bud2380 Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Models have been showing this for a few days. As always discrepancies exist on placement and strength, but this looks like 1-4" event for parts of Nebraska, Iowa, Missouri, and Illinois. Right now Wisconsin and Minnesota look to be too far north to get in on much action, but still time for a shift. 6z GFS which actually did shift north and strengthen http://i.imgur.com/oYR2Rw7.png 12z NAM http://i.imgur.com/HXskddU.png 00z Euro http://i.imgur.com/NCVr7bj.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 17, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z GFS appears to be even stronger yet. http://i.imgur.com/Ul5XJKn.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yup, nice trends...hope the stronger solution works out...would be a nice "share the wealth" system across I-80 and points south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 17, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 A closer view. http://i.imgur.com/UGnMVww.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 hundred mile shift west would be nice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 This energy should get better sampling overnight as it hits the PAC NW coast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Very nice. GFS with a widespread 3-6". This model has done well this Winter in the short term if I'm not mistaken. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 If the GFS wins outit be 6 inches here.Now not exactly buying into it yet still couple days out later modals with be interresting to see modals later today & tomarrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z GGEM coming in a tad stronger than 00z run and a bit north thru HR 72...but it seems it fizzles away quicker... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Looked good hear but starting to shift in the wrong direction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 GGEM: http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/models/ggem/20160117/12Z/f078/acckucherasnowconus.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z GGEM...a little south with the precip... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 UKIE http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_060_0000.gif http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_072_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 ill buy the ukie, close call for us in lincoln Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z Euro came a little farther north and juicer...esp in N MO/C IL... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 17, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 yes, love the trend on the Euro. Came in further north than last night. If I could get 2-3" I'd be happy. I got 8" from our first storm in November then 3.5" of sleet with a half inch of snow at the end of December; otherwise no accumulating snow. http://i.imgur.com/0UqmPep.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 yes, love the trend on the Euro. Came in further north than last night. If I could get 2-3" I'd be happy. I got 8" from our first storm in November then 3.5" of sleet with a half inch of snow at the end of December; otherwise no accumulating snow. http://i.imgur.com/0UqmPep.pngSame here...if somehow we can score 2-3" with this one I'd be happy. Enough to cover up the grass again! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Certainly interesting on the EURO. Nice high end advisory snow possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Certainly interesting on the EURO. Nice high end advisory snow possible.You better cash in on this storm! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 needs to get moisture a little farther west. I would enjoy 3 to 5 inches Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Not sure how plausible 15 to 1 ratios are but hoping for the best. Jcwxguy we're in the same boat. Western fringes to yet again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 17, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Cobb method is showing 15:1 ratios in e iowa. Not sure about kc Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Hoping this comes far enough north so I can get 3-5 inches Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Depending on whice modal verifeys i may be in a good spot here in s.e iowa in Burlington really like to see a desent Snow storm been a burtal either warm & rain or cold & dry Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 looks like the srefs jogged north Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 wont have full sampling until at least 12z tomorrow probably 0z tomorrow night Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 It's interesting to note that this wave correlates with the 30-day cycle that had an open wave on Dec 21st that tracked thru N MO/N IL/MI and brought .50-.75" of rain. Obviously colder temps don't hold as much moisture so I'm not expecting those kind of amounts from this...maybe half that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 18z NAM has trended a little wetter and farther north compared to its last 3 runs... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 18z NAM... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Hope the NAM is off its rocker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 PW map.Ratio look really good around here. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 lol the winter with north trends that defy conventional logic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 LOT mentions of a possible north move. Still be very conservative with accumulations at this time. "THE FLOW DOES REMAIN PROGRESSIVE WHICH WOULDSUGGEST THE SHORTWAVE MAY LIFT A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH EARLYWED...SPREADING PRECIP INTO THE SOUTHERN CWFA AND EVENTUALLYARRIVING OVER THE NORTHERN CWFA BY MID-MORNING WED." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Hope the nam is onto something Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160117/18Z/f60/kucheraratiomw.png Never really understood this map Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160117/18Z/f084/acckucherasnowmw.png GFS back southwest a bit Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Accuweather has 2-4" for me; I know it's crazy I'm mentioning this but they have been the most consistent this year for my area so I'm liking my chances. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 17, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 DVN NWS IT APPEARS THAT AT LEAST2-4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF I80...1-2 INCHES FROMI80 NORTH TO THE HWY 30 CORRIDOR...AND LESS THAN AN INCH UP TOWARDTHE HWY 20 CORRIDOR. BULK OF THESE SNOW ACCUMS TO OCCUR FROM 00Z-06ZWED...ALTHOUGH THE SOUTHWESTERN THIRD OF THE DVN CWA MAY HAVE UP TOAN INCH ALREADY BY SUNSET TUE EVENING. FOR NOW WILL TONE DOWN THEWETTER 12Z RUN GFS WHICH HAS AS MUCH AS 4-6 INCHES SOUTH OF I80 AND3-4 INCHES NORTH OF I80 TO THE DBQ AREA BY 12Z WED. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 17, 2016 Report Share Posted January 17, 2016 Both the NAM and GFS on both the 12 and 18 runs give me 3.5 to 5" of snow. I will gladly take that. Got a measly third of an inch from Saturday night system. Almost bare ground and sub zero temps isn't very fun! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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