Jump to content
The Weather Forums

April 22nd-25th back to back storms with a potential blizzard, severe weather and drought relief.


Recommended Posts

44 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Yeesh!

BLIZZARD TO IMPACT NORTHEAST WYOMING TO NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA
THIS WEEKEND...

.A robust spring storm will bring heavy snow accumulations and
very strong winds this weekend to portions of northeastern
Wyoming and northwestern South Dakota, including the northern
Black Hills. Heavy snow of 10 to 18 inches is expected across
northeast Wyoming, along with northwest wind gusts over 65 mph.
Heavy snow and wind gusts to 75 mph are expected across northwest
South Dakota. This will result in white out conditions across
these areas and the northern Foothills. The northern Black Hills
will see significant snowfall of up 20 inches with locally higher
amounts, but winds will be weaker than across the surrounding
plains.

Man, I’d give a finger to experience conditions like that here.

Well, maybe…

  • Like 1
  • scream 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

The elevated showers and storms forecasted for tonight have already rapidly developed. They're already putting down pea sized hail with the brief downpours.

The storms forecasted for tonight aren't supposed to hit until 130-330

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said:

00z 3km NAM develops a line over NW Nebraska/Kansas, then it completely fizzles out by the time it hits central SD, and then another line forms over Iowa/Minnesota. 

That would be a little frustrating if it actually works out like that.

82ee67eb-9f4b-4712-aa85-0e62ee956907.gif

3km NAM is atrocious with convection 90% of the time out here. The other 10% it nails it perfectly. No in between. :lol: 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

No significant changes from the SPC.  Good luck to @CentralNebWeatherI hope you can get a nice line to blow through.  Looks like some violent storms will be possible. 

image.png.ead8f24051602ad85e2e32dea6b44b03.png

 

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across parts of the
   Great Plains into Upper Midwest Friday from late this afternoon
   through tonight. Supercell thunderstorms capable of all severe
   hazards, including tornadoes and very large hail, are possible,
   particularly from the Texas Panhandle into north-central Nebraska.
   ...Northern Plains/Mid Missouri Valley/Upper Midwest...
   An upper-level trough will quickly move eastward through the Desert
   Southwest today as a 80 to 100 knot mid-level jet moves through the
   base of the trough. Moderate instability and strong deep-layer shear
   will be in place by afternoon, making conditions favorable for
   organized severe storms. At the surface, a low will rapidly deepen
   across northeastern Colorado today, and move north-northeastward
   into western Nebraska. A warm front extending eastward from the low
   will advance northward across Nebraska this afternoon and into
   southern South Dakota this evening. As low-level convergence
   increases near and to the north of the surface low during the late
   afternoon, convection will likely initiate and move
   north-northeastward across northwestern Nebraska and southwestern
   South Dakota. Convective coverage is expected to rapidly increase
   across the northern Plains during the evening as the exit region of
   the mid-level jet moves into the area from the southwest. The
   current thinking is that a line of strong to severe storms will move
   eastward through western Nebraska and western South Dakota during
   the evening, with supercells developing ahead of the line further to
   the east.

   NAM Forecast soundings at Valentine, Nebraska near the peak of
   instability early this evening have a loaded gun profile with MLCAPE
   in the 2500 to 3000 J/kg range. This along with lapse rates
   approaching 8.0 C/km in the 700 to 500 mb layer will be favorable
   for supercells with large hail. In addition, hodographs are long and
   looped with 0-3 km storm relative helicities near 400 m2/s2. This
   will be favorable for tornadoes as well with the more dominant
   cells, especially as the low-level jet ramps up quickly during the
   early evening. Wind damage will also be possible. The threat should
   persist through the evening and into the early overnight period as
   storms move east-northeastward into the eastern Dakotas late in the
   period.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Lots of uncertainty with severe activity Saturday and Saturday night but Iowa and Minnesota could see some big storms near the triple point.  If the dry line can ignite then many of us could see big storms further south.

image.png.40ed243049842a9621465d04dac43cc0.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Shocker, the storms rode the river and stayed to the north of it. I ended up with .15". Reports of 1-3" of rain match up pretty nicely with the radar. The black line is the platte river; the evidence I'm gathering is remarkable with how that dang platte river plays a large part in the direction of storms. 

april 22, 2022.png

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, gabel23 said:

Shocker, the storms rode the river and stayed to the north of it. I ended up with .15". Reports of 1-3" of rain match up pretty nicely with the radar. The black line is the platte river; the evidence I'm gathering is remarkable with how that dang platte river plays a large part in the direction of storms. 

april 22, 2022.png

My goodness.  We have joked that our phenomenon is called the Phelps County Dome.  Amazing that the Platte can impact local weather so much.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

My goodness.  We have joked that our phenomenon is called the Phelps County Dome.  Amazing that the Platte can impact local weather so much.  

