February Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Huh, a fairly decent 00z GFS run...

 

00z GEM isn't far off...

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Huh, a fairly decent 00z GFS run...

 

00z GEM isn't far off...

I noticed this on 12z and 18z but was made fun of when i mentioned it.

[Timmy]

I noticed this on 12z and 18z but was made fun of when i mentioned it.

I posted about the 00z gem from last night. It’s been showing a decent cold shot next weekend for a few runs. Although tonight’s isn’t as good as the last 2 runs.

[HighlandExperience]

I noticed this on 12z and 18z but was made fun of when i mentioned it.

I’m worried for snowwiz

[Anti Marine Layer]

No new posts since last night. That's unusual.

 

Looks like rain amounts were low in the PNW despite Cliff Mass predicting a heavy rain event.

[MossMan]

No new posts since last night. That's unusual.

 

Looks like rain amounts were low in the PNW despite Cliff Mass predicting a heavy rain event.

Wish I had a rain gauge, all I can go by is that my driveway is more underwater this morning that it was over the weekend so I think we had a lot here overnight.

[MossMan]

6z looks slightly chilly overall.

[TT-SEA]

No new posts since last night. That's unusual.

 

Looks like rain amounts were low in the PNW despite Cliff Mass predicting a heavy rain event.

 

It was a mountain and foothills event as he showed last week.    Crazy orographic enhancement in this pattern.     It has not stopped raining here since Friday evening... even though it managed to clear out for awhile yesterday around Seattle.   Almost up to 4 inches here on the month.   And I am sure places in the North Cascades got much more.  

 

Water is absolutely roaring down the ridge here this morning... every waterfall and creek is running at full throttle.    This type of perpetual warm front pattern happens every couple years.   It also usually leads to much nicer weather down the road.    

[MossMan]

And the radar is lying again, still raining.

[TT-SEA]

And the radar is lying again, still raining.

 

I was going to mention that... the radar is really bad at capturing the extent of this low level drizzle.    I looked at the radar this morning and saw all the rain was to the north but then checked out the traffic cams and it was very wet with low visibility all the way to Bellevue along I-90.  

 

Current radar would make you think its all dry around here...

 

 

But this is really what it looks like...

 

[tomas]

                                             
                                  http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif   http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814prcp.new.gif  

                                                   Put a fork in winter snow,           

[MossMan]

Another two things to note, the grass has noticeably greened up and also definite growth. And I saw my first mosquito of the year this morning as well!!

[TT-SEA]

Another two things to note, the grass has noticeably greened up and also definite growth. And I saw my first mosquito of the year this morning as well!!

 

This is the HRRR for early Wednesday morning... this pattern will not die easily.   It shows basically the same drizzle fest still going 48 hours from now.   Then the GFS shows more organized rain on Thursday into Friday.   Might just drizzle most of the week for us which is really amazing given how long its been raining already.  

 

[TT-SEA]

The real end to this pattern appears to come on Saturday when cooler air finally filters in and ends the precipitation.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I saw a pretty wild stat the other day. The last below average low temp at PDX was January 3rd.

[TT-SEA]

I saw a pretty wild stat the other day. The last below average low temp at PDX was January 3rd.

 

SEA is running +5.8 for the month and has not seen a temperature below freezing since January 1st.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

SEA is running +5.8 for the month and has not seen a temperature below freezing since January 1st.

 

Our major cooldown this weekend may bring temps close to normal.

[TT-SEA]

Our major cooldown this weekend may bring temps close to normal.

 

Maybe... if we are lucky.  

[TT-SEA]

We have reached February 5th... the day that the record lows at most stations jump up significantly.

 

To illustrate... the record low at SEA on 2/4 is 7 degrees set in 1989.    The record low on 2/9 is 26 degrees.  

 

It does go lower than that on some days of course... but before today most of the record lows are in the single digits and teens and after today most of the record lows are in the 20s.  

[Randyc321]

Another two things to note, the grass has noticeably greened up and also definite growth. And I saw my first mosquito of the year this morning as well!!

 

Plenty of frogs back in action near my place.  Sounded like spring the last couple of evenings.

[TT-SEA]

4 years ago today it was sunny and cold in Seattle...

 

[umadbro]

12z GFS

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 years ago today it was sunny and cold in Seattle...

 

That was a beautiful day. Down here heavy snow would be falling within 24 hours.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This is the HRRR for early Wednesday morning... this pattern will not die easily. It shows basically the same drizzle fest still going 48 hours from now. Then the GFS shows more organized rain on Thursday into Friday. Might just drizzle most of the week for us which is really amazing given how long its been raining already.

 

This pattern has been terrible for you up north. Down here we have had very little rain, but it has been cloudy and damp. Down toward Eugene though there have been some incredible days with sunshine and temps well into the 60s.

[HighlandExperience]

4 years ago today it was sunny and cold in Seattle...

 

I remember that day as I work downtown. Pretty annoying that it didn’t snow. At least it was sunny.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Morning of February 7, 2014

 

[TT-SEA]

This pattern has been terrible for you up north. Down here we have had very little rain, but it has been cloudy and damp. Down toward Eugene though there have been some incredible days with sunshine and temps well into the 60s.

 

There are many days when I am jealous of Eugene.   

 

The downside there is the persistent low clouds and fog when there is offshore flow... but that season is short.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png

 

All over the place.

[The Swamp]

I mowed my lawn today.  Earliest I've moved EVER.

[TT-SEA]

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png

 

All over the place.

 

 

Not really... looks like a normal spread centered around normal.  

 

And normal is not really close to meaningful in February.  

[MossMan]

Morning of February 7, 2014

 

I had snow that day as well! You can see it on the window molding of my truck! It was epic!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Be interesting to see Phil's thoughts on the noise the GFS operational has been putting out...Basically retrograding the west coast ridge a bit to allow at least a little troughing... Could be early signs of our spring pattern setting up, model noise, or just a transitory pattern...

 

Yikes...EURO definitely not on board.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I had snow that day as well! You can see it on the window molding of my truck! It was epic!

 

I know that was a bitter pill for our northern posters. 

[HighlandExperience]

I know that was a bitter pill for our northern posters.

I remember that being a huge waste of cold air.

[umadbro]

I had right around a foot of snow by the time it ended. A couple small thin layers of ZR in the snow. Solid event overall.

[ShawniganLake]

Early February one year ago

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

February 2014

 

IMBY

2/5: 31/17

2/6: 23/13

2/7: 33/13

 

SLE

2/5: 36/22

2/6: 27/21

2/7: 28/20

 

PDX

2/5: 29/21

2/6: 23/19

2/7: 28/20

 

EUG

2/5: 36/24

2/6: 25/20

2/7: 29/20

 

Redmond

2/5: 12/4

2/6: 11/-4

2/7: 31/-4

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Forget Jim, I know he's fine. I am worried about Jesse! Unless that is he received a well deserved suspension or ban...

[TT-SEA]

Forget Jim, I know he's fine. I am worried about Jesse! Unless that is he received a well deserved suspension or ban...

 

Jesse was not doing anything wrong prior to his sabbatical... its probably just a choice he made to take a break.

[Deweydog]

Breaks are for losers.

 

It's disrespectful to our climate and will be dealt with by it accordingly.