Super Bowl Weekend Major Snowstorm

[winterfreak]

Wow GFS quite a bit different than the NAM. I think this will be a mostly non event in regards to snow here. Cold rain. For the Nebraska and Great Lakes people, those solutions can be the difference between six inches or nothing lol.

[Tony]

12z GFS keeps LES into NE IL thru 96hr...I remember last year we had a similar storm system like this and LES totals were in the 3-6" range for parts of DuPage/Cook/Lake/Will counties.

Yep, LES will be key to how much snow we get into these parts although we really are not that far away from seeing some decent accumulations.

[Tom]

it's pretty well known that energy in the SW typically comes out slower than modeled not faster

Not with the Euro, GFS is usually quicker as well as the GGEM.

[Jaycee]

The EURO is incredible to me right now. If there is a storm, I'd be really dissapointed with that model. Been awful this year.

[Tony]

Not with the Euro, GFS is usually quicker as well as the GGEM.

The big key is the northern stream to dig more allowing it to catch the SW thus pulling this farther north. Still in the game for those of us farther north.

[Snowlover76]

The EURO is incredible to me right now. If there is a storm, I'd be really dissapointed with that model. Been awful this year.

The way it busted in the northeast was incredible.

[GDR]

DMX going with 1-2" for southern iowa

flurries/snow showers north of i-80.

[gosaints]

The way it busted in the northeast was incredible.

Um it was bad, but in reality it was off by about 60 miles.  Seems alot worse because the shift affected 20 million people.  The EURO has scored a few short term coups around here this year.  Sniffed out a couple before anything else did.  

[Tony]

A view of the LE ongoing after storm passes

[Money]

UKIE HR 72

 

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_072_0000.gif

[BigDizBliz420]

GEM goes WAY south

 

nail in the coffin?

[Money]

UKIE precip at HR 72:

 

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_072_0000.gif

[Money]

GGEM HR 96

 

http://forums.accuweather.com/uploads/post-25413-1422550039_thumb.png

[BigDizBliz420]

I thought the UKIE was retired a decade ago, it's a really bad model

[Tom]

That is a major shift for the 12z GGEM, doesn't even have the snow in the OV or the East coast.  System goes out to sea and gives part of the Appalachians/DC a snow storm.

[gosaints]

I thought the UKIE was retired a decade ago, it's a really bad model

Actually well at the 500 level at times but at the surface ya its bad

[NEJeremy]

Canadian now against us as well with nothing more than a few inches, for most folks. I think the storm is supposed to be sampled today, so hopefully changes with the 0Z runs will come

[winterfreak]

Gives me some snow lol.

[Money]

I thought the UKIE was retired a decade ago, it's a really bad model

 

UKIE is ranked the 2nd best model behind the EURO 

[GDR]

[Tom]

Canadian now against us as well with nothing more than a few inches, for most folks. I think the storm is supposed to be sampled today, so hopefully changes with the 0Z runs will come

I think around 12z tomorrow it will be centered near AZ, should be interesting to see what the models show next 24 hours.

[Snowlover76]

I'll take the 2-3" that the GGEM is giving me.  Beggars can't be choosers. 

[Tony]

Good stuff seeing all this model confusion. Ukie shows a ton of moisture with this system

[Jaycee]

I'll take the 2-3" that the GGEM is giving me. Beggars can't be choosers.

Yes sir. Just to the south near Beatrice there are those 6" totals. I'll take it

[Money]

12z NOGAPS is a huge hit for pretty much all of us. Even in S. WI takes a wound up low into Western Ohio. 

 

0z NOGAPS had no storm at all lol

[Tony]

Nice consensus on the models today...really glad to see it

 

Wonder what the Euro will show; no storm, storm suppressed, rainstorm, or all out blizzard for the entire sub forum!

[BigDizBliz420]

Euro will be south, I think.

[GDR]

[gosaints]

12z NOGAPS is a huge hit for pretty much all of us. Even in S. WI takes a wound up low into Western Ohio. 

 

0z NOGAPS had no storm at all lol

U were ripping on the NAM yesterday.. NOGAPS is good though... k

[Money]

U were ripping on the NAM yesterday.. NOGAPS is good though... k

 

I was mentioning how it changed dramatically.

 

God, you and WWW need to lighten up a bit.

[Money]

Euro will be south, I think.

 

Euro will be north, I think.

[BigDizBliz420]

some good news: 12z GEFS are north with a bunch showing SNOW

[Snowshoe]

Relevant information for LES potential.

 

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=grb&storyid=106433&source=0

[Tom]

some good news: 12z GEFS are north with a bunch showing SNOW

Maps???

[Tom]

12z Euro showing a slower northern stream press south thru 48hr...

[Money]

GEFS are way north than the OP according to another site. 

[BigDizBliz420]

12z Euro showing a slower northern stream press south thru 48hr...

 

 

that would mean less phase and south

[BigDizBliz420]

GEFS are way north than the OP according to another site. 

 

 

i already posted that here

[BigDizBliz420]

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPCN72NE_12z/f126.gif

[Tom]

From what I can tell, 12z Euro has snow farther north from previous run...