NEJeremy Posted November 10, 2015 Report Share Posted November 10, 2015 I've had the "severe storms" wording added to my local point forecast for tomorrow. Pretty interesting wording in the forecast discussion from overnight out of OAX. THE PRIMARY TREND IN THE NWP SOLUTIONS WITH THE UPPER AND SURFACELOW IS TO BE SLIGHTLY SLOWER...THUS THE 18Z POSITIONS CONTINUE TO BEFAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE STORMS OVER SOUTHEASTNEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA MID DAY WEDNESDAY. THE SLIGHTLY SLOWERPROGRESSION SHOULD PROVIDE A FEW HOURS OF RIPE ATMOSPHERICCONDITIONS CONDUCIVE FOR CLOSED COLD CORE SUPERCELLS MOVING TO THENORTHEAST AT 50-55 KNOTS.THESE CLASSIC PATTERNS TYPICALLY PUSH A RELATIVELY CLOUD-FREE DRYSLOT AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW...ALLOWING FOR SUFFICIENT 0-3KM CAPEVALUES AND VERY HIGH LOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THE NORTHERN ANDEASTERN ARC OF THE DRY SLOT PROVIDE INGREDIENTS FOR MINISUPERCELLS... SOMETIMES TORNADIC. THE DETERMINISTIC NAM/GFS/ECMWFALL SUPPORT THIS THREAT MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 FROM MIDMORNING TO MID AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted November 10, 2015 Report Share Posted November 10, 2015 I've had the "severe storms" wording added to my local point forecast for tomorrow. Pretty interesting wording in the forecast discussion from overnight out of OAX. THE PRIMARY TREND IN THE NWP SOLUTIONS WITH THE UPPER AND SURFACELOW IS TO BE SLIGHTLY SLOWER...THUS THE 18Z POSITIONS CONTINUE TO BEFAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE STORMS OVER SOUTHEASTNEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA MID DAY WEDNESDAY. THE SLIGHTLY SLOWERPROGRESSION SHOULD PROVIDE A FEW HOURS OF RIPE ATMOSPHERICCONDITIONS CONDUCIVE FOR CLOSED COLD CORE SUPERCELLS MOVING TO THENORTHEAST AT 50-55 KNOTS. THESE CLASSIC PATTERNS TYPICALLY PUSH A RELATIVELY CLOUD-FREE DRYSLOT AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW...ALLOWING FOR SUFFICIENT 0-3KM CAPEVALUES AND VERY HIGH LOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THE NORTHERN ANDEASTERN ARC OF THE DRY SLOT PROVIDE INGREDIENTS FOR MINISUPERCELLS... SOMETIMES TORNADIC. THE DETERMINISTIC NAM/GFS/ECMWFALL SUPPORT THIS THREAT MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 FROM MIDMORNING TO MID AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY. This is what I was referring to earlier with the tornadic cells that spin up right inside the dry slot near the low. Should be interesting, not sure why the SPC decreased our risks to marginal given this trend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 10, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 10, 2015 What a way to kick off this season with a storm that is producing Blizzard Warnings for NE CO/NW KS...probably a sign of things to come down the road. It's hard to ignore. http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/png/US.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted November 10, 2015 Report Share Posted November 10, 2015 This is what I was referring to earlier with the tornadic cells that spin up right inside the dry slot near the low. Should be interesting, not sure why the SPC decreased our risks to marginal given this trend.Yeah it was odd they moved it to the east. I think they will move it back west with the early afternoon day 2 update. I'm planning on dropping off my little one at preschool at 9am and then heading into southwest Iowa right away and waiting for the storms to come to me. I'm probably only going to have one chance at an intercept. No catching up to anything tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 New NAM still a bit colder in Central Nebraska. Painting some 2-4 inch totals. GFS has been a bit warmer. NAM has been consistent though so something to watch for. I'll take NAM over GFS for short term accuracy any day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 With extremely high winds that could cause major traffic issues tomorrow if the nam is correct Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 4km NAM looks kind of scary in the mid-Mississippi River valley when it comes to severe weather. Supercell signatures on projected radar composites. Everyone should check this new site out: Pivotalweather.com Some really great maps/graphics in there. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 New NAM still a bit colder in Central Nebraska. Painting some 2-4 inch totals. GFS has been a bit warmer. NAM has been consistent though so something to watch for. I'll take NAM over GFS for short term accuracy any day.Hastings has expanded the WSW further north and east to include St. Paul and points west of there....I'm now only two counties away! It should be an interesting day tomorrow; I have seen things change within 12 hours with these negative tilted vertically stacked storms. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 4km NAM looks kind of scary in the mid-Mississippi River valley when it comes to severe weather. Supercell signatures on projected radar composites. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2015111100/nam4km_ref_uv10m_ncus_7.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2015111100/nam4km_ref_uv10m_ncus_8.