Sunshine finally breaking out after all day rain yesterday. Temps are near 40F.

GFS vs ICON as the energy moves into the western US. Big difference. The GFS lifts the eastern trough out and also has deeper western energy.

When they come, they usually come in clusters over several years, then they vanish for several years. Cold/dry is the fail mode I’m most worried about this winter and have been since the beginning. Without the clean niño STJ, a lot more has to go right (have to thread needle w/ timing of phasing and deepening..too early and storm cuts west, too slow and it’s suppression depression).

Where have all the Omaha folks been? GFS shows E/NE Nebraska getting close to a foot of snow over the next few days. As per the usual so far this season, close but no cigar for Sioux Falls.