snow_wizard Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, Phil said: The 19th century was full of insane weather extremes that would put anything in the last century to shame. At least out this way. The derecho that tore thru DC during the war of 1812 (Aug 1814) isn’t even most extreme event of that decade, let alone the century. That's what just blows my mind about the media these days. They make it sound like the world is ending when nothing has happened that is too impressive by 19th century or even 1930s standards. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 7 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: I think we hit 60 before Feb 2019 Was quite warm in midish January! 4 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Looks like the first third of Feb is getting a chilly and dry vibe right now. A below normal Feb in any incarnation would be very impressive with a major Nino going. Could have something to do with PDO still deep in the negatives. I don’t know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 13 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: I think we hit 60 before Feb 2019 The science is settled 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Just now, Cascadia_Wx said: The science is settled Anecdotal evidence is the best evidence right? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Just read the details about that cold front. Pretty D**n wild. That shows how amplified regimes bring the most interesting weather by far. Right now we seem to have entered a pretty amplified regime. I hope that lasts for a while. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Just now, Slushy Inch said: Anecdotal evidence is the best evidence right? Is there another kind that I’m not aware of? 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 6 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Could have something to do with PDO still deep in the negatives. I don’t know. I love the fact the -PDO managed to hold together through the Nino. We should be set for a profound minus PDO next winter. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 8 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Could have something to do with PDO still deep in the negatives. I don’t know. In this case it could well be MJO 7 doing it's thing. Just wish we could avoid the three day torch coming up. Just no way for that to happen now. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Cliff sure loves to write about the water storage.https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2024/01/water-resources-looks-good-over-western.html?m=1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I love the fact the -PDO managed to hold together through the Nino. We should be set for a profound minus PDO next winter. Summers have been so cold... this -PDO regime has been terrible. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawksfan2008 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 It’s coming… 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 hours ago, snow_wizard said: This is getting close to being really good. Great EURO run! That’s cold enough for snow down to sea level if there’s moisture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 hours ago, Slushy Inch said: Nice reload attempt on the control. Blocking setting up right close to our sweet spot. Here we go again! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 5 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said: It’s coming… Lock it in 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 EPS charts look pretty promising. Just got to get through the next nasty 3-4 days. 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Just now, Cascadia_Wx said: EPS charts look pretty promising. Just got to get through the next nasty 3-4 days. It's nice to see the mean stay on the bottom side of average once the calendar flips. I can also so, I don't think we've busted the January curse just yet. We just had a nice couple of days. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 324 years ago today, the last Cascadia_Wx earthquake hit the PNW. It was probably devastating. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Druncle looking like a move towards euro. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 16 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said: It’s coming… Too much blue. Throw it back. Need more pepto. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Very marginal pscz snow. 174 hours out 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 10 minutes ago, Dave said: 324 years ago today, the last Cascadia_Wx earthquake hit the PNW. It was probably devastating. Only if it lead to fog, drizzle or freezing rain. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Only if it lead to fog, drizzle or freezing rain. Records from back then are hard to come by, but I'm pretty sure there was a 67 burger. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, Dave said: Records from back then are hard to come by, but I'm pretty sure there was a 67 burger. Let’s change natural disaster to winter blues busting miracle in that case. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 40 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Could have something to do with PDO still deep in the negatives. I don’t know. It has nothing to do with the PDO. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, Phil said: It has nothing to do with the PDO. Does PDO matter at all? I rarely see it mentioned 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Summers have been so cold... this -PDO regime has been terrible. The PDO has been negative because of how warm NPAC SSTs have been. It’s nothing more than a low frequency echo of previous weather patterns. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 24 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: Great EURO run! That’s cold enough for snow down to sea level if there’s moisture. EURO control is basically the GFS on a good day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Just now, Slushy Inch said: Does PDO matter at all? I rarely see it mentioned It’s irrelevant as a pattern driver. The PMM is another story, of course. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, Phil said: The PDO has been negative because of how warm NPAC SSTs have been. It’s nothing more than a low frequency echo of previous weather patterns. I know... its a silly notion that it has predictive powers. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Just now, Slushy Inch said: Does PDO matter at all? I rarely see it mentioned The AGDI (Atlantic Global Dominance Index) is really the only one of any consequence. It’s been in its positive phase for much of geologic history 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 absolutely gorgeous sunny 51 out. first 50 burger of the year IMBY. love it, going to the brewery I think and sit on the deck for the rest of the workday. boss is on the east coast and gone for the day. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 15 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Druncle looking like a move towards euro. This run is more-niño like. Lower heights over the NPAC/GOA. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Just now, Cascadia_Wx said: The AGDI (Atlantic Global Dominance Index) is really the only one of any consequence. It’s been in its positive phase for much of geologic history AMO is just as irrelevant. Facts are a b*tch sometimes. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 sorry you have a tummy ache Cascadia_Wx 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Just now, Phil said: AMO is just as irrelevant. Facts are a b*tch sometimes. NW Maryland has the best skiing anywhere outside of the Alps. Fact. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Hey Phil, how's it looking in Philly next week? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: NW Maryland has the best skiing anywhere outside of the Alps. Fact. Wisp is not for the weak 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I know... it’s a silly notion that it has predictive powers. But there is some degree of atmospheric coupling to the PMM. It’s distinct from the PDO and should be factored into any seasonal scale forecast. https://www.aos.wisc.edu/~dvimont/MModes/PMM.html Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 4 minutes ago, Phil said: This run is more-niño like. Lower heights over the NPAC/GOA. At least there is a Goa ridge at all. I’m more interested in trough location at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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