at Coatesville..
The NWS PHL historical weather page details this April storm as follows.1894...(April 10-12) Md-DC-DE-PA-NJ-NY. Whirling snowstorm and gale winds,remarkable so late in Spring. Most severe for many years in MD, DE and DC with snow 20 to 24" deep; 12 to 31" in PA; 5 to 21" in NJ; and 6 to 30" in NY. Roads blocked."
image.png.535a584c8fe561ef1fac76d5336184b3.png
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All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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Rainy and in the 60’s today.   
I’m going to enjoy it as the warm up is not far away.  ☔

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Awesome cloudy day in the upper 60's, sun hasn't peeked out once. 

Since Ashland Regional is still down, I'm looking at Huntington for observations (usually not too far off our wx except for in some heavy rainfall events). They got to a high of 66 with 0.21" precip. I probably wouldn't call today awesome if it was 40 degrees. I think my pacific northwest buddies would enjoy a milder feeling overcast day over here.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Here we go again! SPC placed an Enhanced Risk for tomorrow starting around Boyd/Greenup Counties in NE KY area extending to the eastern Ohio border. Originally this was just a Slight Risk for the entire area.

ER_swody2.png

RLX_swody2.png

RLX_swody2_TORN.png

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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All indications are leaning towards real warm Spring weather and temps holding in the low 90's for an extended period starting next week.  It was just a matter of time...Summer weather for sure.

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