We’ve had more bad op runs than good ones. In line with what the ensembles are showing. Large spread but leaning toward no dice.

: 2 (low below freezing): 13 (low below 20): 4 (high below freezing): 4 [high below 25): 2

Models were overall better 2 days ago but we were further out so lower confidence of those solutions verifying. Models look a little worse now but closer so higher confidence of current models verifying. Hence chance of arctic has held roughly constant.

Perhaps the weaker ensemble members don't have enough computing power for this setup

If you can’t handle the heat