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2015111100/nam4km_ref_uv10m_ncus_9.png Everyone should check this new site out: Pivotalweather.com Some really great maps/graphics in there.Holy cow that is one impressive defo band....storms wrapping back into the cold sector could lead to thunder snow. Now if only surface temps can play ball, above ground there will be enough dynamic cooling to generate snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Holy cow that is one impressive defo band....storms wrapping back into the cold sector could lead to thunder snow. Now if only surface temps can play ball, above ground there will be enough dynamic cooling to generate snow. It is impressive. This system goes negative tilt and phases very quickly. The exact opposite of 3 winters ago.Snowfall map from pivotalweather 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 That embedded 16.7" snow total says to me that anyone from Central Nebraska out to the Panhandle have a legitmate shot at cashing in on accumulation. I think we are for sure out of the question here in LNK, dang dry slot but hey, this is an awesome system, and I just want precip. Going to be brutal walking to class tomorrow! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 That storm is a beauty. I hope you all get to have a little fun with it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 It is impressive. This system goes negative tilt and phases very quickly. The exact opposite of 3 winters ago.Snowfall map from pivotalweather snowfall111215.png Lock that in! Look at that banding! Big potential for Thundersnow and over 1 inch per hour snowfall rates. I hope this thing surprises us with a blizzard. GFS still has absolutely nothing accumulation wise. Let the battle begin! This will be so much fun to watch unfold tomorrow. If we keep seeing storms like this we will have one incredible winter season! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 It is 36 degrees with light rain right now in Holdrege (Central Nebraska) with wind gusts over 35 mph and heavy fog, strange. Some schools to our west are already closed. I teach here so I am sure students will be asking about snow potential. Here is the latest from the NWS in Hastings. . Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 10 am this morning to6 PM CST this evening...The National Weather Service in Hastings has issued a WinterWeather Advisory... which is in effect from 10 am this morning to6 PM CST this evening.* Impact... a period of snow combined with intense winds willresult in reduced visibilities that at times could fall belowone quarter mile making travel difficult.* Snow accumulation... 1 to 3 inches of snow likely with some bandsof higher amounts possible.* Timing... rain will mix with and change over to snow later thismorning. The heaviest snow is expected early to mid afternoon.* Uncertainty... temperatures will be borderline between rain andsnow. If temperatures are slightly warmer... the precipitationwill fall more as rain instead of snow. If colder temperaturesof 32 degrees or colder are realized... snowfall may exceedcurrent forecast.* Winds... northwest winds will remain strong all day with speedsof 35 to 40 mph and some gusts to over 50 mph. Local weather forecasters have said once it starts snowing do not travel until the heavy band goes through. It is supposed to hit here between 11 AM and 4 PM which would really affect the end of the school day. Should be an exciting day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Good Luck to all you NE peeps! My work office is a stone's through from Lake MI here in SWMI. I love to see Storm Warnings hoisted on the lake. Going to enjoy my wind storm. Tis the season! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Good Luck to all you NE peeps! My work office is a stone's through from Lake MI here in SWMI. I love to see Storm Warnings hoisted on the lake. Going to enjoy my wind storm. Tis the season!Hey if you get a chance (and if you can) take some pictures of the lake 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Good Luck to all you NE peeps! My work office is a stone's through from Lake MI here in SWMI. I love to see Storm Warnings hoisted on the lake. Going to enjoy my wind storm. Tis the season!15-20' Waves heading your way! Lake Michigan will be rockin' tomorrow...wouldn't be surprised to some rogue waves topping 25'... 12z 4k-NAM still painting spotty heavier accumulations. Prob a good indication of convection in the defo band. It's going to be a wild day for you NE folks! Snow will be falling sideways...most likely it will be those fatty wet flakes sticking to everything in site. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2015111112/nam4km_asnow_ncus_9.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Here in Grand Rapids once again we had a hard freeze and I had a low of 27° (30° at the airport) Now for the potential storm. The local forecast is calling for winds gust to top out at around 55 MPH inland and 60 or better at the lake shore. We shall see how that plays out. If that indeed is the way it plays out this would compare to the November 10th and 11th storm here in Grand Rapids when the top winds were reported at 55 MPH and to the 1975 storm when the top winds reached 56 MPH we shall see. and we will know by Friday. Right now its clear with calm winds and a temp of 48° Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 This storm dumped one of the heaviest November snowfalls in Reno, NV. In fact, 4 inches fell in one hour! Impressive... https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/11/10/reno-nevada-plastered-by-freak-heavy-snow-event/?postshare=9771447241723472 Lake Tahoe produce a lake effect snow band which created these intense snow fall rates. Check out the radar imagery in the link above. Pretty neat. