Iowawx Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 Still needs to come north for me to be happy. Hopefully trends go north. Otherwise we won't likely get more than 4 inches here. Would really like to see the main band come north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 18z GFS no major shifts...holding steady compared to 12z run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 Milwaukee and Madison can't even buy a good storm this winter. Jezzz. Zoomed in. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 Heavier band is slightly further south. I know it's not much at all int he grand scheme of things, but I would much rather have a slight budge north than south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 GFS showing that 6-8" with only about .5 moisture. Do these maps account for higher than 10:1 ratios? Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 GFS showing that 6-8" with only about .5 moisture. Do these maps account for higher than 10:1 ratios?Yes, typically the Instant Weather maps overdo the ratios, honestly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 Love seeing those pinkish colors over my area. Anyways, LOT disco put me to sleep. Still several days away. EURO/GGEM ZzZzZzZzZz still. Antsy right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 GFS keeps lake effect coming into NE IL all day Monday...even into Tuesday.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 GFS keeps lake effect coming into NE IL all day Monday... Yeah no mention from LOT about that at all but looks like potential is there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 26, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 Yes, typically the Instant Weather maps overdo the ratios, honestly. Source? I thought they were usually pretty close... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 GFS starts to stack up snowfall totals in NE IL by Tuesday....8-10" by Noon Tuesday. LOT is never enthusiastic about LES. The lake has open up a lot from the warmth last week. Could be interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 Source? I thought they were usually pretty close...A lot of times overdone, but yes sometimes close. Just depends on the storm. Heck, even the NWS overdoes ratios a lot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 F this trash Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 sorry just got back in and took a quick look not real thrilled with the developments, although can't say it's suprising Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 This storm gave me no snow back on Jan 4-5. It went south and Chicago got destroyed. That better not happen again. Hopefully its a 6+ event for us here in Iowa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 sorry just got back in and took a quick look not real thrilled with the developments, although can't say it's suprising It's pretty sad we've seen only three storms that gave us 4-7". And the pattern continues... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 26, 2014 Report Share Posted February 26, 2014 oh well I'm over it now, grill is going with brats, cocktail in hand and headed out to play some frisbee with the dog. Cheers! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 Are there any signs of a northern shift?? The 6 inch line is close to me but not close enough, would much rather be in the 8+ range. With tonight and tomorrows models, I am hoping for a slower, juicer, and northern system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 27, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPCN72NE_18z/f132.html gfs ensembles Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPCN72NE_18z/f132.html gfs ensembles Yeah doesent look like it supports OP GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 27, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 in what ways? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 27, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 0z NAM with 3-6 from GB to ORD through HR 84. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 0z NAM with 3-6 from GB to ORD through HR 84. NAM is still crap for this thing overall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 00 NAM back to reality for the 1st 2 waves Fri-Sat night... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 00 NAM back to reality for the 1st 2 waves Fri-Sat night...Man that sux!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 I hate to be pessimistic but I see models backing off totals as we move forward. At least in our area, just has been the case all winter. The one good thing we have going is the arctic air; won't take much to fluff some decent totals but in the same sense be a suppressor... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 Wow the NAM is awful. This might just be a non event for all of us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 Let's just wait for the GFS and EURO before freaking out..it is the NAM after all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 Although I will admit it is rather alarming that it really doesn't have much of a system at all for anybody. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 Is the NAM reliable at this time??? Just curious Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 Is the NAM reliable at this time??? Just curious I think it's more accurate within 48 hours tbh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 Thanks Clint. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 Is the NAM reliable at this time??? Just curiousUsually is too robust this far out, now it's showing nothing while all other models are at least showing something. I agree, let's see what the others show before we jump ahead. Still a long ways out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 It is alarming with that run since we are 48 hours from Friday afternoons first wave and OAX just upped totals to 1-3 I'm OMA. NAM is not on board with what the NWS is thinking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 It is alarming with that run since we are 48 hours from Friday afternoons first wave and OAX just upped totals to 1-3 I'm OMA. NAM is not on board with what the NWS is thinking. It doesn't seem like anyone really knows what the hell this thing is going to do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarcusBeier Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 Whats the forecast and timing for SEMI? The local losers have been showing "flakes' in there artwork LOL but they dont say a peep beyond 2 days out, which means they have no clue and dont want to possibly explain actually how weather works, and model solutions etc..man i cant stand them =( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 00z GFS blasts SE NE/N KS/N MO with 12-16"... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 Can't really tell on instant weather maps, but based on the way the snow shield is developing it looks like a better defined SLP may be organizing and phasing in the Plains. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 27, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 8-9 for ORD this run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted February 27, 2014 Report Share Posted February 27, 2014 Can't really tell on instant weather maps, but based on the way the snow shield is developing it looks like a better defined SLP may be organizing and phasing in the Plains.Tom, does that mean a northern shift is in the works?? I sure hope so!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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