Normally Id go completely with the EURO, but the fact that the EPS has SIGNIFICANT variation with that low placement this far out is concerning.

Man, I know you are dishonest, but this is bad even for you. The cold air arrives like 2 frames later from the one you cherry picked. It absolutely shows the potential for a little surprise snow late on Christmas Day or on the 26th.

We really might be getting somewhere if the ensembles hop in.

SPIRE slams Seattle and the east sound on Christmas Eve.

That low begins to develop in just 60 hours. Not a lot of time for this wind storm scenario to disappear. It's possible yeah the next 18z run might do it, but it's the Euro and it is showing just about rock solid run-to-run consistency now. The odds of a damaging wind storm for the PDX, the Willamette Valley, and western Oregon have increased.