Grizzcoat Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 NAM through 60hrs Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Oh that's a beauty of a run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Looks like over the past 2 runs on the NAM, it is broadening the accumulating snow band. Doesn't look as thin...good sign IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 19, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Looking better than the 18z run - getting closer to all the other models. Still different Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Hi res nam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 00z NAM-Thank you for the bullseye. Wow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 19, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 WAs just about to post the 4km NAM. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 image.jpg Hi res namC'mon .5" for me!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 @jeremy the GFS is getting be our only hope to not end up with some rain changing to flurries. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 GFS through 66 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Another bump north on the gfs starting to look like euro/ ukie 12-14 in S. Wi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Like I said keeps jogging north Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 This system is showing signs of going neg tilt when it starts to round the bend into the lower lakes. Anyone else seeing that? Like I said keeps jogging northNot till it turns NE once the SLP is in IL...IA is golden to see a good amount of snow... The trough is positively tilted in the Plains/Midwest...then I see it starting to tilt at HR 66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 19, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Big totals. 3 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Whoever gets underneath that defo band is going to cash in big time...EastDubbz/Hawkeye/Bud near the epicenter for this 00z GFS run... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Please lock this in! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Evaporative cooling is going to play a big role, esp near the lake around here...kinda on the edge about it being a rain/snow mix initially near ORD/Chicago.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 This system looks like a good 16-18 hour event...not bad for a first sticking snow of the season for those who are in the heart of the storm. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 19, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Evaporative cooling is going to play a big role, esp near the lake around here...kinda on the edge about it being a rain/snow mix initially near ORD/Chicago.... 4km NAM has most areas just inland starting out around 34° then settling back to 32-33°. ORD shouldn't have much marine influence. ORD sounding at 6am.Very shallow above freezing layer. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Please lock this in!RPM model is painting 13" for your area, 4" MKE, 12" Janesville... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 0z GEM at HR 60 http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/695_100.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Canadian storm totals http://i.imgur.com/SIJOt1w.gif 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Really the whole state of Iowa getting blasted by that GFS run Not buying it.Why are you having a hard time believing it when run after run models are painting more moisture/snowfall??? Maybe you should understand what a jet speed max can do then you'd realize real quick how you can form ample precip and optimal conditions to produce snow...read the DMX Disco Grizz posted... Here's an article representing Uccellini & Kocin's theory of jet stream dynamics...http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/cunning/mesopre.html 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Canadian storm totals http://i.imgur.com/SIJOt1w.gif North/stronger than 12z. Seems like a trend. WSW will probably be posted for S. WI/N. IL tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Canadian storm totals http://i.imgur.com/SIJOt1w.gifNice to see the heavier snow backing farther west each run...now all of IA is practically under 6"+ of snow... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 I80 on north in Iowa will likely get WSW issued as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Being that it is the first/significant accumulating event of the season for many-- NWS will likely not be as tight when it comes to issuing Advisories/Warnings.. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 I cant get enough of this! What great runs tonight! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 UKIE HR 60 http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_060_0000.gif 72 http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_072_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 HR 60 http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/P1_GZ_D5_PN_060_0000.gif 72 http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/P1_GZ_D5_PN_072_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 19, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Canadian storm totals Weird little 6" snow finger south of Chicago... Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 That would be a widespread 10-12+ from Iowa into Wisconsin on the UKMET. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 UK looks pretty dang good. Models are in very good agreement at this point, so the Euro better not throw a curveball. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Unreal... might be a November storm to remember Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Total snowfall on Ukie (still snowing in some areas at HR 72 yet) http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/accum/PA_000-072_0000.gif 25 M is 1.00 QPF Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 19, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 NAM Keeps the temperature AOB freezing for the entire storm here. Then shows a low of about 8° on Sunday morning! CMC total snowfall Grids in SE WI already going with 3-7". 90% chance of snow. Grids near Dubuque already mention 6". Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 OMG at the UKIE! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 4-8 in my point and click. 2-4 Fri night and 2-4 Sat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 Euro throws a curveball and is much weaker/south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.