2011 was always a high volatility setup when it was in its modeling zenith. High risk/high reward. 2020 was more beastly, as it was a TPV displacement, but that setup was always progged as being shaky when it came to upstream blocking. Never looked entirely realistic even when there was pretty prolific SW’erly digging across all the models. 2005 progged three different bites at the apple within about two weeks time, all of which had pretty excellent longwave support within 144 hours or so.

True, but these warm systems only dump rain for a day or so, and then it’s back to the default dry and cold and tracking nor’eatas. Places in Downeast Maine average 70”+ of snow per year and many nor’easters deliver a foot or more each. Very dynamic place to live. Summers are also beautiful if a bit humid but the worst of Phil’s swamp stays far to the south.

We done had some hail this afternoon, not as impressive as the wet snow last week but still cool.

Does the T Town weather station stay or come with you to Lakebay?

Didn’t expect that. Was pretty heavy rain when it passed over. I didn’t hear anything here but nice to see someone saw something lol.