SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 85 and sunny here today... we really love Charleston. And the history here is fascinating. Jesse is hoping you move there and donate your current home to disaffected "refugees." 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Jesse is hoping you move there a donate your current home to disaffected "refugees." Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Menacing clear skies are threatening our chance at more convective rains. Parts of town got dumped on and most of Victoria proper saw at least some showers, but the sun was never far away and I could tell people were on edge about it. Fortunately the 18z GFS brings us several more chances to score over the next week. Saturday is almost a lock now even Monday doesn't look half bad http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017042718/gfs_mslp_pcpn_nwus_18.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Beautiful pics btw Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Front that was approaching on Monday on previous runs looks washed out on the 00Z GFS run. After the quick moving front on Saturday night and we might be starting a period of much improved weather next week. Glad we will be home to enjoy it. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Front that was approaching on Monday on previous runs looks washed out on the 00Z GFS run. After the quick moving front on Saturday night and we might be starting a period of much improved weather next week. Glad we will be home to enjoy it. The Monday system sucks on the 0z but it's more than made up for by a nice rainy Wednesday. I think that's the reason it's so watered down, the Wednesday system comes in stronger and tears apart the weaker system ahead of it. We should be in good shape to get either one or both systems. Also some hints of another shot of colder rain (maybe more convective) later in the week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Could be chilly tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Down to 40 right now. Really looking forward to housing climate refugees in the next few years. Al Gore says only 15 trillion dollars can save our planet. Seems like such a small price to pay for our existence! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Down to 40 right now. Really looking forward to housing climate refugees in the next few years. Al Gore says only 15 trillion dollars can save our planet. Seems like such a small price to pay for our existence!Drinking tonight? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Some heavy showers passed through this afternoon, even heard some reports of a little hail. It was a nice morning but the rain was a welcome sight. Just enough to freshen up the mud. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Drinking tonight?I don't drink. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Some heavy showers passed through this afternoon, even heard some reports of a little hail. It was a nice morning but the rain was a welcome sight. Just enough to freshen up the mud.I can't remember are you in a drought? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 I can't remember are you in a drought?Not even close. Very soggy here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Some heavy showers passed through this afternoon, even heard some reports of a little hail. It was a nice morning but the rain was a welcome sight. Just enough to freshen up the mud. Showers around here too, but nothing heavy. The heaviest stuff was focused up around Gordon Head, kind of crazy that area is only about 3~5km away but is already up to 56mm, whereas this area is still sitting at 36mm. There are some crazy rainfall gradients this month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Front that was approaching on Monday on previous runs looks washed out on the 00Z GFS run. After the quick moving front on Saturday night and we might be starting a period of much improved weather next week. Glad we will be home to enjoy it. Hmm, what was that about 1993 and a warm May? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Showers around here too, but nothing heavy. The heaviest stuff was focused up around Gordon Head, kind of crazy that area is only about 3~5km away but is already up to 56mm, whereas this area is still sitting at 36mm. There are some crazy rainfall gradients this month.The showers today have me at around 100mm for the month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 The showers today have me at around 100mm for the month. How much does your area average in April? My best guess for this area is somewhere between 35~45mm, so still pretty much an average April here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted April 28, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 NWS hinting at my first warm core convection of the year in my area next Thursday. Southerly flow, 75-80 degree temps and instability should mean something. It may be subject to change though, very rarely does that stick around on AFD's 7-8 days ahead of time. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 With the big -NAO upcoming to open May, it's worth noting that there are a select few years that featured the deep -NAO in May under a weak +ENSO with EPAC/WHEM bias. These are 2012, 1995, 1993, and 1980, with 2010 also there, but it's a shoddy ENSO match. These are all distinct analogs, but they're similar on the large scale in the long run, save 2010. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 How much does your area average in April? My best guess for this area is somewhere between 35~45mm, so still pretty much an average April here.Average is 70mm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Since 1950, the only to years to open May with such an anomalous -NAO are 1980 and 1993. More modest examples include 1954 and 2008, but those aren't the best analogs for the upcoming warm season due to differences in the tropics. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Since 1950, the only to years to open May with such an anomalous -NAO are 1980 and 1993. More modest examples include 1954 and 2008, but those aren't the best analogs for the upcoming warm season due to differences in the tropics. Both notably cool summers in the PNW, for what its worth. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 The convergence zone has been very persistent the last 3-4 days. It's funny as we have been talking about downtown Seattle being drier than SEA which is normally the case except for the last week. My area got another half inch yesterday afternoon through last night. SEA had virtually nothing again. North Seattle has had several inches over the last 3-4 days and some places up against the cascades have received over 10". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Ended up with 0.45" of rain yesterday, 8.37" on the month. Average is 6.20". So 135% of average. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 34F here this morning with light frost. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Could be chilly tonight. Station of the gods made it to around freezing. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 The convergence zone has been very persistent the last 3-4 days. It's funny as we have been talking about downtown Seattle being drier than SEA which is normally the case except for the last week. My area got another half inch yesterday afternoon through last night. SEA had virtually nothing again. North Seattle has had several inches over the last 3-4 days and some places up against the cascades have received over 10". Seattle WFO (not in downtown Seattle but much closer than SEA) only measured .01" yesterday. .46" two days ago, though. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Station of the gods made it to around freezing.We hit 37 here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Front that was approaching on Monday on previous runs looks washed out on the 00Z GFS run. After the quick moving front on Saturday night and we might be starting a period of much improved weather next week. Glad we will be home to enjoy it. You're missing a lovely day in Seattle today. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 You're missing a lovely day in Seattle today. Screenshot_12.png Its been pouring rain at home all morning... and very gloomy. Just trying to break up now. A little respite this evening and tomorrow morning and then it rains tomorrow afternoon through Sunday. Not missing anything at all at home. Lunch break is over... back to the pool. Live view at home... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Its been pouring rain at home all morning... and very gloomy. Just trying to break up now. A little respite this evening and tomorrow morning and then it rains tomorrow afternoon through Sunday. Not missing anything at all at home. Pics or it didn't happen. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Pics or it didn't happen. In case you missed it... live view from home: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 One more... better shot and you can see its still raining. Of course. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 What a terrible place to live, when blue skies are so close. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 It was raining on my way into work this morning. Got down to 33 this morning though. Timberline s base is 203" now. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 What a terrible place to live, when blue skies are so close. Truly is on days like this. Best to live near the water... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Made it to 34 this morning here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 A fairly cloudy morning here in Salem, but there are sunbreaks. It is a fairly nice day. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 32 at OLM! And Shelton. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 28, 2017 Report Share Posted April 28, 2017 Any chance the precip late on Saturday starts as snow down here? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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