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Calm before the storm? Well with light winds and lots of sun (rare for west Michigan in late fall and winter) its been yet another great day here in Grand Rapids. Today with that sun the temps have reached the upper 50's (57 at the airport and 58 now at my house) and we are running +8.2° for the month. The mean here so far is now at 52.5° and the record warmest November here was 47.6° in 1931. The winter of 1931/32 was a very warm (by our standards) winter and there was only 41.1" of snow here and 25.3 of that fell in March of 1932. Oh those horrible 30's & 40's around SMI. Thankfully, we're not in that era. Solar gonna help us in a big way this winter. Have to love how chilly it's been despite the current "warm pattern". I too was surprised how temps dropped overnight in Marshall. Seriously frosty again when i stepped out this am. I see we were in the 20's for about 3 hrs. Like the new headline graphics. Cant wait till that's a Bliz Watch Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 15-20' Waves heading your way! Lake Michigan will be rockin' tomorrow...wouldn't be surprised to some rogue waves topping 25'... 12z 4k-NAM still painting spotty heavier accumulations. Prob a good indication of convection in the defo band. It's going to be a wild day for you NE folks! Snow will be falling sideways...most likely it will be those fatty wet flakes sticking to everything in site. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2015111112/nam4km_asnow_ncus_9.png Good One! That's actually my poster name in another forum - LOL (see above) Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Convection setting up just N/NW of North Platte, NE...prob getting some thundersnow http://climate.cod.edu/data/nexrad/LNX/N0Q/LNX.N0Q.20151111.1534.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Wow. I'm really happy for you all! I can't wait til my turn though. Lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Right now about 36 degrees. I can hear pings on the window as some small hail is coming down with sheets of rain. If you look closely outside, it looks like some sleet, mix, snow also falling. Web cams in Western Nebraska are something with limited visibility and snowfall. Even heard reports of Thundersnow west of North Platte towards Ogallala and Lake McConahay. Schools continue to close early to my immediate north and west and many were already closed. The snow line is getting ever so close to Central Nebraska. Looks like more chances coming in the weeks to come. Maybe this will be the Plains year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 I am with you. Hopefully everyone gets a turn this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Tornado Watch's hoisted for KC/SE NE/N MO/S IA... Tornado WatchTORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 534NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK1120 AM CST WED NOV 11 2015TORNADO WATCH 534 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR THEFOLLOWING LOCATIONSIAC001-003-007-009-015-027-029-039-047-049-051-053-071-073-075-077-079-083-085-099-117-121-123-125-127-129-135-137-145-153-155-157-159-165-169-171-173-175-179-181-185-187-120000-/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0534.151111T1720Z-151112T0000Z/IA. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED AREADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSEAUDUBON BOONE CARROLLCASS CLARKE CRAWFORDDALLAS DAVIS DECATURFREMONT GREENE GRUNDYGUTHRIE HAMILTON HARDINHARRISON JASPER LUCASMADISON MAHASKA MARIONMARSHALL MILLS MONROEMONTGOMERY PAGE POLKPOTTAWATTAMIE POWESHIEK RINGGOLDSHELBY STORY TAMATAYLOR UNION WAPELLOWARREN WAYNE WEBSTER$ Wind AdvisoryURGENT - WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA1005 AM CST WED NOV 11 2015...VERY STRONG WINDS TONIGHT....A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE REGION TODAYTHEN MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM IOWA TONIGHT. AS THE SYSTEM DEPARTSWINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FROM THE WEST NORTHWEST...AND PERSISTINTO THURSDAY.IAZ027-028-038-039-049-050-061-062-074-075-081>086-092>097-120015-/O.CON.KDMX.WI.Y.0010.151112T0300Z-151113T0000Z/BUTLER-BREMER-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-MARSHALL-TAMA-JASPER-POWESHIEK-MARION-MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PARKERSBURG...CLARKSVILLE...SHELL ROCK...GREENE...APLINGTON...ALLISON...DUMONT...WAVERLY...GRUNDY CENTER...REINBECK...CONRAD...DIKE...WELLSBURG...WATERLOO...CEDAR FALLS...MARSHALLTOWN...TAMA...TOLEDO...TRAER...DYSART...GLADBROOK...NEWTON...GRINNELL...PELLA...KNOXVILLE...OSKALOOSA...CORNING...CRESTON...OSCEOLA...CHARITON...ALBIA...OTTUMWA...BEDFORD...LENOX...NEW MARKET...MOUNT AYR...LAMONI...LEON...CORYDON...SEYMOUR...ALLERTON...HUMESTON...CENTERVILLE...BLOOMFIELD1005 AM CST WED NOV 11 2015...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PMCST THURSDAY...* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS WILL EXPAND ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA THISEVENING AND REACH EASTERN IOWA BY AROUND MIDNIGHT...THENPERSIST INTO THURSDAY.* WINDS...SUSTAINED 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH.* IMPACTS...THE STRONG WINDS WILL AFFECT TRAVELERS...ESPECIALLYHIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. LOOSE OBJECTS WILLALSO BE BLOWN AROUND.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDSTHIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGHPROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.&&$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Crazy storm!! Thats a colorful map right now with all the hazards. