Tom Posted January 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 12z WRF total precip...getting really juicy....still snowing lakeside up near MKE and NE IL...this is prob when the LES really starts to kick in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 NAM/WRF model's showing near blizzard conditions for counties adjacent to the lake. Probably will be concentrated only within a few miles of the lake though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 Does anyone know what time it's looking to start and stop in the Chicago area? Are we talking late Saturday night? Thanks.Start time around 9pm Sat thru 5-6pm Sunday...very long duration snow event lining up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 GFS about the same as 06z except that the northern edge is a bit farther south. Really riding the line between 0 and 4-5 on GFS up in Central WI Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 12z GFS...model consistency continues....I think we may be seeing WSW posted early this afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 GFS is too dry in my opinion. It's an obvious outlier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 No more complaining from Great Lake people after this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 GFS is too dry in my opinion. It's an obvious outlier.It's only a bit drier than the NAM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 It's only a bit drier than the NAMNot really, and the Euro is much wetter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDizBliz420 Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 We'll see if the GFS ensembles are wetter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 It's only a bit drier than the NAMIt's actually a lot drier than the NAM...check it out... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/2015013012/I_nw_r1_EST_2015013012_041.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 44 http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/2015013012/I_nw_r1_EST_2015013012_044.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 47 http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/2015013012/I_nw_r1_EST_2015013012_047.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 ^ Finally the 12z GGEM is coming back north.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 It's actually a lot drier than the NAM...check it out...oh wow you are right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 The RGEM showing some love to se nebraska Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 12z RGEM...extremely juicy and only thru 12z Sunday.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDizBliz420 Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 WSW from LOT for 6-8" more south of I88 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 12z GFS...model consistency continues....I think we may be seeing WSW posted early this afternoon. Or sooner...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGHSUNDAY EVENING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORMWATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAYEVENING.* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE AT TIMES THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.* SNOW AMOUNTS...POTENTIAL FOR GREATER THAN 6 INCHES NORTH OF INTERSTATE 88...AND POSSIBLY IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 88.* MAIN IMPACT...PERIODS OF SNOW COULD LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITES UNDER A MILE AND SNOW COVERED ROADS...MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.* OTHER IMPACTS...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY...AND THIS MAY LEAD TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 12z RGEM...extremely juicy and only thru 12z Sunday....Yummy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 I think about half that in SE NE on the 12z RGEM is mixed/rain.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 UKIE http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_036_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 48 http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_048_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 60 http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_060_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDizBliz420 Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 ukie went a little south? still looks good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_048_0000.gif http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_060_0000.gif 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 ukie went a little south? still looks good Looks like about 25-30 MM which is 1-1.2 QPF or so for ORD 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 ukie went a little south? still looks goodNo it didn't.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 I think about half that in SE NE on the 12z RGEM is mixed/rain....So those totals are overdone? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 So those totals are overdone?Yes, Wx Bell maps dont have the best algorithm's...temps look marginal out by your area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 That sub 1000 low though... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 GGEM http://forums.accuweather.com/uploads/post-16-1422636514_thumb.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 Yes, Wx Bell maps dont have the best algorithm's...temps look marginal out by your area.Damnit. I guess this is a 1-2" event here. Oh well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 UKIE total through 72 http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/accum/PA_000-072_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 WSW issued.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 JMA 72 hr precip http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/jma/2015013012/jma_apcpn_us_3.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 Probably too early to post these but ARW/NMM both significantly wetter/north compared to 0z run so far through hr 33 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 High Rez models seem to be north of the Global models at this juncture... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 30, 2015 Report Share Posted January 30, 2015 ARW 0z HR 48 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrw-arw/00/hrw-arw_conus_048_sim_radar.gif 12z HR 36 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrw-arw/12/hrw-arw_conus_036_sim_radar.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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