Jesse Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 No kidding. They were specifically saying it HAS been wet up here. Spurred me to check by how much since the beginning of 2014. Its been warm and wet. You have been driving the warm part into the ground... so I do my part on the wet. Whatever makes you feel normal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 0.15" in May to this point up here. Off the top of my head, April had only 0.66". We must be in the running for a top tier warm and dry April/May period.Quick Tim, post the SEA stats again! The people must know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Whatever makes you feel normal. Have you not been repeatedly reminding us how warm its been the last couple years for months? Some would say driving it into the ground. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Have not been repeatedly reminding us how warm its been the last couple years for months? Some would say driving it into the ground. Nowhere near your level. Matt might say so, but he has been PMSing lately so I wouldn't take him too seriously. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Quick Tim, post the SEA stats again! The people must know. That was for the last couple years and in reference to a post about the north/south gradient the last couple years. I already stated specifically that OLM and parts of Vancouver Island have the same shadowing effect in this pattern and was trying to convince Jared it might end up being the driest May ever there. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Nowhere near your level. Matt might say so, but he has been PMSing lately so I wouldn't take him too seriously. Wait... I have been mentioning that its been wet for the last couple years more often than you have made repeated references to the extreme warmth the last couple years?? Really? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Wait... I have been mentioning that its been wet for the last couple year more often than you have made repeated references to the extreme warmth the last couple years?? Really? Sounds about right. Yes. Now hurry, start counting those posts! I'm sure your wife doesn't want you to come to bed anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Sounds about right. Yes. Now hurry, start counting those posts! I'm sure your wife doesn't want you to come to bed anyway. Silly. You mention it so often that you don't even notice now. You are surly tonight. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 On a bit of an OT note, that wildfire that destroyed thousands of buildings in Fort McMurray Alberta has now scorched an incredible 1.3 million acres. Costliest natural disaster in Canadian history. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 On a bit of an OT note, that wildfire that destroyed thousands of buildings in Fort McMurray Alberta has now scorched an incredible 1.3 million acres. Costliest natural disaster in Canadian history. Has all of Vancouver Island been dry this month? Could be some fires there if the pattern turns hot in June like Phil is predicting. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 I noticed there has been a lack of freezing or cooler lows this month in Klamath Falls. Sub-freezing lows should still be a normal occurrence up to June. I have had only 1 low below freezing which was 05/09. Coldest temp only 31 degrees. I compiled a list of the last 15 May's and number of sub-freezing occurrences. There are quite a few of them. Only 2006 had 1 the entire month.I added the monthly minimum temperature for each year as well. It's not out of the ordinary to see a couple lows in the 20's in late Spring, occasionally even colder than that (05/01/2008 had 17 for a low). Also noteworthy to mention the average low temp in the first week of May is 34 degrees. Very high odds of Lows 32 or colder in May 2016: 1 (as of 05/24) (min of 31)2015: 9 (min of 24)2014: 6 (min of 24)2013: 11 (min of 23)2012: 10 (min of 23)2011: 17 (min of 23)2010: 14 (min of 18)2009: 5 (min of 26)2008: 8 (min of 17)2007: 9 (min of 23)2006: 1 (min of 28)2005: 3 (min of 31)2004: 5 (min of 28)2003: 9 (min of 24)2002: 11 (min of 24)2001: 8 (min of 24)2000: 5 (min of 25) Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Silly. You mention it so often that you don't even notice now. You are surly tonight.He wears many hats. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Almost assured that the next 2.5 years will be drier here than the last 2.5 years.Global Wettening. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Average high for May 2016 so far doesn't seem really all that warm either. As of 05/24 I have a running avg of 66.2 degrees, that would make only 25th warmest average high, yet somehow I'm dodging all those freezing lows at the same time. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Sounds about right. Yes. Now hurry, start counting those posts! I'm sure your wife doesn't want you to come to bed anyway.Ice burn!! 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Breezy out! 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Has all of Vancouver Island been dry this month? Could be some fires there if the pattern turns hot in June like Phil is predicting.Not much widespread rain, some more frequent showers to the north. Most of the east side of the island is in high fire danger currently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 He wears many hats. Must be the ridging in the models tonight. I am his whipping boy. Name calling and mocking my marriage during an actual weather discussion with no reference to him at all. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Must be the ridging in the models tonight. I am his whipping boy. Name calling and mocking my marriage during an actual weather discussion with no reference to him at all. Oh settle. Today has just been one of those days here. There was that huge conflagration earlier completely centered around you, that I had nothing to do with. Must be because I complain about warmth non-stop while you are an angel. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Oh settle. Today has just been one of those days here. There was that huge conflagration earlier completely centered around you, that I had nothing to do with. Must be because I complain about warmth non-stop while you are an angel. Sure. