Very good chance you will see snow on the ground sometime in the next 3 weeks at your house. I'd say 75%.

There also seems to be a misconception that El Niños mean we’ve got no shot at all. Overall I’d say the odds are lower than neutral or La Niña… but there’s been some great events in El Niños. Usually it seems to mean that if there’s an event it’ll be earlier in the season.

Westerly QBO and ninos are surprisingly decent, but brief in Portland at least.

Love this camera loop! Cool to see the trees bending from the weight of the snow and your current readings on the left side as the temps drop.

There was no snow on the ground in that time as well for Portland.