PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[RentonHill]

Here’s a loop of the euro end

[RentonHill]

17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The surface gradients being shown on this ECMWF run are fantastic for some impressive low level cold.  The gradient is persistently offshore, but weak enough to limit mixing for most areas.

Cold

[MossMan]

46/35 on the day. Currently raining and 43. 
.34” so far on the day, 5.48” for the month. 

[Gradient Keeper]

11:17 PM Radar Update - This weather sucks balls

[The Blob]

Just now, DJ Droppin said:

11:17 PM Radar Update - This weather sucks balls

[RentonHill]

EPS v Euro at day 10

[MossMan]

Major dumpage currently. If it was 17 degrees cooler we would be having a 12/30/21 in the early morning redux minus the early morning part. 

[RentonHill]

[TacomaWaWx]

49/39 today 0.01”. 

[RentonHill]

Day 13 vs 12z vs 00z yesterday

[TacomaWaWx]

Up to 6.98” of rain so far this month about 1” above normal. Also running +0.3 this month. Could be worse. 

[Skagit Weather]

Been raining most of the afternoon and evening up here with 0.4" in the bucket and 3.68" on the month. With the additional 3/4" that we'll probably pick up by Friday we might still end up below normal up here for the month (which I think is just over 5").

[RentonHill]

EPS day 14

[RentonHill]

Full run 

[RentonHill]

Control

[Gradient Keeper]

Timing moving ahead with the EPS too. Here we go!

6z GFS in 1 hour 31 minutes

[Meatyorologist]

Not to wishcast but February has “that feeling” to it again. The hammer will drop before season’s end IMO... Been a while since we had two good separate cold snaps in Seattle. Maybe 08-09? 13-14 and 16-17 included a lot of near misses and only a few days in which snow fell.

[gusky]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Not to wishcast but February has “that feeling” to it again. The hammer will drop before season’s end IMO... Been a while since we had two good separate cold snaps in Seattle. Maybe 08-09? 13-14 and 16-17 included a lot of near misses and only a few days in which snow fell.

Suddenly you have become much more trustworthy to me. I'm sure it's because you know what's gonna happen and not any snow bias in my head...

[Skagit Weather]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Not to wishcast but February has “that feeling” to it again. The hammer will drop before season’s end IMO... Been a while since we had two good separate cold snaps in Seattle. Maybe 08-09? 13-14 and 16-17 included a lot of near misses and only a few days in which snow fell.

I'm just glad we had the late December snow and cold snap. Anything that happens now is extra icing on the cake. It really makes so much of a difference for enjoyment of the winter. If we hadn't had that, think about how desperately we would be hanging our hopes on February.

[The Blob]

Anyone hear about this?

 

https://www.kptv.com/news/family-and-dog-safe-after-home-slides-off-its-foundation-near-seattle/article_b6a87660-782c-11ec-93ac-a33dad0c90fc.html

[gusky]

Cause I don't want to write it out again

 

[Meatyorologist]

2 hours ago, Skagit Weather said:

I'm just glad we had the late December snow and cold snap. Anything that happens now is extra icing on the cake. It really makes so much of a difference for enjoyment of the winter. If we hadn't had that, think about how desperately we would be hanging our hopes on February.

For Tacoma north, Dec was an exemplary 21st century event. My high of 23°F was the coldest in NE Seattle since Dec 1990. Hard to top that, especially in conjunction with the epic Arctic frontal band that brought 2-4”/hr snowfall rates, the highest I’ve ever seen in my life. I would be satisfied with this winter if we ran out the clock without another flake.

Unfortunately the event petered out south of OLY, a common theme of the last 3-5 years.

[Meatyorologist]

For Vancouver BC, Dec 2021-Jan 2022 was the best cold/snow event since 1968-69. If only that blocking ridge had set up just a hundred miles further east... It could have real been big for most areas Medford north.

[Timmy]

21 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Had to look it up... that town has a surprisingly Seattle-like winter climate given its at 63N.     The big climate difference is that summer in Seattle is much warmer and sunnier. 

 

Pretty incredible this far north.  Also frustrating! It’s 46 today and most of the snow is gone!

[Timmy]

19 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

I love to learn about new places.    I thought Norway was more like Alaska.    I guess that is more inland and away from the coast.    I don't think he traveled there just for a winter getaway.    But that location is interestingly almost exactly like Seattle in the winter and I did not expect that.  

The Gulf Stream goes up the east coast of the us and straight into west Norway. I saw the current sea ice map the other day and the warm ocean temps are very well depicted there.

[Meatyorologist]

It’s a start...

[The Blob]

59 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

It’s a start...

Icy for PDX 

[ShawniganLake]

4 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

For Vancouver BC, Dec 2021-Jan 2022 was the best cold/snow event since 1968-69. If only that blocking ridge had set up just a hundred miles further east... It could have real been big for most areas Medford north.

I’m curious what metrics you are using to conclude that about Vancouver 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

8 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

I’m curious what metrics you are using to conclude that about Vancouver 

I imagine December 1996 was probably better, and maybe 2008.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

December 2021 ended up being out best snow event since probably March 2012. As for cold, it was nothing to write home about, though we did manage some sub-freezing highs. Our last real impressive cold was early January 2017. February 2018 and 19 both got a little colder too, it was a great event though. If we can manage a few more decent events and a chilly February and March, this winter will be tough to complain about. 

[ShawniganLake]

11 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

I imagine December 1996 was probably better, and maybe 2008.

December 1990, 96 and 2008 were certainly snowier. I think this year came in slightly colder with the minimum temps

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Last night's CFS was incredibly wet for W. Oregon during the first half of February (And mild.). Not quite as wet for Washington, with some cold air sneaking in north of Seattle at times. Then after Valentine's Day a very cold air mass drops in. 

 

[RentonHill]

18z GEFS finally sorted out where the first shot of cold comes from looks we start out with sloppy seconds of east coast cold with a reinforcing north shot. Low confidence 

[MossMan]

My least favorite weather currently…Heavy drizzle and 43 degrees. 

[FroYoBro]

GFS shows it staying completely dry for a week after this little system on Thursday moves through. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

0.08" of rain so far this morning. Drizzling and 41. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, FroYoBro said:

GFS shows it staying completely dry for a week after this little system on Thursday moves through. 

We'll have to see if we can manage any "fake cold" out of it. NWS is liking highs in the valley in the 50-55 range for the foreseeable future. If we get any kind of fog or stratus deck that will bust big time. 

[Phishy Wx]

actually having a snow shower currently

 

32

[Rubus Leucodermis]

13 hours ago, rsktkr said:

Toronto today.

Lucky bastards.

Canada.....why do we still let them be a country?

Completely shut the city down, too. They are used to snow, but not that much.

P.S. You could always move. If you have an in-demand career, it’s not that hard….

[Rubus Leucodermis]

14 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

GFS shows it staying completely dry for a week after this little system on Thursday moves through. 

Pity it’s not likely to be a good fake cold setup, but any ridge will do. Beats the pants off more AR’s.