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Severe Storm heading NE right towards Omaha.... evere Thunderstorm WarningSEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGNEC131-111830-/O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0258.151111T1759Z-151111T1830Z/BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDSEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA1159 AM CST WED NOV 11 2015THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...WESTERN OTOE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...* UNTIL 1230 PM CST* AT 1159 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER DOUGLAS...OR 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LINCOLN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...SYRACUSE...PALMYRA...UNADILLA AND DOUGLAS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Watching live that severe storm near Omaha beautiful storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Tornado warning.... A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 PM CST FORNORTHWESTERN OTOE COUNTY...AT 1219 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADOWAS LOCATED OVER UNADILLA...OR 25 MILES EAST OF LINCOLN...MOVINGNORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.HAZARD...TORNADO.SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUTSHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGETO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE ISLIKELY. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 I'm now included in the WWA!! Should be an interesting commute home tonight after school..... STROMSBURG...OSCEOLA...SHELBY...POLK...YORK...SUTTON...HARVARD...CLAY CENTER...EDGAR...FAIRFIELD...GENEVA...EXETER...FAIRMONT...FRANKLIN...HILDRETH122 PM CST WED NOV 11 2015...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THISEVENING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THISEVENING.* IMPACT...A PERIOD OF SNOW COMBINED WITH INTENSE WINDS WILLRESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITY THAT AT TIMES COULD FALL BELOW ONEQUARTER MILE...MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT.* SNOW ACCUMULATION...1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE...WITH SOMEBANDS OF HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. EXPECT SOME VARIABILITY INSNOW AMOUNTS.* TIMING...RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FROM WEST-TO-EAST...PRIMARILY THIS AFTERNOON. THE BACK EDGE OF THE MAINSNOW BAND SHOULD CLEAR THE EASTERN EDGES OF THE ADVISORY AREABETWEEN 6 AND 8 PM.* UNCERTAINTY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BORDERLINE BETWEEN RAIN ANDSNOW. IF TEMPERATURES ARE SLIGHTLY WARMER...THE PRECIPITATIONWILL FALL MORE AS RAIN INSTEAD OF SNOW. IF COLDER TEMPERATURESOF 32 DEGREES OR COLDER ARE REALIZED...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS MAYSLIGHTLY EXCEED THE CURRENT FORECAST.* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG ALL DAY WITH SPEEDSOF GENERALLY 35 TO 40 MPH...AND SOME GUSTS TO OVER 50 MPH. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Grass is covered here but the streets and sidewalks remain warm enough that I don't think travel in this part of Nebraska will be impacted with ice or snow covered roads as much as reduced visibility being the biggest problem. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Here in west Michigan its yet another sunny and warm (for November) day. I now have a temp of 64° and the 2 PM reading at GRR was 62° and this was after a frosty low of 30 at GRR and 27 here at my house. Note the average high here for today is just 50°. now here is the latest write up from the NWS GRR for the upcoming system http://www.weather.gov/media/grr/webinars/20151111_Nov12_13_2015_Fall_Storm_Webinar.pdf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Snowball Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 After 1/2 of rain, Nw winds really kicking in! Thundersnow being reported in central Nebraska. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Still really coming down here in Central Nebraska. Just wish it would have been in the low 20's instead of the mid 30's. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Here is the latest zone forecast for Grand Rapids. Note its now sunny and 63 here at my house. SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN ZONE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 329 PM EST WED NOV 11 2015 MIZ057-120915- KENT- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GRAND RAPIDS 329 PM EST WED NOV 11 2015 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 5 AM EST FRIDAY... TONIGHT WINDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 100 PERCENT. THURSDAY...VERY WINDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL MIDDAY THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH BECOMING WEST 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. THURSDAY NIGHT WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH. FRIDAY WINDY. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. FRIDAY NIGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Heavy snow falling here. Ground is almost completely covered! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Heavy snow falling here. Ground is almost completely covered! Still waiting for my change over.......hoping for a little thunder and lightning too!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Nasty looking severe warned with tornado warning heading this way should be interesting in the next couple hours here in s.e iowa along the Mississippi river Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 33°/21° WC in Grand Island with moderate snow/fog. 0.50 mile visibility. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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