MossMan Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Total snow through next Wednesday... Whopping 2" at my house!!!!!!!!!!!!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Big time. Can't even get a half a** windstorm out of this horrifically dull winter. Bring on the sun and warmth.Shhhhh Jesse will get mad at you for calling this a dull winter. It is "historic" .... remember? All that matters is how many cold days we get to make it amazing and special. Your negativity is getting old! 1 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Better offshore height rises have proven to favor a southern storm track this winter Yeah, it's worked out that way, but I would say several of the blocks have been fairly top-heavy, which allowed that southern stream to undercut them pretty quickly. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Whopping 2" at my house!!!!!!!!!!!!!Stop bragging!! If I add up all the snow I have gotten over the past 5 years it is about that much. -- Just teasing BTW Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Shhhhh Jesse will get mad at you for calling this a dull winter. It is "historic" .... remember? All that matters is how many cold days we get to make it amazing and special. Your negativity is getting old! It was pretty historic for the Portland area... he lives there and experienced it. You would feel the same in his position. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Of course we get screwed again. This entire winter has been a joke.Well, at least we have long stretches of cold.... It is not that bad. Could have been worse. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 It was pretty historic for the Portland area... he lives there and experienced it. You would feel the same in his position. Kinda been pretty awesome for you too. You are biased. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 I think the main issue is that the blocking is just too far north overall in this pattern. You want better offshore height rises, instead of these floating blocks that are centered squarely over Alaska. It's a very unstable pattern that can lead to large snowfalls and epic busts, the latter more often than the former. But then the big PDX event in January came from a top heavy but lower amplitude block that collapsed onto a similar low shoving it through Oregon. This just hasn't been our year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Big time. Can't even get a half a** windstorm out of this horrifically dull winter. Bring on the sun and warmth. The 00Z ECMWF shows what looks like a potential windstorm-type pattern to me later next week... if you squint. http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls09/data/data01/scratch/ps2png-atls09-95e2cf679cd58ee9b4db4dd119a05a8d-WXhEYN.png Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Bottom line: let's see what happens on Thursday. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 It still doesn't end up looking too bad out at hour 168 (better than the GFS anyway), though this time frame seems kind of irrelevant now with how unstable things become. Go GEM! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017020100/ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_8.pngAre you serious? LMAO! cmon! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 The NAVGEM continues to live in a parallel universe. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/navgem/2017020100/navgem_mslp_pcpn_nwus_22.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 The NAVGEM continues to live in a parallel universe. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/navgem/2017020100/navgem_mslp_pcpn_nwus_22.pngYep.. that is why it is a useless! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Are you serious? LMAO! cmon! About the GEM or the irrelevance of the ECMWF out to hour 168? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Not to spread false hope but there is still a chance things trend favorable again IMO. We have had several big model heartbreak nights his winter only to have things ultimately trend colder later on. Although maybe not quite as spectacular as originally advertised. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 The 00Z ECMWF shows what looks like a potential windstorm-type pattern to me later next week... if you squint. http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls09/data/data01/scratch/ps2png-atls09-95e2cf679cd58ee9b4db4dd119a05a8d-WXhEYN.pnggod I hope sooooo at least something to root for that might actually happen. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Not to spread false hope but there is still a chance things trend favorable again IMO. We have had several big model heartbreak nights his winter only to have things ultimately trend colder later on. Although maybe not quite as spectacular as originally advertised.....and the puget sound still got screwed. So, who knows, it could improve... whatever that means. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Not to spread false hope but there is still a chance things trend favorable again IMO. We have had several big model heartbreak nights his winter only to have things ultimately trend colder later on. Although maybe not quite as spectacular as originally advertised. Right. I mean it's easy to overlook the fact that the 0z Euro is pretty close to showing a big regional snowstorm Friday/Saturday, just because it's not near as good as the previous run. Wouldn't take a radical shift to at least bring more widespread lowland snow. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 I am down to 27.6. Another exciting cold stat for the books. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Right. I mean it's easy to overlook the fact that the 0z Euro is pretty close to showing a big regional snowstorm Friday/Saturday, just because it's not near as good as the previous run. Wouldn't take a radical shift to at least bring more widespread lowland snow. True... Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 About the GEM or the irrelevance of the ECMWF out to hour 168?GEM Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 GEM It's the only model left that doesn't split the vortex too far out into the GOA. It's also a terribly inconsistent model, if our hope rests on the GEM we're screwed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Well the 06z is a step back in the right direction... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 So the final numbers are in on January and in W. Oregon it was the coldest January since: Eugene: 1993Salem : 1985PDX : 1979 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Well the 06z is a step back in the right direction...Sarcasm or...? I don't have time to check. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 The east wind is pretty impressive for Tigard this morning. Going to be a very windy day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Sarcasm or...? I don't have time to check.Nothing epic. But improved for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Sarcasm or...? I don't have time to check.Takes just as long to took briefly at the model as it does to type a new post. 6z GFS pushes the cold furthe south. Doubt it's a trend though, I've seen the 6z do this too many times after a 00z flip Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 My monthly average ended up at 36.1 putting it in a 3 way tie for coldest January of the century with 2007 and 2013. Weird. December also averaged 36.1. A pretty cold two month average. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Takes just as long to took briefly at the model as it does to type a new post. 6z GFS pushes the cold furthe south. Doubt it's a trend though, I've seen the 6z do this too many times after a 00z flip I think we'll pretty much know on the 12z. Certainly by tonight. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 I think we'll pretty much know on the 12z. Certainly by tonight.I'll bet things come in further south than the 0z last night showed. Just a hunch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 I'll bet things come in further south than the 0z last night showed. Just a hunch.One can hope at least Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Wasn't Phil bragging about how he called this yesterday? "This" meaning the cold and snow next week? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 My monthly average ended up at 36.1 putting it in a 3 way tie for coldest January of the century with 2007 and 2013. Weird. December also averaged 36.1. A pretty cold two month average. January 2013? I don't recall that month being cold AT ALL... I mean, we skated on Lake Whatcom this month, and it was only the coldest Jan since 2013? This D**n month needs to get its act together... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Wasn't Phil bragging about how he called this yesterday? "This" meaning the cold and snow next week?He was referring to the -EPO, which will verify. Why do you care? Screw snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 January 2013? I don't recall that month being cold AT ALL... I mean, we skated on Lake Whatcom this month, and it was only the coldest Jan since 2013? This D**n month needs to get its act together...Been a lot colder up this way, just hasn't helped much in the snow department unfortunately Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Been a lot colder up this way, just hasn't helped much in the snow department unfortunately Still waiting for your avatar to be an accurate depiction of an upcoming pattern... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Its February. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 Its February.If your dafodyls haven't bloomed yet, it's been a good winter ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 1, 2017 Report Share Posted February 1, 2017 January 2013? I don't recall that month being cold AT ALL... I mean, we skated on Lake Whatcom this month, and it was only the coldest Jan since 2013? This D**n month needs to get its act together...Is Lake Whatcom in Covington? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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