Perturbed Member Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 WRF shows the warmer nose moving right up to King County tomorrow night. Northward trend is no longer our friend. This is noticeably warmer tomorrow night than the 12Z WRF. Nasty Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 I know from personal experience this winter not to trust the cold air intrusion strength and speed shown on the WRF. Its almost always too aggressive south of Mt Vernon. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 So the warm nosw is pushing through King County yet precip doesn't really make it to WHATCOM COUNTY?... where this bullseye gonna be Tim? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Not going to matter with the pressure gradient we have.Yep my exactly... Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Not sure how this lines up with previous runs... seems like less snow than the 12Z run through Monday morning. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 So the warm nosw is pushing through King County yet precip doesn't really make it to WHATCOM COUNTY?... where this bullseye gonna be Tim?His house. . Central sound may be the bulls eye as it looks now. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 http://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/ww_snow24.36.0000.gif Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 I know from personal experience this winter not to trust the cold air intrusion strength and speed shown on the WRF. Its almost always too aggressive south of Mt Vernon. Yes, but as I pointed out earlier, this is different than any previous setup this winter. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Yes, but as I pointed out earlier, this is different than any previous setup this winter.They are all different. Seen it happen several times this winter alone. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 His house. . Central sound may be the bulls eye as it looks now.Tacoma will be bulls eye with 15 inches Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Looks like the 0z GFS has gone north, still sucks big time for Victoria with heavy snow to both the north and south tomorrow, but if it shifts just a little further north we might eke out a trace~1/2" tomorrow night. I wouldn't be too concerned about the warming if you have heavy precipitation, the east Puget Sound still looks like the best place to be. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 So the warm nosw is pushing through King County yet precip doesn't really make it to WHATCOM COUNTY?... where this bullseye gonna be Tim?Kitsap County down through Olympia and Chehalis probably. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 I've made peace with the fact that I probably won't see much of anything in regards to accumulation tomorrow.We'll get our's someday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 They are all different. Seen it happen several times this winter alone. Which one had a potent low passing to the south like this one? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 GEM shows even more snow than the morning run. 10+ inches right over King county. Of course it's over doing it, but good to see! Bulls eye right over Puyallup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 We'll get our's someday.January 10-11 makes up for it for sure. Glad to see people to the north getting a shot. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 WRF gives PDX 0 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 If I can get 1 to 3 inches as the weather app says I'd be happy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 What is everyone's weather app saying? Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Starting to look like a possible major puget sound snow event. The biggest and deepest snow storms here have been marginal temp wise.This...exactly! November 2006 featured over 24hrs straight of the heaviest wet snow I had ever experienced...temp stayed right between 32 and 33 with so much accumulation that hundreds of trees came down in my area causing a nearly 4 day power outage. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Actually now mine says 3 to 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 WRF shows close to 8 inches over King County. Might be best run yet. Higher amounts towards snowwizard. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lisa0527 Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Thunder snow in Vancouver! 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 http://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/or_snow24.36.0000.gifWell it was fun while it lasted Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 WRF shows close to 8 inches over King County. Might be best run yet.As long as it shows snow over the ocean then things are good for inland. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 WRF shows close to 8 inches over King County. Might be best run yet.One tiny dot of purple right over my house!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Thunder snow in Vancouver! Is that what that was? Snowing pretty heavily here now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Tim looks to get buried looking at the map posted above! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 WRF 00z soundings for PDX pretty much say enjoy your 34-36F rain. Not really even close to a snow sounding anymore. Only goes isothermal as the back end of the front is going through. No precip left. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 PuyallupSwampJon might even come back to the forum and be posting pics of his snowpeople building skills! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Sounder Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 I've got a feeling that Jim is going to be by far the biggest winner with this. Poor guy deserves it, that's for sure. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 18z models are the worst of all of them. You know better.This is just wx-forum mythology. There's no statistically significant difference in skill scores between the 18z suite and the 00z suite. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Tim looks to get buried looking at the map posted above! I am more than willing to share if you can figure out how to make that happen. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 I've got a feeling that Jim is going to be by far the biggest winner with this. Poor guy deserves it, that's for sure. Based on your previous posts... I believe this might be patronizing. I suspect the infamous warm nose might be a problem for his area... maybe even here as well. We have seen plenty of wonderful snowfall maps this winter. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 I am more than willing to share if you can figure out how to make that happen.Hmmm...where there is a will, there's a way! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Based on your previous posts... I believe this might be patronizing. I suspect the infamous warm nose might be a problem for his area... maybe even here as well. We have seen plenty of wonderful snowfall maps this winter.100% agree! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Quite breezy this evening! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 It will snow in Seattle, don't get me wrong, And it is starting to trend like a major event. The only thing that could probably redeem tomorrow would be a Patriots victory.No. No no no no no. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2017 Report Share Posted February 5, 2017 http://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/or_snow48.60.0000.gif Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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