Conflicting reports! Tim posted an image of a big ridge over our heads yet this shows me getting 22” of snow!

We were in VEGAS on the 10th/11th/12th and it was chilly beans!

18z GEFS Day 13. Not ideal. Not great of course. I will say if the trend continues with the heights building over the Gulf of Alaska and trough backing off a notch each run, then a successful ridge merger could certainly occur. This isn't over yet.

That was pretty cutoff-y, not really phased with the northern stream, so low level cold air advection was quite minimal at least in WA and OR. Just a perfect storm of coldish air immediately going into a completely dead gradient pattern to really maximize subsidence potential. Looking at GEG's obs from the onset of that illustrates my point. Just a little very weak initial offshore flow and then dead gradients. Just a perfect subsidence pattern: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/KGEG/date/2013-1-11 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/spokane/KGEG/date/2013-1-12

Gotta love the roller coaster of emotions: 12z yesterday: It's not happening 0z yesterday: Looks like meat's back on the menu boys! 12z today: Winter's cancelled. This is why I don't comment outside of day 10 anymore except on trends (which not enough evidence to say). Also, even on our big blasts, the models normally waiver before coming back. We'll see what happens.