The thing is this is the best base state there is for us.

The thing is this month has had a straight up Nino signature. I think that aspect will be impossible to sustain given Nino 3.4 is almost down to -1.0 now. CDAS say -1.5.

The days are getting longer spring is coming.

This about it this way, if we have a decadal dud this year, we have a better chance at something good next year.

It looks like our historically late starting Nina is for real. After a brief reprieve the major trade winds resume. Hopefully them pushing a bit further west on the next round will equate to some mid latitude changes. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.gif