Really, really lovely cumulonimbus action tonight! I just happened to have my drone in the car and got some solid shots of DT Seattle/Lake Washington/Mercer Island/Bellevue looking north from Skyway. Alas, the focal length of the lens doesn't do the vertical height justice and my WB was off rendering it into semi-gross HDR territory, but still... fun looking weather! It was quite windy- I was flying right at 390 ft and the drone was giving me all sorts of warnings about sustained winds/gusts.
A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.
NBM is quite an interesting product! Their weighting algorithm is moderately complex and dynamic, though does has some drawbacks as we saw yesterday. For those who don't know, NBM is an attempt by NOAA to create a super probabilistic forecast model that ingests output from all the models above and outputs forecast guidance for local offices that help them to gauge the relative odds of particular weather outcomes. The 'special sauce' is the post-processing, normalization and weighting that they d
To the bolded, I remember you saying on here how quiet the summers have been in Michigan and once the Storms/Severe WX return again, you would be getting excited for the following winter. Could next year be the reversal towards a more normal or even better Winter? Sometimes nature does funky things and shows signs of it and I hope to see "real winters" return for the Great Lakes once again. In the meantime, enjoy your summer bud and thanks for stopping by again!
That was a sarcastic comment because someone here always goes after Mark for his warm bias. Including this time. Presumably because Mark is old and grumpy now and doesn't like the same kind of weather he used to like... and apparently no longer cares about accuracy either.
In all fairness he called the 90s before anyone else this time (though Dave Salesky at KATU had 90 on Saturday for longer, and before he had 90 on Friday).
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