Jump to content

Mountain West Discussion

Black Hole

By Black Hole
in West of the Rockies

 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 5.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

Kayla
Kayla

Ended up with 10" here. We're pretty buried here at this point as you can see. In town Nordic trails are AMAZING with about a 20" base now.  http://i68.tinypic.com/16ii8ud.jpghttp://i63.tinypic.com/15

Kayla
Kayla

Stunning sunset here tonight.

Black Hole
Black Hole

A friend of mine took this while flying into SLC yesterday. This is over the Great Salt Lake. 

Posted Images

Black Hole Proficient

Black Hole

Posted
  • Author
Posted

I need to look into official statistics. I went hiking the other day and it was still snowcovered but I have no idea how common that is since I moved here less than a year ago. I just looked up a chart that showed the state. The far north is above normal, the middle is 70-90% of average. The far south is 20-50% of average.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
larna3 Newbie

larna3

Posted
Posted

I need to look into official statistics. I went hiking the other day and it was still snowcovered but I have no idea how common that is since I moved here less than a year ago. I just looked up a chart that showed the state. The far north is above normal, the middle is 70-90% of average. The far south is 20-50% of average.

Seems like in the North, we typically see snow drifts that last into July and August in some cases.  Good to know that we're above normal! :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Dan the Weatherman Rising Star

Dan the Weatherman

Posted
Posted

I didn't know about the flooding but I did see a Severe thunderstorm Watch had been posted.

I saw a report on WeatherNation showing several streets that were flooded in Loveland, and a video on AccuWeather.com showing flooding in the Denver metro area. The AccuWeather reporter indicated that a Flood Warning was in effect for some of the region, especially along the Platte (not sure of spelling) River. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Dan the Weatherman Rising Star

Dan the Weatherman

Posted
Posted

I am certainly liking the +PDO signature in the Pacific as I believe conditions are more favorable for El Nino to continue to develop. Also I am encouraged by the AMO (Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) trending negative over the last few months. It is my opinion and conclusion from looking at past weather records that the combination of -PDO, +AMO, and ENSO neutral or weak ENSO conditions bring about the worst droughts in California, particularly the southern half of the state, and that the Southwest in general is affected by drought in this pattern as well. The last three years have been under this general pattern and I am really glad to see everything trending away from it now, and am certainly more encouraged now that there is a much higher chance of wetter winters in the future if these trends continue.

IMO it is critical that a moderate to strong El Nino forms to increase the chances of getting drought relief this next winter because there seems to be a lag time of about a year before the atmosphere reacts to changes in the PDO and AMO. On the other hand, the effects from ENSO are felt the following winter since it is a shorter-term pattern. If the AMO and PDO continue trending the way they are now, wetter winters would be possible even in ENSO neutral years beginning in 2015-16.

I should note that La Nina (regardless of AMO and PDO phases) tends to contribute to drought conditions in the SW states, but the effects in CA are more mixed with some years being wetter and others being drier. This is another reason why the SW has frequently been in drought since about 1999.

 

Note: I also posted this same comment in the California thread, because this applies to both regions.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Dan the Weatherman Rising Star

Dan the Weatherman

Posted
Posted

Thanks for the insight. I do think there is hope for the next few years with what you have said. It probably can't get much worse.

I forgot to add one thing to my post from the other night, and that is that -PDO often leads to drought conditions over the SW states, but not always in CA, and we have been in a -PDO phase from mid 1998 to mid 2002 and from 2007 to late last year. CA got into a much more serious drought pattern when the factors I mentioned before came together beginning in 2012.

 

I totally agree with you that conditions probably can't get much worse than these last two years. I am hoping that this is the last ultra-dry winter for a while.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Dan the Weatherman Rising Star

Dan the Weatherman

Posted
Posted

Crazy day here. High of only 56 and that was at midnight. It was in the mid 40s all day with moderate rain. .41" in the bucket. Down to 43 already so probably a low in the 30s tonight.

That is rather cold for your area this time of year! It is good to see that you got some much-needed rainfall as you were hoping for. The same low pressure system has brought some pleasantly cool and breezy weather to Socal during the last couple of days. I wish that we could get some rain down here, but climatologically this is one of the driest times of the year for the region.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Black Hole Proficient

Black Hole

Posted
  • Author
Posted

I've had exactly 1.00" of rain the last two days, which is pretty good for around here. Looks like more showers moving in the next couple of hours too. Not a good chance of rain the next few days, but probably some storms at times. Sunday night looks promising.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Black Hole Proficient

Black Hole

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Just a road trip with my fiancee to see the Rockies and Calgary. The Great Can-Am road trip. Seems like the NWS has an outlook for some convective energy between Spokane and Kalispell on Saturday-Sunday.

Good luck and have fun.

 

A little warmer and dry through Saturday but another huge monsoonal push is coming. Looks like another heavy dose of rain/storms Sunday-Tuesday.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Guest changed the title to Mountain West Discussion

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
 Share
Go to topic listing

  • Popular Contributors

  • Activity Stream

    1. 0

      Oldest Trigonometric Tablet

      http://www.xinhuanet.com//english/2017-08/25/c_136554422.htm SYDNEY, Aug. 25 (Xinhua) -- The mystery of a famous 3,700-year-old Babylonian clay tablet, once owned by the real "Indiana Jones," has been unlocked by an Australian mathematician, it was revealed Friday. Dr. Daniel Mansfield's findings from the University of New South Wales in Sydney, are now the oldest example of an accurate trigonometric tablet, beating out Pythagoras and the better-known Greek mathematicians by more than 1,000 years. The tablet was originally discovered in the Ottoman Empire (now modern-day Iraq) between 1900-1910 by Edgar Banks and has baffled the world's leading historians and researchers for over a century. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edgar_James_Banks
      Andie in Climate, World Weather, and Earth Sciences
    2. 2767

      September 2023 Weather in the PNW

      FTR, I think 51-52 probably is 'too old' to consider to. 68-69 looks interesting. arctic outbreak in late dec, lots of snow that winter 91-92 and 09-10 are duds here, warm and dry and probably more likely in our 'modern' climate unfortunately.
      Phishy Wx in West of the Rockies
    3. 3453

      West Coast Sports Talk and Other Banter

      Another false narrative and manufactured drama by Andrew. They had been tanking well before that. Kirby's frustration was a symptom of the collapse already happening and not the cause.
      • 1
      • Excited
      TT-SEA in West of the Rockies
    4. 3453

      West Coast Sports Talk and Other Banter

      Russ with the fourth quarter comeback.
      • 1
      • Excited
      T-Town in West of the Rockies
    5. 2767

      September 2023 Weather in the PNW

      No such thing as bulletproof. It’s like throwing darts, you can miss without a blindfold, but you’re more likely to miss while blindfolded. Believe it or not 1951/52 is in my analog pool, but in the lower weighted cluster, and definitely not the closest match to date. Niño/descending E-shear, autumnal +IOD are the best dynamic fits and weighted double, as are non-modoki Niños lacking +PMM or very strong EPAC niños. Other mod/strong EPAC/CPAC niños or modoki niños lacking +PMM weighted normally, along with strong niños with +PMM. Other niños weighted 50%.
      Phil in West of the Rockies
×
×
  • Create New...