SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Sun Engels will be considerably higher. That is true. That pattern repeated would not yield 10.2" of snow in Eugene, but it wouldn't be much different here... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Here’s where GEFS stands at hr 258 vs 18z 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Gfs v GEM at hr 240. Euro will prob look more like GEM if I had to bet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 It’s definitely mid January in the PNW. My wife just asked what the weather was supposed to do the rest of the week and I was like uhhhhhhhhhh…….. 2 2 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, Deweydog said: It’s definitely mid January in the PNW. My wife just asked what the weather was supposed to do the rest of the week and I was like uhhhhhhhhhh…….. What is the weather forecast? Answer: Meh 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 00z GEFS Day 12 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 00z ECMWF Day 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Day 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Back half of CMCE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 GEFS day 13 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: GEFS day 13 Looking real good. Contours starting to bend around up north. Tilt the block a bit more. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Timing moving ahead some too on the GEFS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 GEFS Day 14 vs 18z 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Weekend looks sunny, and then a pattern change at the end of the month. Lots to look forward to . 2 Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: GEFS Day 14 vs 18z The trend is our friend, even Tim's friend. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Day 15 GEFS 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 850s at day 14.5 vs 18z 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: 850s at day 14.5 vs 18z Here we go! C'MON!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said: Great pull 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Full GEFS 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Full GEFS Not perfect yet, but another step in the right direction. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Not perfect yet, but another step in the right direction. This far out we Take what we can get 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Day 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 The thing I like about the progression being shown is we get a bunch of fake cold before the upper level pattern gets really favorable again. The ECMWF has actually been showing freezing low temps for SEA once that ridge builds just off the coast late this week. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Really interesting analogs from the GFS tonight. Most were from months that had significant cold weather. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Day 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Really interesting analogs from the GFS tonight. Most were from months that had significant cold weather. What were they? Any notable ones? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 7 The surface gradients being shown on this ECMWF run are fantastic for some impressive low level cold. The gradient is persistently offshore, but weak enough to limit mixing for most areas. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: What were they? Any notable ones? Jan 1980, Jan 1963, Jan 1957, Jan 1962, Feb 2006, Jan 1954. Some really solid ones. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just amazing how the activity over the Pacific totally dies on these recent model runs. It's like this winter is either balls to the wall raging Pacific jet or just totally dead. Nothing in between. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Just amazing how the activity over the Pacific totally dies on these recent model runs. It's like this winter is either balls to the wall raging Pacific jet or just totally dead. Nothing in between. Been an interesting ride. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 C'mon EPS! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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