Not so close to the continent like that. You can actually have midlatitude cyclones develop near the Tropic of Cancer line around Tampico when the jet is really suppressed, thanks to cold air damming in the lee of the Rockies.

GA and NC are done, most likely. If PA is called on election night that's basically ballgame. That also means that it's a 2+ point victory in PA, which bodes extremely well for the other parts of the rust belt. A few hints on how the night will go. What is the margin in Iowa? That'll point to what MI/WI/PA/MN will do. Pay attention to SE New York returns. They'll likely be done counting them before NEPA, and that'll inform you on how the eastern part of PA is voting outside of Philly. If VA is within 5, NC is likely to be called early.

Good point. One interesting thing is that the NHC mentions the following in their discussion: ” Also, the first stages of extratropical transition may be just underway as Milton reaches the coast, which could impart some baroclinic energy and slow the rate of weakening. “ Isn’t it pretty unusual to have a major hurricane transition to extratropical this far south?

Charley was tiny and F'ed some shiit up

It’s supposed to increase in size quite a bit. I am mesmerized by this storm. I can’t look away.