The outlook is bleak. Models may have a day or two in which they tease a better pattern, but then it goes right back to cold and dry.

lol 6z ai is so far east Phil is basically the bullseye

We ended up with 2.8" of snow yesterday in East Nantmeal for the season we now stand at 6.1" which is 84% of normal snow to date. Windy today with some areas of blowing snow today (like on my road in Chesco). Dry through Friday with temperatures slowly moderating to within a couple of degrees of freezing. Snow chances increase on Friday night into Saturday, but this looks like no more than a moderate event despite what some are saying.

Completely different look on the 12z NAM. Virtually all rain through hour 69. What a difference. Not much snow in Texas and absolutely nothing in Oklahoma or Missouri. Accumulating snow in FAR southeast Arkansas.

So true-- people that don't understand the power of the heat sink of Superior is - never believe me about when I go Mother's Day weekend up there ( MN fishing opener usually) and still 1-2' of snow in woods in a good winter. Iowans think I'am totally nuts. How about 1936--- (1950 was likely later, but not on record) ice out on Gunflint Lake was on June 3rd 1936. Lakes E of there like Greenwood and Moose/Mountain along the CAN border likely were several days later in 1950. Imagine a family from Iowa or Illinois having planned a "summer" trip at a resort up there in 1950 in early June only to find the bigger lakes still locked in ice. Justine Kerfoot -- one of the founders of Gunflint Lodge on Gunflint is on record of WALKING across GunFlint Lake to CAN on Jun 1st 1936.True story if you take the time. Funny thing is --- July of 1936 -- for those that know, polar opposite . I often wonder what the MJO and other teleconnetions were that year of 1936. Holy Smokes.