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11/30 - 12/03 Strong SW Storm Followed by A Couple Waves of Energy


Clinton

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NAM 3km loop. 

Gets this weekend's SLP into the mid-990s just east of here. Would've been interesting with cold enough air in place, but climo says this in a NMI special. 

bc4b7f03-e7cd-45ce-ba47-59755f7e4420.thumb.gif.77b64edef7437565781d7d7ed8120389.gif

 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 48.2"    Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)        Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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1 hour ago, jaster220 said:

Not sure this is in the thread window or not?? but most models bring a decent clipper SE towards The Mitt next Tues. NAM reflecting only snow, while other models have a mixy mess, or a SN->RN transition scenario.

namconus_ref_frzn_ncus_52.png

At least per the NAM that clipper comes in riding its own reinforcement of cold air so that may well be my next shot at snow.

a23e667d-62a5-46c7-bbba-d23e91033b04.thumb.gif.f7e318bc418f93e020b74e5fa82b023b.gif

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 48.2"    Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)        Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Far NW edge of DTX-land is getting decent snowfall tonight. That region mostly was missed last Sunday/Monday.

Tab1FileL.png?4b2ec67574e7dbb66f5f4bd1789b5f45

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 48.2"    Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)        Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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NAM 3km snowfall tonight via Kuchera

snku_024h-imp.us_mw.png

Including the Sunday system thru 7 pm

snku_acc-imp.us_mw.png

HRRR about the same in MI, but less generous over IA and NIL

snku_acc-imp.us_mw.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 48.2"    Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)        Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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50 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

At least per the NAM that clipper comes in riding its own reinforcement of cold air so that may well be my next shot at snow.

a23e667d-62a5-46c7-bbba-d23e91033b04.thumb.gif.f7e318bc418f93e020b74e5fa82b023b.gif

GFS snow with that clipper h96 SLR:

sn10_024h-imp.us_mw.png

via Kuchera:

snku_024h-imp.us_mw.png

  • Snow 1

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 48.2"    Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)        Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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On 12/1/2023 at 9:27 AM, OttumwaSnomow said:

I have .11 precip from this weak event. And not one flake or anything  frozen.  Another jip job! Drizzle and 33 degrees.  Wow so exciting 😩

It could be worse my friend… over here on the western end of the current Midwestern desert we haven’t seen a sprinkle or flurry from this train of weak disturbances (missed to the south by 50-60 miles each time)… and if we don’t get any moisture today (which looks really doubtful), we probably won’t see anything for the next 7 days at least.

The lack of getting consistent moisture here is now pushing 2 years… might be time to replace my front yard with River rock or astroturf this spring LOL.

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2 hours ago, Bryan1117 said:

It could be worse my friend… over here on the western end of the current Midwestern desert we haven’t seen a sprinkle or flurry from this train of weak disturbances (missed to the south by 50-60 miles each time)… and if we don’t get any moisture today (which looks really doubtful), we probably won’t see anything for the next 7 days at least.

The lack of getting consistent moisture here is now pushing 2 years… might be time to replace my front yard with River rock or astroturf this spring LOL.

How much precip have you  had in 2022 and  2023? How much of a deficit  from the averages?

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54 minutes ago, OttumwaSnomow said:

How much precip have you  had in 2022 and  2023? How much of a deficit  from the averages?

In my backyard for 2022-2023 combined we have a 23 inch precipitation deficit (based off of the Millard Airport reporting station, which is 1 mile from my house) however in some areas its 24+ inches.

Omaha Eppley Airfield is at an 18 inch precipitation deficit currently, so they have fared a little better. Droughts suck!

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That is sure dry @Bryan1117!!

Check  this out The Ottumwa  airport  OTM as of Nov 30th had a 2022/2023 deficit  from avg of 30.30" 

2023 on track to be driest  year  EVER!! 2022/2023  WILL BE THE DRIEST 2  yr period  by 4 to 6 inches!!!!! 100 yrs of records!  Also OTM wettest month over this 23 month period  was sept 2022 with about 4 inches which blows away  any "wettest month" of any yr ever here  for the least amount  of rain!!!  Also imo nebraska  tends  to have wild swings in precip. But Ottumwa  Iowa is 90 miles from the Mississippi  river is clearly  THE DRIEST LOCATION  EAST OF THE MO RIVER TO ATLANTIC  OCEAN! ITS PHSYCO!

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6 hours ago, OttumwaSnomow said:

That is sure dry @Bryan1117!!

Check  this out The Ottumwa  airport  OTM as of Nov 30th had a 2022/2023 deficit  from avg of 30.30" 

2023 on track to be driest  year  EVER!! 2022/2023  WILL BE THE DRIEST 2  yr period  by 4 to 6 inches!!!!! 100 yrs of records!  Also OTM wettest month over this 23 month period  was sept 2022 with about 4 inches which blows away  any "wettest month" of any yr ever here  for the least amount  of rain!!!  Also imo nebraska  tends  to have wild swings in precip. But Ottumwa  Iowa is 90 miles from the Mississippi  river is clearly  THE DRIEST LOCATION  EAST OF THE MO RIVER TO ATLANTIC  OCEAN! ITS PHSYCO!

Wow that’s just brutal man… hopefully we will see this awful pattern shift sometime in the next few months.

If things don’t change by next Spring, we are going to both be in even bigger trouble with this dreaded drought.

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It has been snowing steadily for a couple hours.  I'm guessing we might have a half inch.

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season snowfall: 28.9"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I got about an inch of snow last night and this morning.  The measurement this morning is a bit less than that, but I made the mistake of not measuring last night and it very slowly melted overnight, so I just added a couple tenths.  There are some scattered heavier bursts moving across the area this morning, one of which dumped here for a few minutes.

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season snowfall: 28.9"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Getting a rain/snow mix there with a temperature of 33. There is just a trace of snow on the ground this AM at the current time Grand Rapids with just 1.9" of snow fall so far this winter season is -6.5" below average as of this date. Last year Grand Rapids had 28.0" as of this date.

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1 hour ago, westMJim said:

Getting a rain/snow mix there with a temperature of 33. There is just a trace of snow on the ground this AM at the current time Grand Rapids with just 1.9" of snow fall so far this winter season is -6.5" below average as of this date. Last year Grand Rapids had 28.0" as of this date.

Woke up with a trace as well.  The 4 year old twin boys were not excited about it enough to go outside and play.   Waiting for that first big snowfall.  

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