HighlandExperience Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Wow! 850s at -10 over Seattle at hour 108 now. Looks like almost no break between the two cold periods now. An historic cold wave is looking more likely all the time.This week could be the cherry on top of an amazing winter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 The blocking is just incredible! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 IMG_0613.PNGWow! And in other news it's down to 35 here and mostly cloudy. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 This week could be the cherry on top of an amazing winter Looks like a good situation for a snow event somewhere along the line too. It would be very rare to have an abnormally snowy Feb and Mar in the same year, but we could easily pull it off. Combined with the cold Dec / Jan this winter is way on the right track. We are due for one where Seattle is the big winner. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Details will change but lots of potential. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 WRF has sucked bad recently though The 12z run of it was showing nearly 8" of snow here now it shows 0-T for precipitation of any time. It has had some major busts but I would tend to think the accuracy would have to be a little better within 12 hours of the event. This sort of shadowing/disorganized deformation band is what I've been worried about; some of the coastal areas could end up doing quite well and it's a pretty safe bet for places north of Bellingham. Tomorrow night could still turn out decent in the East Sound as well, but the morning has a high chance of being a non-event; let's hope the GFS forecast wins out. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/2017030500/images_d3/wa_pcp24.24.0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Doesn't get much better than this for lowland snow. What a majestic setup! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Vodka cold over southern BC next weekend. Incredible tracking low for Seattle snowfall followed by a blast. Wow! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Vodka cold over southern BC next weekend. Incredible tracking low for Seattle snowfall followed by a blast. Wow!Let's not get carried away. Hope we can score an appetizer over the next three days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Let's not get carried away. Hope we can score an appetizer over the next three days. This run is NUTS. 850s drop to -10 two separate times in the next week. The block is still amazing a week from now. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 I can't wait to see what the WRF spits out for hour 108 through 180. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 This run is NUTS. 850s drop to -10 two separate times in the next week. The block is still amazing a week from now. If we can score snowfall in the next 3-4 days ill feel more confident about the later event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 If we can score snowfall in the next 3-4 days ill feel more confident about the later event. The WRF really likes tomorrows evening. That model has been horrible with precip amounts in these cases though. I still think tonight has a good shot. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Normally this is the time of year I lose interest in the weather for a while. Not this year obviously. I would love to see a cold / snowy March followed by a cool / dry spring with lots of sunshine and frosty nights. Bare trees until mid April? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Normally this is the time of year I lose interest in the weather for a while. Not this year obviously. I would love to see a cold / snowy March followed by a cool / dry spring with lots of sunshine and frosty nights. Bare trees until mid April? I'm hoping for a few volcanic eruptions. Maybe all plants will die for like 50 years. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 00z GFS looks pretty incredible for next weekend. Too bad we're not looking at this inside 48 hours. High pressure to the north keeping cold air in place and the low tracking to south with the best 700mb frontogenetical forcing to the north and west of the surface low is a prime setup for significant snowfall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Doesn't get much better than this for lowland snow. What a majestic setup!Is it just me or is this a major wet snowmaker for Western Montana? Maybe even rain in the valleys, but at least our spring snowpack will be good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 00z GFS looks pretty incredible for next weekend. Too bad we're not looking at this inside 48 hours. High pressure to the north keeping cold air in place and the low tracking to south with the best 700mb frontogenetical forcing to the north and west of the surface low is a prime setup for significant snowfall. One nice snow for Portland and then one for Seattle. Let it be so! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 FWIW the GFS scenario at hour 150 / 156 would be a sure major snow maker for Seattle. Absolute textbook. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 FWIW the GFS scenario at hour 150 / 156 would be a sure major snow maker for Seattle. Absolute textbook.Looks backed with Fraser River Outflow. Pretty windy through the Sound. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017030500/gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_27.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Looks backed with Fraser River Outflow. Pretty windy through the Sound. Yup. Backwash behind the departing low would bring the cold air right down the Sound. I want this run to verify. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Yup. Backwash behind the departing low would bring the cold air right down the Sound. I want this run to verify.Parade of lows through central idaho. Just what the doctor ordered. 1"+ of qpf here, almost all of it would be snow except right after sun breaks during the day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Truly a historic drool worthy run. Somebody post GFS snow map I want to see how much of 10:1 snow it thinks I will get. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Looks decent. Maybe 2-4 inches for east puget sound area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Looks decent. Maybe 2-4 inches for east puget sound area. Blue right around my house nice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Wow. The mean drops below -12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Please vote in the contest poll to determine who gets a free year of WeatherBell. http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1456-the-model-contest-winter-of-2016-17 How long do we have? What are the rules on voting for yourself? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Wow. The mean drops below -12 IMG_0614.PNG Even SEA drops to -10 on the mean. Wowwwww! The warm interlude is totally gone now. This could easily be historic by a number of measures. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Even SEA drops to -10 on the mean. Wowwwww! The warm interlude is totally gone now. This could easily be historic by a number of measures.Could be the Buzzer shot of the winter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Couple sprinkles here... precip winding down. Snow advisory seems a little excessive tonight... at least in my area. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Upper levels must have really warmed up tonight. Early today the rain was nearly all sloppy snow. Now under heavy rain here with not a single splat. It is also colder here at the surface but not a single snowflake 100% rain all the way up to 650ft here tonight. Significant upper level warmth in place compared to this afternoon. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Upper levels must have really warmed up tonight. Early today the rain was nearly all sloppy snow. Now under heavy rain here with not a single splat. It is also colder here at the surface but not a single snowflake 100% rain all the way up to 650ft here tonight. Significant upper level warmth in place compared to this afternoon.Agreed. Dusting this morning and some this afternoon. So far tonight it has been a mix even up here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Agreed. Dusting this morning and some this afternoon. So far tonight it has been a mix even up hereJust more of a southerly component in the lower to mid levels. The upper atmosphere is actually in the process of cooling down atm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 00z Canadian seems to be 100 miles to the north of GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Rain! 36! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Upper levels must have really warmed up tonight. Early today the rain was nearly all sloppy snow. Now under heavy rain here with not a single splat. It is also colder here at the surface but not a single snowflake 100% rain all the way up to 650ft here tonight. Significant upper level warmth in place compared to this afternoon.925 temps close to 0, and 850 right around -4, Not expecting much tonight. Hopefully Sunday night though. Will see. Would be happy to see flakes in the air! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Any word on the euro? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Any word on the euro?Looks a lot like GEM to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Back to snow here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Any word on the euro? Not nearly as good as the 12z or the GFS. Still a lot of potential though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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