winterfreak Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 Wow GFS quite a bit different than the NAM. I think this will be a mostly non event in regards to snow here. Cold rain. For the Nebraska and Great Lakes people, those solutions can be the difference between six inches or nothing lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 12z GFS keeps LES into NE IL thru 96hr...I remember last year we had a similar storm system like this and LES totals were in the 3-6" range for parts of DuPage/Cook/Lake/Will counties.Yep, LES will be key to how much snow we get into these parts although we really are not that far away from seeing some decent accumulations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 it's pretty well known that energy in the SW typically comes out slower than modeled not fasterNot with the Euro, GFS is usually quicker as well as the GGEM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 The EURO is incredible to me right now. If there is a storm, I'd be really dissapointed with that model. Been awful this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 Not with the Euro, GFS is usually quicker as well as the GGEM.The big key is the northern stream to dig more allowing it to catch the SW thus pulling this farther north. Still in the game for those of us farther north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 The EURO is incredible to me right now. If there is a storm, I'd be really dissapointed with that model. Been awful this year.The way it busted in the northeast was incredible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 DMX going with 1-2" for southern iowaflurries/snow showers north of i-80. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 The way it busted in the northeast was incredible.Um it was bad, but in reality it was off by about 60 miles. Seems alot worse because the shift affected 20 million people. The EURO has scored a few short term coups around here this year. Sniffed out a couple before anything else did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 A view of the LE ongoing after storm passes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 UKIE HR 72 http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_072_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDizBliz420 Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 GEM goes WAY south nail in the coffin? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 UKIE precip at HR 72: http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_072_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 GGEM HR 96 http://forums.accuweather.com/uploads/post-25413-1422550039_thumb.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDizBliz420 Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 I thought the UKIE was retired a decade ago, it's a really bad model Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 That is a major shift for the 12z GGEM, doesn't even have the snow in the OV or the East coast. System goes out to sea and gives part of the Appalachians/DC a snow storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 I thought the UKIE was retired a decade ago, it's a really bad modelActually well at the 500 level at times but at the surface ya its bad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 Canadian now against us as well with nothing more than a few inches, for most folks. I think the storm is supposed to be sampled today, so hopefully changes with the 0Z runs will come Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 Gives me some snow lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 I thought the UKIE was retired a decade ago, it's a really bad model UKIE is ranked the 2nd best model behind the EURO 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 Canadian now against us as well with nothing more than a few inches, for most folks. I think the storm is supposed to be sampled today, so hopefully changes with the 0Z runs will comeI think around 12z tomorrow it will be centered near AZ, should be interesting to see what the models show next 24 hours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 I'll take the 2-3" that the GGEM is giving me. Beggars can't be choosers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 Good stuff seeing all this model confusion. Ukie shows a ton of moisture with this system Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 I'll take the 2-3" that the GGEM is giving me. Beggars can't be choosers.Yes sir. Just to the south near Beatrice there are those 6" totals. I'll take it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 12z NOGAPS is a huge hit for pretty much all of us. Even in S. WI takes a wound up low into Western Ohio. 0z NOGAPS had no storm at all lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 Nice consensus on the models today...really glad to see it Wonder what the Euro will show; no storm, storm suppressed, rainstorm, or all out blizzard for the entire sub forum! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDizBliz420 Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 Euro will be south, I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 12z NOGAPS is a huge hit for pretty much all of us. Even in S. WI takes a wound up low into Western Ohio. 0z NOGAPS had no storm at all lolU were ripping on the NAM yesterday.. NOGAPS is good though... k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 U were ripping on the NAM yesterday.. NOGAPS is good though... k I was mentioning how it changed dramatically. God, you and WWW need to lighten up a bit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 Euro will be south, I think. Euro will be north, I think. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDizBliz420 Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 some good news: 12z GEFS are north with a bunch showing SNOW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 Relevant information for LES potential. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=grb&storyid=106433&source=0 1 Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 some good news: 12z GEFS are north with a bunch showing SNOWMaps??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 12z Euro showing a slower northern stream press south thru 48hr... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 GEFS are way north than the OP according to another site. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDizBliz420 Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 12z Euro showing a slower northern stream press south thru 48hr... that would mean less phase and south Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDizBliz420 Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 GEFS are way north than the OP according to another site. i already posted that here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDizBliz420 Posted January 29, 2015 Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPCN72NE_12z/f126.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 29, 2015 From what I can tell, 12z Euro has snow farther north from previous run... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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