I have a folder of images, snow reports, rain reports and radar images from the past 5 years and it's crazy how well they line up with that river! I'm hoping tonights storms can hold together and march east and give us all a little something. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Seems the lack of boundary layer moisture might be an inhibiting factor for convection with this system. Need to moisten up the biosphere with some rain.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Just saw they are evacuating a campground by Cambridge. 

There is a fast moving storm going over the fire, could that put it out or reduce it by a lot?

Never day Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said:

Well tonight turned into a giant nothingburger and chances don't look too great for here tomorrow.

On to the next one.

Have you found a permanent place of residence yet?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Phil said:

Have you found a permanent place of residence yet?

Nope, still renting a townhouse. We've put 4 offers on 4 different houses ranging from 10-40k over asking and gotten beat on each one. Housing market is absolutely brutal for buyers right now. 

  • Sad 1

Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1. Watch new Spiderman movie with family

2. Become one with your friendly neighborhood Spiderman

3. Newfound spidey-senses wake you up 5 mins before severe thunderstorm rolls through

4. Proceed to watch as severe thunderstorm rolls through

5. Profit

  • Like 2
  • lol 1

Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Nope, still renting a townhouse. We've put 4 offers on 4 different houses ranging from 10-40k over asking and gotten beat on each one. Housing market is absolutely brutal for buyers right now. 

What areas of the country are you planning on buying?  Just in SD?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

What the heck? Our landfill is on fire. 

 

You have to wonder if there are any intentional fires being set...you never know in this crazy world we live in.  Have you read how many food processing plants have mysterious been lit on fire or planes crashing into them??  Very weird and odd I'd have to say.

 

 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Tom said:

You have to wonder if there are any intentional fires being set...you never know in this crazy world we live in.  Have you read how many food processing plants have mysterious been lit on fire or planes crashing into them??  Very weird and odd I'd have to say.

 

 

I don’t think in this area, but their are wackos everywhere. Some people get the thrill in others pain. Way too many coincidences in those food plant fires. Those caught need to be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

I don’t think in this area, but their are wackos everywhere. Some people get the thrill in others pain. Way too many coincidences in those food plant fires. Those caught need to be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. 

Agree...x100

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I took a little drive, and yes our landfill is on fire. It is about 1 1/2 miles south of town. Heavy smoke blowing from the south/southeast has shrouded the western half of town in smoke. We live on the eastern edge of town, no smoke or smell here. There are many fire trucks and heavy equipment. Don’t want this spreading into town. What a year, not in a good way. 

  • Like 1
  • Sad 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

Nope, still renting a townhouse. We've put 4 offers on 4 different houses ranging from 10-40k over asking and gotten beat on each one. Housing market is absolutely brutal for buyers right now. 

That’s what my dad before he landed a home in FL. IIRC it took him over 6 months. 😬 Hope it’s a faster process for you.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The wind is ripping this morning gusting over 45mph.  Storms over east central Kansas are fairly strong, not sure what impact they might have on severe chances this afternoon.  Currently is 70 degrees already and the sun is shining. 

  • Like 3
  • scream 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

Nope, still renting a townhouse. We've put 4 offers on 4 different houses ranging from 10-40k over asking and gotten beat on each one. Housing market is absolutely brutal for buyers right now. 

So sorry to hear your trials.  
The market is brutal.  My concerns for you now to add to your burden are rate hikes on the horizon.  
We went through this during the 2007 pre-crash economy. We built. Took 7 months then.  With the supply chain issues it’s much harder.  
Stay strong and determined. You’ll get the right place. 👍

Meanwhile we have high winds 27-37 mph.  Storms mañana!

  • Like 4

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12z HRRR has my area with 2-4 inches of rain by Sunday

 

3 Waves of storms, 2 are Supercell waves & the 3rd wave is the Training effect, which is highly dependent on when the boundary stalls out.

  • Like 2

Never day Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Tom said:

What areas of the country are you planning on buying?  Just in SD?

Yeah mainly suburbs of Sioux Falls. Didn't want to buy a house til we got here and checked out various areas/neighborhoods so renting for the time being. 

  • Like 2

Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Tom unpinned this topic

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share


×
×
  • Create New...