Tom Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Vertabim it doesnt amount to much this far east, only a 1/2 inch according to snowfall maps. I'd assume this is due to surface temps around 34-35.Wouldn't take much to change that with this type of system. Still about 24 hours till start time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Wouldn't take much to change that with this type of system. Still about 24 hours till start time.I would think with a low this strong and with relatively decent precip rates, there would be better dynamic cooling, maybe that's already being factored in, but could be under accounted for if this thing comes in stronger than expected. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8")Â (1/1: 6.4") Â Â Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Need some cold n 50 MI south here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)Â Â Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)Â Â Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9Â Dec: 7.5Â Jan: 31.7 Feb:Â 6.0 Mar: 4.3Â Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2"Â (Harrison):Â 2023-24 = 53.1"Â Avg = 45.0"Â (KDTW):Â 2022-23 = 33.5"Â Â 2021-22 = 35.6"Â Â Â Â Avg = 49.7"Â (KRMY):Â 2020-21 = 36.2"Â Â 2019-20 = 48.0"Â Â 2018-19 =Â 56.1"Â Â 2017-18 =Â 68.3"Â Â Â 2016-17 =Â 52"Â Â Â 2015-16 =Â 57.4"Â Â Â 2014-15 =Â 55.3"Â Â Â 2013-14 =Â 100.6"Â (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)Â Â 2012-13 =Â 47.2"Â Â Â 2011-12 =Â 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Rgem not nearly nam amped Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Rgem not nearly nam ampedAnd here I thought they had fixed the NAM 'roids tendency  RGEM nailed the 11th over here in MI fwiw Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)  Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"  2021-22 = 35.6"    Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosker Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Long-time lurker here. Driving from Lincoln to Sidney, NE tomorrow for work. Should be interesting. Thanks to all of you who post regularly; you're a wealth of good info. I'll post from the road if I can. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 00z GFS is south so far... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Slower. Â Better precip shield in nebraksa. Â Track of the low quite similar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Just saw Skillings show and the RPM has also shifted south and has a crush job in NE just north of hwy 80...from just north of North Platte almost due east... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Long-time lurker here. Driving from Lincoln to Sidney, NE tomorrow for work. Should be interesting. Thanks to all of you who post regularly; you're a wealth of good info. I'll post from the road if I can.I thought you were me for a sec... Hoosker and Hoosier, lol... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 It's to bad this things just begins to crap out as it heads east towards the Lakes...GFS still is the warmest model esp the closer you are towards the track of the low.  Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 GFS still warm. Will be interesting to watch. Â Was the warmest model with the ice storm as well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 What's making this one crap it's pants as it rolls east? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosker Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 I thought you were me for a sec... Hoosker and Hoosier, lol...Ha! Born and raised a Hoosier. Married a Nebraska girl and I've been in LNK for 11 years. Thus: Hoosker 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Ha! Born and raised a Hoosier. Married a Nebraska girl and I've been in LNK for 11 years. Thus: Hooskerthe Huskers are better anyway Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 A bit concerned with GFS. Did it initialize correctly? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 A bit concerned with GFS. Did it initialize correctly??? Â Its juiced over an inch of QPF for you right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 What's making this one crap it's pants as it rolls east?One culprit is that the mid level wave opens/shears as it heads east. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Ugly trends this evening. Yikes. At risk of only an inch or two now with a nasty gradient on the northern edge. Good luck to those south of here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Looks like the GGEM is similar to the NAM, but more snow for N IA/S WI. Really likes MSN though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 ?? Â Its juiced over an inch of QPF for you right?Yeah buts warm.....only an inch or 2 of snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Looks like the GGEM is similar to the NAM, but more snow for N IA/S WI. Really likes MSN though.One hell of a gradient in Iowa. Des Moines Iowa county, Polk, has 1.4 in southern part, 30 miles to north in northern Polk, nearly six inches! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 DMX talking potential for thundersnow....has generally 5-9" north of highway 20.They are also siding with the Euro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 One hell of a gradient in Iowa. Des Moines Iowa county, Polk, has 1.4 in southern part, 30 miles to north in northern Polk, nearly six inches!No doubt...it seems to hold together while it heads east...  http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017012400/gem_asnow_ncus_12.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 00z GEFS..big uptick in qpf totals and shifted south in NE... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2017012400/gfs-ens_apcpn_us_13.png 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Ukie:Â http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/accum/PA_000-072_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 GGEM once again lollipopping me with close to a foot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted January 24, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 My lord, did the thread title actually work? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Ukie:Â http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/accum/PA_000-072_0000.gifWhat are temps like? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 I think Gabe and Clintbeed are the only ones farthest NW from OMA...I'm actually 80 miles straight west of Omaha......20 miles straight south of Columbus. I'm riding the line, gonna be an interesting day tomorrow for sure! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 My lord, did the thread title actually work?for the northern state it did, but hey I might get 1-2" thats a lot for this winter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 DMX talking potential for thundersnow....has generally 5-9" north of highway 20.They are also siding with the Euro.As did Hastings today....... We`ve hoisted a Winter Wx Advisory for all the counties along NebHwy 92 north to include Valley/Greeley/Nance as well. However...it is important to understand that this is just ourfirst swing at highlighting the potential with this system. Iwould venture to say it is likely this advisory will be expanded.There is even a chance part of the fcst area may need to beupgraded to a warning with little advance notice. Fcst issues... 1) Fog. Low stratus has lingered from GRI-AUH and conds arefavorable for it to rapidly expand across the fcst area this eve.Would not be surprised to see dense fog (vsby 1/4 mi or less). 2) Frzg drzl. Confidence is low on this. The soundings have thelook...but do temps even radiate to frzg? Temps made it into the40s and 50s over much of the fcst area. Does this warmth radiateaway before clouds move in? Nudge low temps up. Gut feeling isthat we may have over-played this threat. Watch temperatures. 3) Thunder? It`s possible. There is enough elevated instabilitythat we could see some lightning late tonight. Mesoscale modelsare indicating some mid-lvl convection after midnight tonight thatlifts across the fcst area in the morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 00z Euro even farther south and colder for NE folks compared to last nights run... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 00z Euro even farther south and colder for NE folks compared to last nights run... Also colder for Des Moines area. Good trends tonight. NWS may have to add I 80 counties to advisory 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Maps??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Maps???00z Euro... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017012400/ecmwf_T850_us_2.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 Should be interesting snow maps for NE/IA peeps... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 So much for a Dakotas special!  Might end becoming a NE/IA special instead for a change.  I think I got a finger on this pattern heading into Feb. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 24, 2017 Report Share Posted January 24, 2017 God I hope you're right Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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