August 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Dave]

34 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

There were rolling thundershowers most of this afternoon in Victoria, much more activity than I was expecting. Still not a ton of rain, typically just 5 minute heavy showers that seemed to stop as soon as they started. Anyone have a good 24 hour lightning tracker for our region? All the ones I previously used seem to be out of service.

This site isn't bad:

https://www.lightningmaps.org/

I prefer an app called My Lightning Tracker for my phone.

Edit: Didn't read your post too carefully. I don't think either one will do 24 hour lightning strikes, at least with the free versions.

[TT-SEA]

27 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

The sky is looking better today. Most of the activity has moved north but we're still getting the odd shower or rumble. There wasn't much, if any, of a marine layer up here today.

Your sky was so much more scenic up there today.   

[Kolk1604]

13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Semantics. Technically, but it is common for summer to extend well into September… 

I disagree. September heat will never feel like summer. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Kolk1604 said:

I disagree. September heat will never feel like summer. 

Very true... sun angle is pretty important in that regard.    May heat feels very much like summer.    Almost never true in September except for maybe the first few days of the month.

[TT-SEA]

Looking at the radar and considering the solid marine layer still in place and cool conditions... thunderstorms would be the last thing I would expect tonight.   

But I am going to set my alarm for 3 or 4 a.m. because I am pretty sure it's coming. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

31 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah probably best I don’t discuss seasonal changes on a weather forum

At least not the triggering ones!

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

At least not the triggering ones!

Passive aggressive Jesse is back!   

For the record... I bristle way more at the premature calls for the end of winter knowing winter-like weather usually goes well into April.   I love the pre-mature "stick a fork" in summer calls because they almost always end up being a jinx.   As you well know and said the same thing morning.      

[TT-SEA]

That being said... need rain to make fall ridging enjoyable.   Last fall was pure misery.   The rain over the next week makes an enjoyable fall even possible.  

[RentonHill]

12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Looking at the radar and considering the solid marine layer still in place and cool conditions... thunderstorms would be the last thing I would expect tonight.   

But I am going to set my alarm for 3 or 4 a.m. because I am pretty sure it's coming. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Don't trust myself to wake up!

[Dave]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That being said... need rain to make fall ridging enjoyable.   Last fall was pure misery.   The rain over the next week makes an enjoyable fall even possible.  

I'd love a huge dump of rain, then back to ridging. Jesse downvote incoming!

[Cascadia_Wx]

What a nice day. 69/61 spread. First sub-70 high since 6/20. Morning drizzle then mostly cloudy all afternoon. Even some drizzle in spots this evening now as an added treat. Just incredibly refreshing and pleasant out. Especially with the rest of the week looking really nice too.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Iceberg Lake in the Ansel Adams Wilderness area of California on August 25th. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Iceberg Lake in the Ansel Adams Wilderness area of California on August 25th. 

What is…a place Andrew’s never been.

[Front Ranger]

Man, the GFS has really toned down the precip for tomorrow am.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Looks like we will be having a nice break from the warm weather.

Grateful. And thanks for all the support on here.

Im down to 185lbs from 235lbs back in July.

[YahRaEl]

[Phil]

4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Looks like we will be having a nice break from the warm weather.

Grateful. And thanks for all the support on here.

Im down to 185lbs from 235lbs back in July.

I assume you meant July 2022? Otherwise that is insanely fast.

Have you figured out why you’re dropping weight?

[MossMan]

10 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

My dog (that will definitely be crated tonight) will be my alarm clock. Going to drug her up tonight! 

[Chewbacca Defense]

Had several rumbles of thunder, but only saw one flash from lightning.  Picked up a whopping .01" from this afternoon's festivities.

I can guarantee the storms will hit Bellingham at 8:05am tomorrow and will be through by about 8:45.  How do I know that?  I have an 8am dentist appt!

[Kolk1604]

8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Man, the GFS has really toned down the precip for tomorrow am.

So what your telling me is all american models suck. 

HRRR is also way too dry. 

[Chewbacca Defense]

23 minutes ago, ChristheElohim said:

The lake area got hit with about 2 dozen strikes, and then the area due west of the lake on the west side of Alabama hill got hit with 5-6 strikes.  I'm only seeing 1-2 other potential lightning induced fires, one in town, and the other up in Everson, so I'm sure they would have gotten knocked down quickly.

[Front Ranger]

14 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Looks like we will be having a nice break from the warm weather.

Grateful. And thanks for all the support on here.

Im down to 185lbs from 235lbs back in July.

50 lbs in one month?!?

[YahRaEl]

6 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

So what your telling me is all american models suck. 

HRRR is also way too dry. 

Interested to see what Euro looks like for precip into tomorrow and what lightning flash density we might expect or will it be a bust.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

21 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

What is…a place Andrew’s never been.

Photo did not attach. 

[MossMan]

62/53 on the day. Currently 60. 

.01” on the day, .23” for the month, 24.01” for the year. 

[lowlandsnow]

So is rain/thunder looking unlikely tonight or just the gfs/hrrr backing off?

 

[Dave]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Photo did not attach. 

That looks pretty icy/snowy. It's hard to pick up scale on this pic, but I assume this is a non glaciated area? Maybe we should start one now if that's the case.

[jcmcgaffey]

Looks like a decent amount of upper level wildfire smoke is mixing into this system coming through tonight and tomorrow. Not sure if it will inhibit thunderstorms forming. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

26 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

50 lbs in one month?!?

Has to be right. I’ve never known him to embellish.

[YahRaEl]

[Cold Snap]

The HRRR is not looking promising for tonight. NAM looks pretty good though.

[MossMan]

12 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said:

Looks like a decent amount of upper level wildfire smoke is mixing into this system coming through tonight and tomorrow. Not sure if it will inhibit thunderstorms forming. 

Non event now? 

[jcmcgaffey]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Non event now? 

This is just practice for this winter’s epic model pullbacks right before events….

[LowerGarfield]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Very true... sun angle is pretty important in that regard.    May heat feels very much like summer.    Almost never true in September except for maybe the first few days of the month.

We're also acclimated to it whereas in May, temps in the high 70's or 80 feel like 100 in August. Adjusting the temps for your climate of course.

[YahRaEl]

Let's see if Euro update still shows anything if not I'm going to  window is open just in case since I'm a light sleeper so if something does pop off I'll hear it and wake up. 

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Man, the GFS has really toned down the precip for tomorrow am.

just so I'm sure, we talking in Denver or?

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Photo did not attach. 

they got hammered there this past winter.  they may hold most of that and have another above average winter on the way

[Anti Marine Layer]

5 hours ago, MV_snow said:

First overachieving marine layer day since I don’t know when, maybe Spring of 2022? I knew the “partly sunny” afternoon forecast was in trouble when it was still lightly drizzling late morning. Ironically the OR coast looks like the sunniest place west of the mountains now.

Reverse clearing

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, Dave said:

That looks pretty icy/snowy. It's hard to pick up scale on this pic, but I assume this is a non glaciated area? Maybe we should start one now if that's the case.

historically glaciated but not currently, yes.  looks like a nice start at reglaciation though