March 2014 Observations and Discussions Part II

[Tom]

Severe Thunderstorms blowing up in MO right now...this storm is starting to crank.  It's been rippin' heavy snow up in Duluth for the past few hours.  How much snow you got up there now th_snow???

[Geos]

Up to 42° 43° now with periods of moderate rain in the last hour.

[Money]

36 here.

[tim the weatherman]

Severe Thunderstorms blowing up in MO right now...this storm is starting to crank.  It's been rippin' heavy snow up in Duluth for the past few hours.  How much snow you got up there now th_snow???

 

i have been hearing from nws kc that a brief tornado touched down in the stare of mo north of jamesport this afternoon.

[Geos]

Those storms are going to be pin wheeling themselves up this way later tonight too. 

 

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/uppermissvly_loop.php

 

Classic comma shape to this system.

 

[tim the weatherman]

just now hearing from the weather channel that a tornado has bee confirmed by spotters out of trenton mo right now.

[Geos]

Up to 44° now. High resolution models bump the temps up in the mid 50s tonight ahead of the t-storms.

 

Last pile of snow on my property is almost gone now.

[East Dubzz]

Finally, a little bit of lightning and thunder passing through right now!

[Geos]

Hearing thunder right now! Up to 48° imby. 

 

Edit: Little lightning too.

[East Dubzz]

Wow, feels really nice out right now. Some fairly dense patchy areas of fog.

[Geos]

Just reached 50°. 0.31" of rain so far. Next wave should hit before 11.

[Tom]

Crazy down pour sweeping through right now with that line of showers coming thru Cook/Lake/McHenry...should wash away the dirt left over from the snow piles.

[East Dubzz]

Pretty nice rainfall outside right now. Can't hear it against the windows currently, so it's coming down pretty good.

[East Dubzz]

My gauge caught .50" total.

[Geos]

Picked up 0.64" here in total. Had a few flakes, but mostly rain this morning. High 51° early.

[Hawkeye]

Only 0.13" here yesterday.  Most of the better precip went north.  It has been a very dry month.

[gosaints]

.63 here

[East Dubzz]

Only 0.13" here yesterday.  Most of the better precip went north.  It has been a very dry month.

Yeah, you got the shaft on this one. You got some from the original surge, but then later at night an area of light/moderate rain set up basically right around and north of the HWY 20 corridor.

[tim the weatherman]

tom skilling just mentioned on the weather blog that monday could be our first severe weather outbreak of the year.

[james1976]

from DMX regarding this coming monday:
F THINGS COME TOGETHER  
IT COULD GET INTERESTING MONDAY EVENING IN CENTRAL IOWA. SHEAR  
PARAMETERS ARE VERY FAVORABLE. FINALLY...THE WEATHER PATTERN IS ON  
PAR FOR THE TIME OF YEAR. THERE HAVE BEEN NUMEROUS SEVERE WEATHER  
EVENTS IN CENTRAL IOWA BETWEEN MARCH 31ST AND APRIL 12TH OVER THE  
YEARS.  

[tim the weatherman]

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...USED 12Z ECMWF/GFS TO BASE FORECAST. 12Z NAM

APPEARED TO BE AN OUTLIER. THE ECMWF/GFS WERE SLOWER AND STRONGER

WITH THE SHORTWAVE ENERGY EMERGING FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AT 12Z

MONDAY. BOTH SOLUTIONS BRING A NEGATIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE THROUGH

CENTRAL IOWA ON MONDAY. THE ECMWF IS NORTH OF THE GFS SURFACE LOW

POSITION AT 00Z TUESDAY. CENTRAL IOWA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR

WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE WESTERN COUNTIES BY AFTERNOON

AND A SURFACE LOW EITHER IN NORTHWEST IOWA OR NEARBY. LOOKING AT

THE MODEL SOUNDINGS...THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL

BE TIMING CONSIDERATIONS AND THE AMOUNT OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE

TRANSPORTED INTO IOWA AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM. IF THINGS COME TOGETHER

IT COULD GET INTERESTING MONDAY EVENING IN CENTRAL IOWA. SHEAR

PARAMETERS ARE VERY FAVORABLE. FINALLY...THE WEATHER PATTERN IS ON

PAR FOR THE TIME OF YEAR. THERE HAVE BEEN NUMEROUS SEVERE WEATHER

EVENTS IN CENTRAL IOWA BETWEEN MARCH 31ST AND APRIL 12TH OVER THE

YEARS.(fromdmx)(also the state we needs to watch is illinois on monday with the severe weather)

 

[Tom]

Skilling going with 68F on Monday...that's going to feel like summer around here.

[Tom]

Another Blizzard or near Blizzard should hit the Dakotas and N MN on Monday...th_snow may sneak out another one this season.

[Geos]

Turning out to be a nice afternoon. Should make 40° at least.

[midwest buildit]

Frost and 22* when I left the house this morning. Chilly

[Geos]

23° here this morning. Already up 10°. 

[East Dubzz]

Up to 50 here so far.

[Geos]

47° here. Should hit the mid 50s after the south winds increase a bit and shove the marine air back over the lake.

[james1976]

67 in Aplington!

[Hawkeye]

64 in Cedar Rapids.  Tomorrow should be about as mild.  Unfortunately, after tomorrow the latest Euro suggests we may not even see 50 again until mid April.

[Geos]

Been as high as 51°, which is the current temp. More southerly flow is becoming more direct now. 

 

Not bad considering all that mid 30 degree water to the east.

[East Dubzz]

Up to 60 here.

[Geos]

Temperature can't decided whether to go down or go up tonight. Right now it just jumped from 42° to 49°.

[Tom]

Just hit 67F...feels amazing out there today!  Couldn't ask for a better opening day at Comiskey Park.  This is a nice way for Mother Nature to deliver the best day of this Spring before I leave for AZ tomorrow morning.  Going to stay out there till the end of April and I saw the forecasts says 80's even possible low 90's next week when the west coast ridge blossoms and a deep trough organizes in the east. 

 

I'll be in and out of the computer out there so enjoy the weather for the next few weeks as I'm sure there will be several storm systems to track.

[Geos]

Been up to 58° or so back home. Clouds knocked it down a little. Enjoy Arizona Tom!

One of these days I'll get out there too!

[tim the weatherman]

TORNADO WARNING

MNC073-312145-

/O.NEW.KMPX.TO.W.0002.140331T2125Z-140331T2145Z/
 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN

425 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2014
 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A
 

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

  SOUTH CENTRAL LAC QUI PARLE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
 

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT
 

* AT 422 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 12 MILES NORTHEAST

  OF CANBY...AND MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.
 

  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
 

  SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.
 

  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT

           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE

           TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS

           LIKELY.
 

* THE TORNADO WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL LAC QUI

  PARLE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...PROVIDENCE AND

  DAWSON.
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
 

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN

INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID

WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE

CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
 

&&

 

[East Dubzz]

65 here.. Nice!

[Madtown]

hit 65 around 2:30 then fell back to 62

[Geos]

Backyard thermometer recorded 61° for a high here, before clouds moved in. Starting to notice new shoots of grass poke up.

[tim the weatherman]

Backyard thermometer recorded 61° for a high here, before clouds moved in. Starting to notice new shoots of grass poke up.

nice to hear geos and i went outside today too and seeing flowers poking up in the ground and it was so beautiful out.