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Cooling off nicely this evening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 December was not Nino-like.I'd argue it was very Niño-like, perhaps the most niño-like month on record. Classic Niño-like AAM belts and general circulation. The difference was the typical cell structure was biased poleward, due to a record breaking +NAM/+PV (+AAM biased poleward, detriment to SoCal/STJ) a record breaking +QBO (boosts off-equator convection, expands HCs, strengthens early-winter PV, favors +NAM) and a compromised O^3/BDC machine via excessive H2O loading from the Niño (strengthens PV, favors +NAM). 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Total rain at SEA... normal annual rainfall is 38.64 inches. 2014 - 48.50 (+9.86)2015 - 44.83 (+6.19)2016 - 16.93 (+4.04) Its been wet up here.Seems to support what I was saying. I would think PDX and SLE would reflect similar numbers. EUG hasn't been above average any of those years I think. I could be wrong though. I wonder what YVR has been over those years. Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Seems to support what I was saying. I would think PDX and SLE would reflect similar numbers. EUG hasn't been above average any of those years I think. I could be wrong though. I wonder what YVR has been over those years.How about DCA? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 I'd argue it was very Niño-like, perhaps the most niño-like month on record. Classic Niño-like AAM belts and general circulation. The difference was the typical cell structure was biased poleward, due to a record breaking +NAM/+PV (+AAM biased poleward, detriment to SoCal/STJ) a record breaking +QBO (boosts off-equator convection, expands HCs, strengthens early-winter PV, favors +NAM) and a compromised O^3/BDC machine via excessive H2O loading from the Niño (strengthens PV, favors +NAM). Yes... everything was shifted north. The result here was very Nina-like with record snow in the mountains and record-setting rain in the lowlands. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Average high for May 2016 so far doesn't seem really all that warm either. As of 05/24 I have a running avg of 66.2 degrees, that would make only 25th warmest average high, yet somehow I'm dodging all those freezing lows at the same time.Interesting you've only had 1 low Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 How about DCA?Eh, I'm more of a BWI guy. Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Yes... everything was shifted north. The result here was very Nina-like with record snow in the mountains and record-setting rain in the lowlands.Maybe it technically was Niña-like, in your particular region. Globally and hemispherically, it was definitely Niño-ish, though. I think we can agree on that. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Maybe it technically was Niña-like, in your particular region.Globally and hemispherically, it was definitely Niño-ish, though. I think we can agree on that.Probably a fair assessment. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Seems to support what I was saying. I would think PDX and SLE would reflect similar numbers. EUG hasn't been above average any of those years I think. I could be wrong though. I wonder what YVR has been over those years. 2015 was pretty average in northern WA and B.C. in terms of precip. 2010-14 was consistently wet there, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Visible shows us socked in solidly west of the Cascade crest. Looks gloomy today and probably for a few days. The last two days turned out much nicer than I expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 The opposite is true up this way. It has cleared off nicely this morning, after being mostly cloudy the last couple days with only a few sunny periods later in the day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Nice and cloudy here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 I think we have a chance to get a cooler morning as we transition out of this strong marine-influenced weather into some more warm afternoons. My average low the last 12 days is 49.8. That's great for the garden, but that's about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 I think we have a chance to get a cooler morning as we transition out of this strong marine-influenced weather into some more warm afternoons. My average low the last 12 days is 49.8. That's great for the garden, but that's about it.Perhaps, but even with the warmer weather earlier in the month, mornings were quite mild overall. This is probably one of the only Mays in history that has failed to drop below 45 at PDX. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 I can't wait for next week... it will have been pretty much cloudy here for 2 weeks by Saturday. Sunshine will be very welcome. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 Here are the Eugene, OR rainfall stats, in case anyone needs evidence that the recent "record wet" weather is confined mostly to SEA, Tim's house and a few other locations in the far NW part of Washington State: EUG Rainfall 2013 - 21.19 (-23.37)2014 - 41.30 (-3.26)2015 - 32.24 (-12.32)2016 - 19.93 (-2.81) Its been wet overall for the last couple years from PDX northward. The difference between up here and down there is dramatic. Its in the top 5 wettest 2-year period ever for Seattle and 2016 is off to the races again so far. I can't help but think this north/south gradient is somewhat related to a warming climate and a slowly northward migrating jet stream. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 I can't help but think this north/south gradient is somewhat related to a warming climate and a slowly northward migrating jet stream.I don't think it's that black and white. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 I don't think it's that black and white. Probably not... it never is. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 25, 2016 Report Share Posted May 25, 2016 I can't wait for next week... it will have been pretty much cloudy here for 2 weeks by Saturday. Sunshine will be very welcome. Yeah these cloudy days are starting to get old, I am ready to get back to summer type weather and start enjoying the lake! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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